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1 WAKE COUNTY PUBLIC SCHOOL SYSTEM Growth & Crowding … the Past and Future Joint Board Meeting: Wake County Board of Commissioners Wake County Board of Education March 19, 2008 Christina Lighthall, REFP Sr. Director, Long Range Planning Growth and Planning
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2 A Review of Growth and Crowding between 2001-02 and 2007-08 (PLAN 2004: 2005-06 through 2007-08) Part I: The Past
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3 Membership Projections Comparison to Actuals (includes +1%,+1.5%)
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4 Membership Projections Comparison to Actuals
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5 Number of Students Not In Permanent Seats 2001-02 2007-08 Elementary 5,959 11,940 Middle 2,688 4,646 High 2,242 4,250 Total 10,889 20,836
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6 Students Not in Permanent Seats Accelerated growth was addressed with: Setting up temporary 9 th grade centers Creating modular campuses Introducing “Early Start” schools Accommodating more students and teachers in non-standard learning spaces Adding more mobile and modular classrooms on existing school campuses
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7 Percentage of Long Range K-8 School Level Crowding (Membership/Long Range Campus Capacity)
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8 Percentage of Long Range 9-12 School Level Crowding (Membership/Long Range Campus Capacity)
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9 Percentage of Annual K-8 School Level Crowding (Membership/Actual Campus Capacity)
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10 Percentage of Annual 9-12 School Level Crowding (Membership/Actual Campus Capacity) Holly Springs & Panther Creek Knightdale; Cary & Green Hope 9th Grade Centers Middle Creek W-F & Wakefield 9 th Grade Centers
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11 Mobile and Modular Classrooms The mobile classroom inventory has doubled since 2001-02 There are 423 more mobile/modular classrooms than four years ago in 2003-04 There are 10,700 more students accommodated in temporary units this year than was reported in 2003-04
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12 School Level Mobiles (Including Swing Space)
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13 Percentage of School Levels in Mobile Units
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14 In Summary: Part I Plan 2004 Elementary MiddleHigh 2001-022007-082001-022007-082001-022007-08 Students not in Permanent Seats 5,95911,9402,6884,6462,2424,250 % Long Range Crowding 104.1 %115.6 %101.1%114.3 %102.4%110.7 % % Actual Crowding 97.2 %96.5 %97.9%97.0 %98.5%97.6 % # Mobiles 312636125218121250 % in Mobiles 12.0%16.3 %11.0%15.8 %8.3%11.2 %
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15 A Projection of Growth and Crowding between 2007-08 and 2011-12 (CIP 2006: 2008-09 through 2010-11) Part II: The Future
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16 Membership Projections Update (includes +1%,+1.5%)
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17 Membership Projections Comparisons
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18 Difference between CIP 2006 and Nov 2007 Projections
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19 Projected Number of Students Not In Permanent Seats 2007-08 2010-11 Elementary 11,940 9,601 Middle 4,646 5,190 High 4,250 7,029 Total 20,836 21,820
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20 Projected Students Not in Permanent Seats Sustained growth at the secondary level is addressed with: Continued use of satellite 9 th grade centers Using modular campuses Introducing “Early Start” middle schools Accommodating more students and teachers in non-standard learning spaces Adding more modular classrooms on existing high school campuses
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21 Projected % of Long Range K-8 School Level Crowding (Membership/Long Range Campus Capacity)
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22 Projected % of Long Range 9-12 School Level Crowding (Membership/Long Range Campus Capacity)
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23 Projected % of Annual K-8 School Level Crowding (Membership/Actual Campus Capacity)
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24 Projected % of Annual 9-12 School Level Crowding (Membership/Actual Campus Capacity) Heritage H-6
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25 Mobile and Modular Classrooms 2008-09 56 swing space units and and net gain of 3 capacity units are being added for elementary schools 50 mobile units are being added at the high school level to address crowding Middle schools are losing units due to freeing up swing space mobiles/modulars By 2010-11 Elementary schools could reduce their mobile inventory Middle Schools can not add more mobiles for capacity High schools gain more modulars to address crowding
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26 Projected School Level Mobiles (if units are reduced at elementary level)
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27 Projected % of School Levels in Mobile Units 12.5% 13.7% 14.9% 13.9% 16.8% 16.3% 13.8% 15.6% 15.8% 17.9% 16.3% 15.3% 11.2% 16.9% 15.3% 5.0% 7.5% 10.0% 12.5% 15.0% 17.5% 20.0% 2007-082008-092009-102010-20112011-2012 % Elementary in Mobile Units % Middle School in Mobile Units % High School in Mobile Units Goal
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28 In Summary: Part II CIP 2006 Elementary MiddleHigh 2007-082010-112007-082010-112007-082010-11 Students not in Permanent Seats 11,9409,6014,6465,1904,2507,029 % Long Range Crowding 115.6 %114.2 %114.3%117. 7%110.7%111.5 % % Actual Crowding 96.5 %95.7 %97.0 %99.8%97.6%97.4% # Mobiles 636574218184250365 % in Mobiles 16.3 %12.8 %15.8%14.9%11.1 %16.3% M-6 & H-6 open in 2011
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29 Future Planning Questions Do we use membership projections based on November 2007 Updates? Do we strive toward 8% of students in mobile units at the elementary level? What about middle schools and high schools where use of mobiles is increasing? Do we strive toward 95% (elementary and middle) and 97.5% (high school) utilization when possible? Do we reduce future permanent capacity by opening new elementary or middle schools on a traditional rather than on a year-round calendar?
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