1. Island County Comprehensive Plan 2016 Review and Update Buildable Lands Analysis Results 1

2. Outline  2016 Comprehensive Plan Schedule  Purpose  Summary of Findings  Changes in Assumptions  Results  Rural and RAIDs by Planning Areas  UGAs  Next Steps  Questions 2

3. Phase 1 Comprehensive Plan Tasks 3 Formal Review of Comprehensive Plan Proposed Revisions to County Wide Planning Policies Buildable Lands Analysis Methodology Regional Growth Trends & Allocations 2036 Countywide Population Projection Public Participation Plan & Preliminary Schedule % Complete 90% 80% 20%

4. Purpose 4  The results will be used to help inform the Land Use Element of the Comprehensive Plan  Rural Areas: analysis will be used to inform impact assessments  UGAs: analysis will be used to determine if UGAs are adequately sized  The methodology will be included in the County Wide Planning Policies to provide a consistent framework for future buildable lands analysis

5. Buildable Lands Analysis: Summary of Findings  RAIDs and rural areas have adequate area to accommodate non UGA population growth.  There is enough buildable land in each UGA to accommodate the projected population growth.  Adequate land is expected in each UGA to accommodate projected employment growth with the exception of Coupeville. 5

6. Changes to Assumptions 6 Previous AssumptionRevised Assumption Commercial Zones: 20 Employees/Acre17 Employees/Acre Industrial Zones: 9 Employees/Acre8 Employees/Acre* Employees*AcresEmployees/Acre Oak Harbor4,12625017 Langley2691518 Freeland5274911 Coupeville5603516 *Employees reported to ESD for October 2013. Current Average Employees per Acre in UGAs in Island County The average employment per acre was calculated by taking the average of the ratio for the Oak Harbor, Langley and Coupeville UGAs. Freeland was excluded given the current development restraints due to a lack of sewer systems. *The sample size for industrial land in Island County is extremely small, therefore the rounded average of the assumption used by Skagit County (6.5), Clark County (9) and Unincorporated Pierce County (8.2) was used.

7. Planning Areas: Map 7

8. Planning Areas: Rural North Whidbey Residential Capacity at Build Out (Housing Units) Capacity at Build Out (People*) RAIDs 1,624 3,735 Rural 2,196 5,051 Rural Ag 279 642 Commercial Ag 81 186 Forest 68 156 Total 4,248 9,770 Non Residential Vacant & Redevelopable Acres Potential Jobs Accommodated Airport1391,250 Light MFG20178 Total1591,427 8 *Household Size = 2.3 people per household

9. Planning Areas: Rural Central Whidbey Residential Capacity at Build Out (Housing Units) Capacity at Build Out (People*) RAIDs 3,396 7,810.8 Rural 3,072 7,066 Rural Ag 355 817 Commercial Ag 112 258 Forest 227 522 Total 7,162 16,473 Non Residential Vacant & Redevelopable Acres Potential Jobs Accommodated Airport-- Light MFG1086 Total1086 9 *Household Size = 2.3 people per household

10. Planning Areas: Rural South Whidbey Residential Capacity at Build Out (Housing Units) Capacity at Build Out (People*) RAIDs 4,41910,164 Rural 4,864 11,187 Rural Ag 229 527 Commercial Ag 74 170 Forest 395 909 Total 9,981 22,956 Non Residential Vacant & Redevelopable Acres Potential Jobs Accommodated Airport 382 3,438 Light MFG - - Total 382 3,438 10 *Household Size = 2.3 people per household

11. Planning Areas: Camano Island Residential Capacity at Build Out (Housing Units) Capacity at Build Out (People*) RAIDs 4,324 9,945 Rural 2,396 5,511 Rural Ag 117 269 Commercial Ag 64 147 Forest 90 207 Total 6,991 16,079 Non Residential Vacant & Redevelopable Acres Potential Jobs Accommodated Airport 45 359 Light MFG 39 309 Total84 965 11 *Household Size = 2.3 people per household

12. Urban Growth Areas: Map 12

13. Urban Growth Areas: Oak Harbor 13 Oak Harbor Housing Capacity (Housing Units) Additional Housing Units Needed* Employment Capacity (Jobs) Estimated Employment Increase Excess Capacity to Accommodate Housing Units and Jobs Low Estimate Residential 4 1,167 1,626(459) Housing Units High Estimate Residential 5 3,052 1,6261,426 Housing Units Non-Residential 6,8321,6115,221 Jobs *Based on the estimated population increase and an average household size of 2.3 people.

14. Urban Growth Areas: Town of Coupeville 14 Coupeville Housing Capacity (Housing Units) Additional Housing Units Needed* Employment Capacity (Jobs) Estimated Employment Increase Excess Capacity to Accommodate Housing Units and Jobs Residential 379 65314 Housing Units Non-Residential 230 379(149) Jobs *Based on the estimated population increase and an average household size of 2.3 people.

15. Urban Growth Areas: Langley 15 Langley Housing Capacity (Housing Units) Additional Housing Units Needed* Employment Capacity (Jobs) Estimated Employment Increase Excess Capacity to Accommodate Housing Units and Jobs Residential 2,284 392,245 Housing Units City Limits only 896 39857 Housing Units Non-Residential 278 121157 Jobs *Based on the estimated population increase and an average household size of 2.3 people.

16. Urban Growth Areas: Freeland (NMUGA) 16 Freeland Housing Capacity (Housing Units) Additional Housing Units Needed* Employment Capacity (Jobs) Estimated Employment Increase Excess Capacity to Accommodate Housing Units and Jobs Residential 1,042 61981 Housing Units Non- Residential 820 246 574 Jobs Freeland Adjusted UGA Residential 271 61210 Housing Units Non- Residential 820 246 574 Jobs *Based on the estimated population increase and an average household size of 2.3 people.

17. UGA Summary: Residential Housing Capacity (Housing Units) Additional Housing Units Needed Based on Estimated Population Increase Excess Capacity for Housing Units Langley Residential 2,284 39 2,245 City Limits only 896 39 858 Freeland Residential 1,042 61 980 Coupeville Residential 341 65 276 Oak Harbor Low Estimate Residential 1,167 1,626 (458) High Estimate Residential 3,052 1,626 1,427 17

18. UGA Summary: Employment Developable Acres Employment Capacity (Jobs) Estimated Employment IncreaseExcess Job Capacity Langley Non-Residential22.5Acres 278 121 157 Freeland Non-Residential73Acres 820 246 574 Coupeville Non-Residential26.3Acres 230 379 (149) Oak Harbor Non-Residential651.8Acres 6,832 1,611 5,221 18

19. Buildable Lands Analysis Results  Questions or Comments? 19