1. Presented to:Nextor NAS-Wide Modeling Workshop By: Joseph Post, NextGen Systems Analysis Date: January 27 2010 Federal Aviation Administration NextGen Modeling Requirements The ATO Perspective

2. Federal Aviation Administration NextGen Modeling Requirements January 27 2010 Introduction FAA Office of NextGen Systems Analysis (AJP-D) Objective: Estimating the monetary benefits of FAA's NextGen investments over next 10 years Platform: Modernized NASPAC –Includes demand generation process Question: What modeling improvements are needed to fully realize this objective?

3. Federal Aviation Administration NextGen Modeling Requirements January 27 2010 What Is NextGen? ATM and Weather Airport Infrastructure Bio Fuels Engines and Airframes Security and Defense

4. Federal Aviation Administration NextGen Modeling Requirements January 27 2010 FAA NextGen Portfolio Transformational Programs ADS-B SWIM NextGen Data Communications NextGen Network Enabled Weather NAS Voice Switch RNAV/RNP 41 Mid-Term Capabilities Airfield Improvements New Runways Runway Extensions Airfield Reconfigurations 7 Solution Sets TBO High Density Airports Flexible Terminal & Airports CATM Reduced Weather Impact Safety, Security, & Environ. Transform Facilities

5. Federal Aviation Administration NextGen Modeling Requirements January 27 2010

6. Federal Aviation Administration NextGen Modeling Requirements January 27 2010 Trajectory-Based Ops

7. Federal Aviation Administration NextGen Modeling Requirements January 27 2010

8. Federal Aviation Administration NextGen Modeling Requirements January 27 2010 High-Density Airports

9. Federal Aviation Administration NextGen Modeling Requirements January 27 2010

10. Federal Aviation Administration NextGen Modeling Requirements January 27 2010

11. Federal Aviation Administration NextGen Modeling Requirements January 27 2010 Flexible Terminal

12. Federal Aviation Administration NextGen Modeling Requirements January 27 2010

13. Federal Aviation Administration NextGen Modeling Requirements January 27 2010 Collaborative ATM

14. Federal Aviation Administration NextGen Modeling Requirements January 27 2010

15. Federal Aviation Administration NextGen Modeling Requirements January 27 2010 Reduce Weather Impact

16. Federal Aviation Administration NextGen Modeling Requirements January 27 2010

17. Federal Aviation Administration NextGen Modeling Requirements January 27 2010 Transform Facilities

18. Federal Aviation Administration NextGen Modeling Requirements January 27 2010 Shortfall Summary En Route –Conflict resolution (inefficiency) –Dynamic sectorization –Off-nominal operations –Re-routing - Tactical Fix Balancing Convective weather –Storm tops –Route vs. sector capacity Terminal –Routes –Inter-arrival time variance –Convective weather –CDTI-Assisted Visual Separation (CAVS) –Severe IMC Cat II/III operations Airport closure Diversions Equipage-specific effects En Route/Terminal –SIDs/STARs

19. Federal Aviation Administration NextGen Modeling Requirements January 27 2010 Shortfall Summary (cont.) Surface –Gates –Taxiways –Runway usage –De-icing –Tail numbers and delay propagation –Passenger delay Oceanic –In-trail climb –Separations –Track assignment Traffic Flow Management –GDPs/Ground Stops Probabalistic demand/capacity –Airspace Flow Programs (AFPs) –Re-routing - Strategic –Miles-In-Trail –Time-based metering Airline Operations Center –Cancellations –Substitutions –User preferences and decision-making Value of flexibility

20. Federal Aviation Administration NextGen Modeling Requirements January 27 2010 Additional Requirements Improved ease of use –GUI? Future fleet representation –International fleet –Avionics Monte Carlo capability –Demand –Capacities –Weather –Routings –etc. Visualization Validation

21. Any Questions?