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OPEN – FIN – INFO 1-16 January 31 – February 1, 2013 OPEN – FIN – INFO 1-16 January 31 – February 1, 2013 Strategic Financial Planning Assumptions and Three-year Budget Projections UM OPEN – GB – INFO 2 University of Missouri System Board of Curators January 31, 2013 FINANCE COMMITTEE
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OPEN – FIN – INFO 1-17 January 31 – February 1, 2013 FY2014 – 2016 Strategic Financial Planning Assumptions – Three Questions What are the strategic financial planning assumptions? Why does the University prepare the assumptions? What are they used for?
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OPEN – FIN – INFO 1-18 January 31 – February 1, 2013 Revenue Drivers that Impact Strategic Financial Planning Revenue Drivers State Appropriations for Operations Tuition and Fee Rates Enrollment Other Miscellaneous Revenue OPEN – GB – INFO 2
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OPEN – FIN – INFO 1-19 January 31 – February 1, 2013 Expense Drivers that Impact Strategic Financial Planning Expenditure Drivers Salary and Wage Changes Cost of Employee Benefits Maintenance and Repair Other Costs of Doing Business OPEN – GB – INFO 2
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OPEN – FIN – INFO 1-20 January 31 – February 1, 2013 Financial Objectives Strategic Reallocation – 1%-2% per year growing to 3%-4% Operating Results – Range 4.5%-5.9% Net Assets – 8.0%-12.1% Expenditure Reductions to Achieve Budget Equilibrium Revenue Generation to Achieve Budget Equilibrium
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OPEN – FIN – INFO 1-21 January 31 – February 1, 2013 Drivers & Results : Base Case OPEN – FIN – INFO 2
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OPEN – FIN – INFO 1-22 January 31 – February 1, 2013 Results : Base Case
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OPEN – FIN – INFO 1-23 January 31 – February 1, 2013 Scenario Summary
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OPEN – FIN – INFO 1-24 January 31 – February 1, 2013 Section 3: Preliminary FY2014 Budget Section 1: Setting the Financial Stage
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OPEN – FIN – INFO 1-25 January 31 – February 1, 2013 FY 2014 UM Preliminary Budget Issues Revenues Flat state support Constraints on tuition increases Expenses Increase in salaries and wages: merit & market Increase in medical costs and the required contribution to Retirement Fund Increase in M & R Control rate of increase in expenses relative to revenues 25
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OPEN – FIN – INFO 1-26 January 31 – February 1, 2013 Other Issues on the Horizon State support based on performance funding Limited capacity to increase tuition & fees Pressure to reduce costs and increase productivity Funding for strategic investment Pressure to increase output Retention rates Graduation rates # of Degrees Granted A new financial model for the future
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OPEN – FIN – INFO 1-27 January 31 – February 1, 2013 Projected Marginal Costs for FY2014 Budget - $51.2 million DecJan 1.Salary & Wages Increase$19.2$19.9 2.Benefits on Salary & Wages Increase 5.4 6.4 3.Flat Rate Benefit Increase (1.5% of Salary & Wages) 7.8 9.1 4. Total Compensation$32.4$35.4 5.Increase in M&R (inflation) 1.4 6.Other Marginal Cost Increases7.69.1 7.Costs Due to Enrollment &Priorities 4.9 5.3 8. Total Marginal Cost Increases$46.3$51.2 $ in Millions
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OPEN – FIN – INFO 1-28 January 31 – February 1, 2013 Projected Marginal Revenues for FY2014 Budget - $21.1 million DecJan 1.Increase in Net Tuition from Inflation (2% Dec; 1.7% Jan) $9.5$8.1 2.Increase in Net Supplemental from rate changes 2.4 2.3 3.Increase in Net Tuition Above Inflation 1.6 1.9 4.Increase in Net Tuition & Fees from Enrollment 6.64.9 5.State Appropriations0.0 6.Increase in Other Revenues (incl. dedicated) 1.2 3.9 7. Total Marginal Revenue Increases$21.3$21.1 $ in Millions
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OPEN – FIN – INFO 1-29 January 31 – February 1, 2013 Preliminary Funding Gap of $30.1 million DecJan 1. Marginal Cost Increases$46.3$ 51.2 2. Marginal Revenue Increases$21.3$21.1 3. Net Funding Gap$25.0$30.1 4. Gap as a % of Operating Expenses2.3%2.7% 5. Impact of 1% inc/dec State Approps (net)$3.8 6. Impact of 1% Rate inc in Net Tuition & Fees$4.8 7. Add’l Cost to reach M&R policy (FCNI of 0.30) $49.3 8. Strategic Reallocation 1-2% $ in Millions
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OPEN – FIN – INFO 1-30 January 31 – February 1, 2013 Questions?
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