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CLIMATE VULNERABILITY MONITOR.  New approach to assessing the climate vulnerability of the world at country level.  It draws on the most recent science.

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Presentation on theme: "CLIMATE VULNERABILITY MONITOR.  New approach to assessing the climate vulnerability of the world at country level.  It draws on the most recent science."— Presentation transcript:

1 CLIMATE VULNERABILITY MONITOR

2  New approach to assessing the climate vulnerability of the world at country level.  It draws on the most recent science and research.  Looks into socio-economic impacts – negative and positive – of Climate Change and the Carbon economy, separately and combined.  Commissioned by the Climate Vulnerable Forum in the Dhaka Ministerial Declaration of November 2011: Afghanistan, Bangladesh, Bhutan, Costa Rica, Ethiopia, Ghana, Kenya, Kiribati, Madagascar, Maldives, Nepal, Philippines, Rwanda, Saint Lucia, Tanzania, Timor-Leste, Tuvalu, Vanuatu, Vietnam

3  34 indicators of effects of Climate Change (22 indicators) and the Carbon economy (12 indicators).  Determined on the basis of mortality and economics losses or gains.  Estimations for 2010 & 2030.  Data for 184 countries.  Five vulnerability levels.

4  Environmental Disasters 1. Drought 2. Floods and landslides 3. Storms 4. Wildfires  Habitat Change 1. Biodiversity 2. Desertification 3. Heating and Cooling 4. Labour Productivity 5. Permafrost 6. Sea-level Rise 7. Water  Health Impact 1. Diarrheal Infections 2. Heat & Cold Illnesses 3. Hunger 4. Malaria & Vector-borne 5. Meningitis  Industry Stress 1. Agriculture 2. Fisheries 3. Forestry 4. Hydro Energy 5. Tourism 6. Transport

5  Environmental Disasters 1. Oil Sands 2. Oil Spills  Habitat Change 1. Biodiversity 2. Corrosion 3. Water  Health Impact 1. Air Pollution 2. Indoor Smoke 3. Occupational Hazards 4. Skin Cancer  Industry Stress 1. Agriculture 2. Fisheries 3. Forestry

6  Level of confidence that the research team attributes to the indicator summarizing 4 criteria  A 3 point scale is used to evaluate each criteria

7 The map indicates regional uncertainties of key climate factors. It shows the level of disagreement among groups of climate models on the direction of change of a given indicator's key climate variable.

8 The map shows the 2030 vulnerability level for every country.

9 CLIMATE VULNERABILITY MONITOR

10  Feedback for the development of the monitor’s methodology  Explain how the analysis of the monitor can be used in a national situation  Serve as a knowledge-sharing mechanism for best practice and change management for the benefit of other vulnerable countries  Provide an outside supporting analysis of interest to national policy makers and development partners

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12 ClimateCarbon

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14  Total economic cost due to CC impacts estimated to increased from 5% (2010) to 11% (2030).

15  The most significant impacts for Vietnam (and also globally), especially in relation to heat stress.  Total cost due to climate change: 4.4% GDP (2010)/8.6% GDP (2030)

16  Total economic cost: 0.7% (2010) to 2% (2030) GDP.  Largest total losses in the fisheries sectors due to climate change.

17  National workshop in Hanoi focused on policy aspects.  Field researches on Ben Tre and Yen Bai.  In-depth interview with stakeholders (Authorities, NGOs, Businesses, Communities etc.)

18 Public awareness:  A key priority.  Levels of public awareness on climate change issues are both challenges and opportunities.  A focus on practical actions that people can apply and involved in is necessary. M&E:  Needs to enhance M&E efforts to promote learning and improve implementation.  A better criteria for evaluation is vital.

19 Sea level rises and related phenomena:  The tendency to adopt hard measures may not be the best option.  A diversification of response strategy is more practical.  Addressing other factors (e.g. managing common resources and/or transnational water issues) would be a step toward meeting these challenges.

20 Aquaculture and fisheries:  Dominant industries and sources of livelihood, but also capital intensive, highly sensitive to climate and risky.  Limited serious regulation targeting overfishing and protecting young fish stock.  Preservation of coastal mangrove is seen as vital.

21 Social vulnerability:  Malnutrition, access to clean water and electricity etc. School and education:  Initiatives exist with initial positive results Agriculture:  Very sensitive to extreme weather and impacts. Currently no insurance scheme to help protect the farmer from weather/climate related risks.


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