1. Scottish Natural Heritage Dualchas Nàdair na h-Alba Scotland’s Natural Capital Asset Index Tuesday 3 May 2016 Paul.watkinson@snh.gov.uk

2. 1.What is natural capital? 2.What is (the point of) the NCAI? 3.Can we improve the NCAI?

3. Natural capital Social & human capital Financial & manufactured capital What is natural capital?

4. Natural capital = “A configuration (over time and space) of natural resources and ecological processes, that contributes through its existence and/or in some combination, to human welfare.” Natural capital Habitats Individual assets Living (e.g. biological stocks, biodiversity) Non-living (e.g. natural cycles, mineral deposits) Productive Configuration Spatially Functionally Temporally Combination (with other capital) Underpinned by ecology and geology NATURAL CAPITAL

5. ECOSYSTEM SERVICE SUPPLY CONTRIBUTION TO HUMAN WELL- BEING Inputs from other capital ECOSYSTEM SERVICE DEMAND What is natural capital? Natural capital

6. What is (the point of) the NCAI? Provide a valid and transparent framework for monitoring change in Scotland’s natural capital The NCAI is included as an indicator in the National Performance Framework

7. Natural Capital Asset Index 1950 to 2014 120 100 110 90 195020101960 1980200019701990 Base year 2000 = 100 Year QUANTITY QUALITY

8. What is the NCAI?

9. Quantity Quality – Potential and Actual

10. Quantity Countryside Survey (Land cover) EUNIS Land Cover of Scotland

11. Quality - Potential

12. Quality - Actual 42 indicators of habitat quality used in the NCAI. For example: Site condition monitoring Bird surveys Butterfly surveys Agriculture statistics

13. Quality - Actual Indicator A Indicator B

14. Can we improve the NCAI? ecosystem functions ecosystem processes ecosystem service supply ecosystem service demand human wellbeing VALID AND TRANSPARENT MODEL? Natural assets

15. Criteria for quality indicators Data available for more than one year, ideally since 2000 Updated regularly Good coverage in Scotland Indicator of natural capital (rather than ecosystem service flows) No major confounding factors

16. Can we improve the NCAI? Multivariate analysis Normalisation Weighting Sensitivity analysis

17. Next update January 2017 – open data? Consistency after this?

18. Thank you Paul.watkinson@snh.gov.uk