1. NEI Cumulative Effect Thresholds Project 1 AGENDA  Overview  Kaska Planning Process  North Yukon Planning Process  Building Tools and Thresholds I.Wildlife II.Aquatic III.Social and Economic  Management Tools  Learning with Integrated Modelling  Next Steps

2. NEI Cumulative Effect Thresholds Project 2 I. WHY THRESHOLDS? Northern governments, First Nations, and communities are looking for tools to –help balance benefits and costs –define acceptable and unacceptable conditions What is acceptable?

3. NEI Cumulative Effect Thresholds Project 3 Landscape Change

4. NEI Cumulative Effect Thresholds Project 4 1% Change

5. NEI Cumulative Effect Thresholds Project 5 5% Change

6. NEI Cumulative Effect Thresholds Project 6 10% Change

7. NEI Cumulative Effect Thresholds Project 7 15% Change

8. NEI Cumulative Effect Thresholds Project 8 30% Change

9. NEI Cumulative Effect Thresholds Project 9 40% Change

10. NEI Cumulative Effect Thresholds Project 10 60% Change

11. NEI Cumulative Effect Thresholds Project 11 70% Change

12. NEI Cumulative Effect Thresholds Project 12 Cumulative Effect Tools ‘Rules of the road’

13. NEI Cumulative Effect Thresholds Project 13 Why Thresholds? Thresholds are a proven, efficient, and effective regulatory instrument –air and water quality standards –provide certainty to balance benefits and costs by defining acceptable and unacceptable conditions –development can proceed without detailed review until defined threshold is reached –applicable to both resource management and project reviews –help focus discussions, not applied in isolation

14. NEI Cumulative Effect Thresholds Project 14 II. DEVELOPING TOOLS A.Technical –defensible and based on best available science, traditional, and local knowledge B.Political and Social –social, economic, and ecological benefits and costs understood and acknowledged –build stewardship for long-term sustainability C.Administrative –practical and efficient rules, roles, and tools for regulators, communities, and companies

15. NEI Cumulative Effect Thresholds Project 15 A. Tools – Dose-Response

16. NEI Cumulative Effect Thresholds Project 16 Dose-Response

17. NEI Cumulative Effect Thresholds Project 17 What we Know: Ecological Indicators Aquatic health indices –Water quality –Benthic invertebrates –Index of Biotic Integrity Wildlife indices –Integrated Mammal Index –Integrated Avian Index Sensitive species response –Woodland caribou –Sport fish

18. NEI Cumulative Effect Thresholds Project 18 What we Know: Social Response Indicators (need community views) –Time spent harvesting decreases –Average income increases –Number of jobs increases –Community well-being changes

19. NEI Cumulative Effect Thresholds Project 19 B. Thresholds - Political and Social –Science alone cannot provide the answer Traditional and local knowledge needed Cumulative effects science and practice is still evolving, and there is substantial uncertainty Clear thresholds rarely occur –Communities adapt and social preferences change Reluctance by decision makers to arbitrarily assign numerical limits of acceptable change –Need flexible options that recognize a balance Integrate ecological and social values to develop thresholds

20. NEI Cumulative Effect Thresholds Project 20 Tools - Tiered Thresholds

21. NEI Cumulative Effect Thresholds Project 21 Tools - Threshold Options Limits of Acceptable ChangeTiered Thresholds

22. NEI Cumulative Effect Thresholds Project 22 Tools - Integrated Landscape Modelling Develop simulation model(s) to refine Tiered Thresholds or Limits of Acceptable Change ALCES North –Models help visualize change –Uncertainty with ‘black box’ Consult –Incorporate traditional and local knowledge –Involve land users and managers –Credible specialist involvement

23. NEI Cumulative Effect Thresholds Project 23 Modelling - CE Indicators Economic Social Environmental e.g., caribou, old forest water quality e.g., revenues from mining, outfitters employment, traditional lifestyle

24. NEI Cumulative Effect Thresholds Project 24 Modelling - Tiered Threshold Trade-offs $$ $ $ $ $

25. NEI Cumulative Effect Thresholds Project 25 C. Developing Thresholds – Administrative CE management tools –Vision and objectives –Land use planning –Resource management –Monitoring and research –Multi-project –Project-specific reviews –Information management –Coordination

26. NEI Cumulative Effect Thresholds Project 26 Developing Thresholds – Administrative Balanced –desired distribution of public and private benefits (local, regional, territorial) Practical and efficient –support existing and pending regulatory and management regime and processes –fiscal and regulatory incentives Clear rules and roles –consistent between sectors –adaptive management protocols –build links single project : multi-proponent industry : government : community