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History 171D The United States and the World Since 1945
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Clinton’s World
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Fall 1993—Eighteen US servicemen were killed in firefight with Somali gunmen, prompting Clinton to withdraw US forces from country Africa Black Hawk helicopter
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Spring 1994—Rwanda was plunged into civil war, pitting Hutus against Tutsis Africa
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Spring 1994—Rwanda was plunged into civil war, pitting Hutus against Tutsis; Rwandan Patriotic Front (RPF) vs. Rwandan government Africa
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Spring 1994—About 800,000 Rwandans, mostly Tutsis, were brutally massacred; genocide spearheaded by Hutu extremists Africa
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UN failed to act in time to prevent massacres; Clinton administration, gun-shy after Somalia, reinforced inaction Africa
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Balkans Former Yugoslavia composed of many different groups, e.g. Serbs, Croats, Muslims, ethnic Albanians
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Balkans Early 1990s—Yugoslavia broke up as Croatia and Bosnia-Herzegovina declared independence
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Balkans Serbia, under Slobodan Milosevic, launched wars against breakaway republics to annex portions of their territory
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Balkans Serbia, under Slobodan Milosevic, launched wars against breakaway republics to annex portions of their territory
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Balkans Milosevic encouraged Serbs in breakaway republics to engage in “ethnic cleansing”; situation especially dire for Bosnian Muslims
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Balkans Milosevic encouraged Serbs in breakaway republics to engage in “ethnic cleansing”; situation especially dire for Bosnian Muslims Bosnian Serb militiamen
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Balkans Clinton initially did little about Bosnia but eventually began encouraging de facto partition of Bosnia
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Balkans 1995—Clinton supported NATO air strikes against Bosnian Serbs
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Balkans Late 1995—Clinton invited Milosevic and presidents of Croatia and Bosnia to meet in Dayton, Ohio
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Balkans Dayton Agreement recognized de facto partition of Bosnia into Serbian republic and Muslim-Croat federation; US stationed troops in Bosnia to help enforce agreement
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Balkans Late 1990s—Violence erupted in Kosovo, autonomous province of Serbia Kosovo Liberation Army (ethnic Albanians) forcibly resisted Milosevic’s attempts to populate Kosovo with ethnic Serbs
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Balkans March 1999—NATO (with heavy US involvement) launched bombing campaign against Serbia to force it to respect Kosovo’s autonomy Serbian anti-aircraft fire in Belgrade
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Balkans NATO bombing provoked massive exodus of Kosovar Albanians
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Balkans June 1999—Milosevic relinquished control over Kosovo and allowed NATO to occupy it; refugees returned home
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Let’s step back a bit...
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Vietnam Veterans Against the War, 1971
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John Kerry
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Daniel Ellsberg
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Edward Snowden
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9/11 and After
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Osama Bin Laden
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How to explain emergence of Osama bin Laden and al-Qa‘ida in late 20th century?
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Political dimension (how bin Laden gained adherents in Muslim world) Resentment of Western and US domination Failure of secular nationalism, leading to growth of Islamism
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How to explain emergence of Osama bin Laden and al-Qa‘ida in late 20th century? Logistical dimension (how bin Laden acquired a base in Afghanistan)
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1980s—CIA worked covertly with Saudi and Pakistani governments to recruit young men from across Muslim world to join Mujahidin resisting Soviet invasion of Afghanistan
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1980s—Osama bin Laden took part in effort to oust Soviet Union from Afghanistan—was working in parallel with US
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1989—Bin Laden formed al-Qa‘ida (the base)
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Early 1990s—Bin Laden turned against Saudi regime because it allowed US troops to occupy Saudi Arabia
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Early 1990s—Bin Laden moved to Sudan and began sponsoring anti-US attacks
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... such as the first World Trade Center bombing, February 1993
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... and attacks on US forces in Somalia, 1993 Black Hawk helicopter
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1996—Bin Laden returned to Afghanistan, where the Taliban were taking over
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The Taliban
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Early 1998—Bin Laden announced formation of “World Islamic Front for Jihad Against Jews and Crusaders”
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Early 1998—Monica Lewinsky scandal erupted
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1997... an amazing coincidence
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August 1998—Al-Qa‘ida operatives bombed US embassies in Kenya and Tanzania
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August 1998—Clinton launched rocket attacks against al-Qa‘ida training camps in Afghanistan and against pharmaceutical factory in Sudan
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Ahmed Ressam, aka “Millennium Bomber”
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Summer 2001—indications al-Qa‘ida was preparing to strike within US
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George W. Bush administration was divided between pragmatists and hawks
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Secretary of State Colin Powell
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Vice President Richard Cheney
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Secretary of Defense Donald Rumsfeld
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Deputy Secretary of Defense Paul Wolfowitz
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September 11, 2001— al-Qa‘ida-sponsored terrorists flew planes into World Trade Center and Pentagon, killing about 3,000
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After 9/11 Taliban rejected US demand that they turn over bin Laden
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So Bush sent US forces to attack Taliban and al-Qa‘ida in Afghanistan
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Northern Alliance
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November-December 2001—Taliban were defeated
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Pro-US government, under Hamid Karzai, took power in Kabul
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But bin Laden escaped from Tora Bora into Pakistan
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68 By early 2002 Bush administration was shifting its focus from bin Laden to Saddam Hussein
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69 By early 2002 Bush administration was shifting its focus from bin Laden to Saddam Hussein
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Saddam Hussein and Weapons of Mass Destruction (WMD)
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CIA rendering of Curveball’s claim 2000-2001—Iraqi defector Rafid Ahmad Alwan (aka “Curveball”) told German intelligence that Saddam Hussein had built mobile biological weapons labs
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2002—Under torture in Egyptian prison, Ibn al-Shaykh al-Libi claimed that Iraq had provided al-Qa‘ida with training in chemical and biological weapons
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February 2003—Secretary of State Colin Powell repeated both Curveball’s and al-Libi’s claims at United Nations
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September 2002—Bush called on UN to pass resolution demanding that Iraq disarm itself of weapons of mass destruction
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CIA Director George Tenet
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October 2002—Supplied with misleading intelligence, Congress passed Iraq War Resolution CIA “White Paper” on Iraq and WMD
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November 2002—UN Security Council passed Resolution 1441, calling on Iraq to disarm itself of weapons of mass destruction, warning of “serious consequences” if it failed to do so
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Late 2002—UN inspectors started operating in Iraq
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December 2002-January 2003—US deployed more troops to Persian Gulf; France and Germany opposed use of force without subsequent UN resolution German Foreign Minister Joschka Fischer
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Early 2003—UN weapons inspectors found no evidence of WMD programs but asked for more time to continue investigation Chief UN weapons inspector Hans Blix
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March 2003—US, Britain, and “coalition of the willing” launched Iraq War without second UN resolution
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April 2003—Saddam Hussein regime fell; but US forces failed to provide adequate security, permitting widespread looting and violence
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Summer 2003—Iraqi Insurgency broke out
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2003-2008—Iraqi civil war
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2007-2008—US “troop surge,” combined with “Sunni Awakening,” helped to stabilize country
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December 2011—US troops withdrawn from Iraq
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May 1, 2011
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