1. FY13 Budget and Caseload Update Fiscal Committee September 10, 2012

2. FY13 Caseload Overview Income Eligible: The Income Eligible account full year forecast is projecting a surplus of $14.2M. The forecast includes the Infant/Toddler Rate increase for providers self-assessed at QRIS level 2 or above (approx. 37%). The financial impact is projected to be $1.1M. The forecast includes growth for the number of providers reaching QRIS Level 2 or above. In June and July 139 children enrolled in Summer-Only Programs. The forecast includes Summer- Only care for 779 children for June 2012. After reducing the current surplus by the forecasted DTA deficit ($3.1M), the surplus is approximately $11M. This could sustain approximately 1600 children for 10 months. DTA-Related Caseload: The forecasted deficit is $3.1M. In June 2012 caseload was 16,920. Applying a historical percentage (3 years for caseload and cost) DTA’s projected caseload will range from 16,093 to 16,838. If FY13 caseload deviates from the historical trends, a decrease in expenditures could reduce the projected deficit. Supportive: The projected deficit is $475K. Forecasted trends are based on a three year average for caseload and cost. Ongoing discussions with DCF indicate an effort to fill open slots. 2

3. FY13 Caseload Overview Summary As of July 2012 3

4. 4 FY 2012 Income Eligible (3000-4060)

5. 5 FY 2012 DTA Related (3000-4050)

6. 6 FY 2012 Supportive (3000-3050)

7. 7 (Amount in Thousands) FY2013 Income Eligible Total Caseload Actual/Forecast & Budgeted Expenditures Total Appropriation of $231.9M includes $9,019,276 for Grants and $600K Reserve for Late Billing July 2012 Voucher Expenditures paid is $8,152,522 Actual/Forecast includes projected cost for Infant Toddler Rate Increase Gray : FY13 Appropriation (Vouchers, Contracts & Grants) Purple: FY13 Maintenance (Spending Plan Projection) ) Blue: Actual/Forecast Expenditures

8. FY2013 DTA Caseload Actual/Forecast & Budgeted Expenditures 8 ( Amount in Thousands ) Blue: Actual/Forecast Expenditures Gray : FY13 Appropriation Purple: FY13 Maintenance (Spending Plan Projection)

9. FY2013 Supportive Caseload Actual/Forecast & Budgeted Expenditures 9 ( Amount in Thousands ) Blue: Actual/Forecast Expenditures Gray : : FY13 Appropriation Purple: FY13 Maintenance (Spending Plan Projection)

10. FY12/13 Contract Slots - Regular and Flex 10 Total Awarded Slots is 14508 and Allowable Flex Slots is 858 34 Providers representing 44 contracts are Over 5% Flex (368.5) **No. of children filling slots may be greater than slots awarded.

11. Caseload Waitlist Since 8/2011 11 *Waitlist Data as of August 2011 is reported from KinderWait ** Excludes Unborn children, Children 13 or older, “0” zip codes and towns out of state.