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Published byMarcus Sutton Modified over 8 years ago
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Going Big!!!!! Micro Price Quantity Costs Revenues Profits Macro GDP Unemployment Inflation Interest Rates Money Supply
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Economic Indicators Business Cycle –“Real” GDP versus “Nominal” –GDP Deflator –C+I+G+NX –6 month contraction = Recession Unemployment Rate –4 Types –Calculation Inflation –CPI/GDP Deflator –Cost of Living Adjustment –“Real” Income
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GDP Total value of all final goods and services produced within a country within a given year. Real GDP- accounts for inflation. C+ I+ G+ NX ________________________________
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GDP C + I + G + NX Don’t Count –Used –Transfers –Non-market –Intermediate goods
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GDP C- Consumption (almost 70%) Durable Goods Non-Durable Goods Services (45%) C+ I+ G+ X n ________________________________
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GDP I- Investment (15%) Business Investment Business Unsold Inventory *Real Estate- commercial and residential C+ I+ G+ X n ________________________________
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GDP G- Government Spending (18%) C+ I+ G+ X n ________________________________
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GDP Xn- Net Exports (-505 billion in 2014) –Add exports –Subtract imports –Trade Balance- deficit or surplus C+ I+ G+ X n ________________________________
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Business Cycle
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Recession- real GDP goes down for at least 6 months. REALGDPREALGDP
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LEAKAGESLEAKAGES INJECTIONSINJECTIONS
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GDP Expenditure Method GDP = C+I+G+Nx Income Method of GDP National Income = R+I+P+W Rent + Interest + Profits + Wages Greatest Component of each?
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Unemployment Unemployment Rate= Unemployed Persons/Total Labor Force X 100 Labor Force= all civilians 16+ who are working or looking for a job Unemployed Persons= 16+ civilians who are looking for a job but do not have one
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Labor Force Participation Rate % of working age people who are –Working –Looking for a Job Working Age –16-64
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Unemployment (National)
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Not Unemployed If… Under 16 Have a Job Are not actively seeking a job Are not currently available to work
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Types of Unemployment Frictional- temporary while searching Structural-lack of skills/lack of need for skills/replacement by technology/replacement by merger or streamlining Cyclical- related to health of overall economy Seasonal- seasonal* Not
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Natural Rate of Unemployment Sum of frictional and structural unemployment If Unemployment Rate – Natural Rate = 0 –Full Employment Natural Rate is Long Term Rate
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Unemployment Formula Unemployment Rate= Unemployed Persons/Total Labor Force X 100 Labor Force= all civilians 16+ who are working or looking for a job Unemployed Persons= 16+ civilians who are looking for a job but do not have one
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Unemployment (National)
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Labor Force Participation Rate
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% of working age people who are –Working –Looking for a Job Working Age –16-64
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Employment to Population Ratio 16-64
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Employment to Population Ratio 25-54
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Demand-Pull Inflation
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Cost-Push Inflation
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Stagflation
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Measures of Inflation GDP Deflator Consumer Price Index (CPI)
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GDP Deflator Nominal $$$$/GDP deflator x 100= Real $$$
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Calculate Population = 10,000 Population 16-64 = 8,000 Employed Persons = 5,000 Unemployed Persons = 350 --------------------------------------------------------- Labor Force = ____________ Unemployment Rate = ______________ Labor Force Participation Rate = _______
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Calculate Population = 10,000 Population 16-64 = 8,000 Employed Persons = 5,000 Unemployed Persons = 350 --------------------------------------------------------- Labor Force = 5,350 Unemployment Rate = 6.54% Labor Force Participation Rate = 66.88%
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Labor Force Participation Rate % of working age people who are –Working –Looking for a Job % working age population in the labor force Working Age –16-64
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Natural Rate of Unemployment Sum of frictional and structural unemployment If Unemployment Rate – Natural Rate = 0 Full Employment- Natural Rate is Long Term Rate
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Inflation Indexes GDP Deflator –converts a “changing basket of goods” into constant dollars. –Find Real GDP Consumer Price Index –Measures price change of a “fixed basket” based on price paid by consumer –Cost of Living Adjustments Producer Price Index –Measures price change of a “fixed basket” based on price paid consumer –Supplier contracts
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Inflation Indexes Nominal- $ amount in current year $s Real- $ amount in constant $s –Converted to base year $s Base Year = 100 Real = Nominal $ X 100 Index Value
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Real v. Nominal Interest Rates Nominal = Real Rate + expected inflation rate Real = Nominal – expected inflation rate Who benefits from unexpectedly high inflation? Who benefits from unexpectedly low inflation or deflation?
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Real v. Nominal
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Basket of Goods 2020 = $400 (base year) 2021 = $500 Inflation Rate = $ 2021- $ Base Year $Base Year
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Basket of Goods 2020 = $400 (base year) 2021 = $500 Inflation Rate = $ 500- $ 400 $400 Inflation Rate =.25 or 25%
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Index Value 2020 = 100 2021 = 125 Nominal GDP 2020 = $20 trillion 2021 = $28 trillion Real GDP 2020 = $20 trillion 2021 = $
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Index Value 2020 = 100 2021 = 125 Nominal GDP 2020 = $20 trillion 2021 = $28 trillion Real GDP 2020 = $20 trillion 2021 = $22.4 trillion
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GDP Growth Rate Nominal 2020 = $20 trillion 2021 = $28 trillion Nominal Growth Rate?
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GDP Growth Rate Nominal 2020 = $20 trillion 2021 = $28 trillion Nominal Growth Rate ($28-$20)/$20 =.4 40% nominal growth
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GDP Growth Rate Real 2020 = $20 trillion 2021 = $22.4 trillion Real Growth Rate?
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GDP Growth Rate Real 2020 = $20 trillion 2021 = $22.4 trillion Real Growth Rate? ($22.4-$20)/$20 =.12 12% real growth
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CPI (Consumer Price Index)
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