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Al Delattre allen.j.delattre@accenture.com May 15, 2003 Innovating for the Upturn
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© Accenture 2002. All Rights Reserved. 2 Late 1990s boom - a remarkable period of growth characterized by high business confidence. - global business models and strategies - A ‘new economy’ centered on information technology - A spirit of entrepreneurialism and innovation - Emphasis on knowledge and skills - “War for talent” Today - Retreat to core markets - Cost cutting - New economy dismissed as hype 2 © Accenture 2002. All Rights Reserved. 2 A time of discontinuity
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© Accenture 2002. All Rights Reserved. 3 Technology now integral part of business Manufacturing and Supply Chain Operations have become legitimate “critical success elements” Culture of innovation and entrepreneurialism in large and small organisations New market possibilities 3 © Accenture 2002. All Rights Reserved. 3 Legacy of the 1990s
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© Accenture 2002. All Rights Reserved. 4 Innovative business models and processes Strategic acquisitions New markets or customer niches New relationships 44 © Accenture 2002. All Rights Reserved. What did companies do last time?
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© Accenture 2002. All Rights Reserved. 5 Differences of this recession and recovery Business investment hit hard More synchronised downturn Uneven impact on industries Recovery will need to be investment led – business will need to make the recovery happen 5 © Accenture 2002. All Rights Reserved. 5
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6 GDP forecasts
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© Accenture 2002. All Rights Reserved. 7 EHT Index Performance forecasts Source: Factset
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© Accenture 2002. All Rights Reserved. 8 Worldwide Semiconductor Revenue, Unit Shipments and Aggregate ASP Source: Instat-MDR -Report No. IN030870SI Semiconductor Market Forecast Are we Recovered Yet? April 2003
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© Accenture 2002. All Rights Reserved. 9 Bold leaders – Napster era MP3 here to stay Nimble navigators – Disney’s time-tested model of releasing titles for limited time Market consolidators – HPQ – combined org on track for $3Bn a year in savings Mature explorers – Intel, Applied Materials Disruptive innovators – eBay still going, and going… 9 © Accenture 2002. All Rights Reserved. 9 Recovery strategies
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© Accenture 2002. All Rights Reserved. 10 Be ahead of the pack Build resilience through flexibility Engage and connect Be a leader of leaders Seek discipline, not control 10 © Accenture 2002. All Rights Reserved. 10 Leadership Imperatives for the Upturn
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© Accenture 2002. All Rights Reserved. 11 Get the right balance between short and long-term Spend strategically Look to tomorrow’s markets © Accenture 2002. All Rights Reserved. 11 Action 1 - Be ahead of the pack
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© Accenture 2002. All Rights Reserved. 12 NA EHT market segment – Multimedia growth ($Bn) Sources: Jupiter
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© Accenture 2002. All Rights Reserved. 13 EHT segment forecasts Medical electronics - The worldwide market for implantable medical devices, which currently stands at over $50 billion, is poised for continued growth over the next five years. Automotive - In the next five years the global automotive market is expected to grow by 3% per year. With more electronic per car Automotive electronics is projected to grow from $92 billion in 2002 to $144 billion in 2007-an annual growth of 8.5%. Security - The world security equipment market, currently at US $45 billion, will log rapid gains through 2006, bolstered by economic recovery and heightened fears of terrorism. Telecommunications equipment - shipment forecasts are illustrated in the figure below. Markets at $204.8 billion are expected to dip to $184.9 billion in 2002 and rise slowly to $344.1 billion by 2007. Wireless - Cellular phone handsets grow to 927 million units by 2006, PDA's reach 13.3 million units in 2002 - will grow to 34.7 million units by 2006.
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© Accenture 2002. All Rights Reserved. 14 CE - Consumers still gaga over gadgets Stand-alone DVD players are now in 35 percent of U.S. homes. Sales of Digital TV (DTV) sets and displays exceeded CEA forecasts in 2002. By the end of 2003 consumers will have invested more than $15 billion in DTV products. Consumer interest in flat panel televisions will result in strong gains in related categories in 2003. Sales of plasma sets will rise by 40 percent in 2003. Rapid Adoption of Digital Audio: Despite continuing debates over home recording rights, MP3 players shot past all estimates. In digital imaging, Digital Camera sales will total more than 11 million units in 2003, up 26 percent from 2002, on dollar sales of $2.9 billion. Wireless telephones will increase by 6 percent to 60 million units on dollar sales of $8.8 billion. Electronic gaming market will total over $12 billion in 2003 with sales of gaming software increasing by 17 percent to $9.2. Source: 2003 U.S. Sales of Consumer Electronics to Hit New Record, Kissing $100 Billion, Says CEA, 1/7/03
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© Accenture 2002. All Rights Reserved. 15 Flexibility Entrepreneurial working environment Knowledge sharing Shared values and direction 15 © Accenture 2002. All Rights Reserved. Action 2 - Build resilience through flexibility
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© Accenture 2002. All Rights Reserved. 16 Connected corporations Diversity of thought Building trust New markets Knowledge and expertise Risk sharing Freedom to focus on core functions 16 © Accenture 2002. All Rights Reserved. Action 3 – Engage and connect
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© Accenture 2002. All Rights Reserved. 17 Collaborate and be open Give strength - foster leadership skills Draw strength – from others Set realistic expectations 17 © Accenture 2002. All Rights Reserved. Action 4 – Be a leader of leaders
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© Accenture 2002. All Rights Reserved. 18 Cost control across the business cycle Structured development of leadership entrepreneurialism innovation 18 © Accenture 2002. All Rights Reserved. Action 5 – Seek discipline, not control
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