1. Welcome ON WAR II. Summer Semester 2013/14 Jan Kofroň

2. Something about your lecturer… Jan Kofroň, Ph.D. Specialization: Geopolitical theories, hard security issues, warfare, methodology with focus on qualitative methods… Email: jan.kofron@fsv.cuni.czjan.kofron@fsv.cuni.cz Phone (office): 251 080 290,291 Face to face contact: Monday 13:30-15:00 (room 3082) –If Monday or the suggested time is inconvenient for you, write me an email and I will try to offer you some other time for personal meeting. My probable preferences are: Monday, Wednesday and Thursday.

3. ON WAR II. The aim of this course is to introduce students into the issues of war and battle activity. ON WAR II freely follows up on the course ON WAR I. It covers military issues after the 1 st WW. The course debates the role of technological development on the strategic, operational and tactical levels. We will debate, among others: (i) effects of introduction of modern air force, tanks or nuclear weapons, (ii) putative effects of the RMA on the battlefield activity and (iii) the small wars as a (not so?) new kind of war The course is structured along three basic military levels - strategic, operational and tactical. While the ON WAR I. Focused rather on broader implications of war(fare) on society, international politics and the national-state, the ON WAR II will focus rather on tactical or operational level.

4. Goals: At the end of the semester students should be able to understand the main aspects of wars in the modern era. Specifically, students should be able to understand basic technological, organizational and broader political patterns present in modern wars and modern warfare (at the tactical, operational and strategic level). Students should be able to analyze the significance of recent (or probable future) technological changes for the conduct of war. They should be able to analyze current conflicts and develop broader understanding of military tactics and operational art, which has important implications for come IR theories (namely neo-realism). In addition students should gain deeper understanding of basic technological and organizational concepts and terms related to modern warfare.

5. Syllabus 1) Organization, deadlines, demands and a brief outline of the course 2) WW II – strategic and tactical level a) Strategic issues (natural resources, alliances, etc.) b) Strategic role of air power (read Pape 1996) c) Strategic role of sea power and land power (ibid) d) Close air support b) Vertical outflank c) Tanks - from a strategic offensive weapon to a tactical defensive supplement 3) Nuclear Weapons a) Strategic - MAD: the end of a great power war forever? (Mearsheimer 2001) b) Tactical - nuclear battlefield: (counterfactual analysis) (Kirby, Goodwin 2008)

6. Blok I: Sources of battlefield effectiveness; or how to win a battle 4) Air support, when and how it is effective? –Strategic bombing (Haun, Jackson 2016) –Tactical bombing – air support (Press 2001) 5) Technology and RMA – hot air or the key variable? –Precision guided munition, its effects (Mearshiemer 1983) –Information based warfare (Krepinevitch 1994) 6) Force employment – an alternative to technological theories? –The theory (Biddle 2004) –Operation Goodwood (Biddle 2004) –Desert Storm (Biddle 1996) 7) Hybrid and asymetric warfare – what is so novel? –Lebanon 2006 Case (Biddle, Friedman 2008) –Afghanistan 2002-? (Biddle 2005)

7. Block II: Generating military might – broader issues 8) Political and Societal sources of battlefield performance –Economic development (Beckley 2010) –Political/Social/Class cohesion 9) Dictatorial regimes – ultimate threat or paper tigers? (Talmadge 2015) –Personalist regimes –Single party systems 10) Helping now, hurting in the long run; effects of military assistence on military power of small powers (Talmadge 2015) –South Vietnam –Iraq 11) Economic globalization and arms industry (Devore 2013) –Basic arguments –Different effects on different states? 12) final discussion: military inovations – adapting to present threats and preparing for future conflicts

8. Assesment: 20 % in class activity 50 % final paper (cca 5 000 – 7 500 words including footnotes etc.), 15 % take home assignments (one practical problem to solve – write a short 2-3 pgs. report offering a solution), 15 % presentation of an article (or a book) related to the modern warfare. –10-12 minutes, describe and analyze the key argument, find weak (or strong) points and express your opinion on the validity and practical relevance of the results!

9. Deadlines Please, select final papers topics early. –No later than: 21 th March Send me the final version of your paper no later than: 20 th June (2014). –It may happen that I will demand you to rewrite your paper. You will have two weeks to do it, and to send it back to me. Practical problem to solve – you will have 2 weeks to prepare your solution and (short) report Selection of topics for presentations – 3 rd class (29 th Feb)

10. Issues of Plagiarism Do not plagiarize! Do not plagiarize! Do not plagiarize! It is a sin… wait a moment… it is (probably) the only one academic sin which sends you from university and perhaps it will destroy your reputation in academia for the rest of your life. Therefore, cite properly all borowed ideas, numbers etc. –For example: Qualitative and quantitative research share general goals (causal inference), nevertheless they are not mutually easily intelligible, because there are important differences in the logical foundations of these two methodological approaches [Mahoney, Goertz 2006 and 2012]. If you want to use exact sentences written by somebody else you have to cite – with reference to exact page(s) if possible. –For example: „…(Mearsheimer´s perspective) it is a realist perspective, it is not the realist perspective“ [Kirschner 2012: 54]

11. When not to cite Instances of general common knowledge –Asia is bigger than Europe –Human beings need water… –Second world war caused enormous causalities and general suffering… Field specific common knowledge (a little bit more hazy) –Kenneth Waltz has been very influential theorists in the field of IR…. –Russia has bigger army than Georgia

12. Thank you for your attention Do not hesitate to ask….