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Mehmet ŞİMŞEK Minister of Finance
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2 Global Economic Outlook
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3 Credit Conditions in the USA (Percentage Change) Source: FED
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4 Credit Conditions in Europe (Percentage Change) Source: ECB
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5 Source: IMF World Trade (Annual Percentage Change)
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6 Global Growth Rates (%) Source: IMF
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7 Source: IMF, The Economist Countries that Experienced the Highest GDP Contraction in 2009 (%)
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8 Net Capital Inflow to Developing Countries (Billion $) Source: IMF
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9 * Unemployment rate for March 2010 period. Source: OECD, The Economist Unemployment Rates (%)
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10 Inflation Developments in the World (%) Source: IMF
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11 Consumer Price Index (CPI) in Some Developing Countries (%) Source: OECD
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12 Poverty Outlook (Those with Income below 1.25 Dollar per day, 2009, %) Source: WB
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13 Budget Balance in Some Countries /GDP (2008-2009-2010, %) Source: IMF, The Economist
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14 Increase in Budget Deficits of Some Countries (y-o-y increase/GDP rate) Source: IMF, The Economist
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15 Debt Stock/GDP (%) Source: IMF, Eurostat, Treasury
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16 Interest Rates of Selected Countries* (%) Source: Central Banks of the Countries * As of 18.06.2010.
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17 Volatility Index VIX (01.03.2000-24.06.2010) Source: Reuters
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18 Global Risk Appetite Index Source: Central Bank of Turkey
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19 Baltic Dry Index (04.01.2000–24.06.2010) Source: Reuters
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20 Basic Macroeconomic Problems of Turkey and Solution Offers
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21 Current Account Deficit
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22 Source: SPO Components of the Total Investments (Total Investments=100)
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23 Current Account Balance (Billion $) Source: Central Bank of Turkey (CBT)
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24 Foreign Trade of Turkey (Billion $) Source: TURKSTAT
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25 Current Account Balance Except for Energy Import (Billion $) Source: CBT and TURKSTAT
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26 Energy Prices and Current Account Balance (%) Source: TURKSTAT and CBT
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27 Current Account Deficit: Solution Offers
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28 Our Vision for Turkey Creating a country which is; Competitive at global scale, Transformed into an information society, Completed the EU process.
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29 Change in the Composition of Exports (Shares, %) Source: TURKSTAT
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30 Number of Export Products amounting to more than 1 Billion Dollar Annually Source: TURKSTAT
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31 Number of countries that Turkey exports more than 1 billion dollar annually Source: TURKSTAT
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32 R&D Reform High-Quality Products Productivity Entrepreneurship Technology-Intensive Production Innovation
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33 R&D Expenditure (Million TL) Source: TURKSTAT
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34 R&D Expenditure Per Capita (Purchasing Power Parity, $) Source: TUBITAK
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35 Education For the last 7 years, we have allocated the highest resource to education. Human capital is one of the most significant factors that affect growth and competitiveness. We enhanced the quality of human capital. We increased investments in human capital.
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36 Budget of the Ministry of Education (Billion TL) Source: Ministry of Education (MoE)
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37 Gross Enrollment Ratio (%) Source: MoE * Enrollment ratios of the higher education are for the academic year of 2008-2009.
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38 Number of Classrooms Built Source: MoE
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39 Total Number of Universities Source: Student Selection and Placement Center
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40 Total Number of Schools, Faculties and Institutes Source: MoE
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41 Education System Index (Coverage of the Requirements of a Competitive Economy*, 2009) (*) Index scale is in the range of 0-10. Source: IMD
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42 Source: State Hydraulic Works Total Capacity of the Hydroelectric Energy Project under Construction (MW, Annually)
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43 Source: State Hydraulic Works Number of Hydroelectric Power Plants Under Progress
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44 Position of Turkey in Europe in terms of its Wind Energy Capacity Source: EWEA
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45 Energy Map of Turkey Petroleum and Natural Gas Search/Production RegionGold Deposit Area Source: Ministry of Energy and Natural Resources
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46 Kırklareli Pityon Mandıra Uzunköprü Pehlivanköy Adapazarı Bandırma Balıkesir Manisa Denizli Zonguldak MALATYA Alayunt Kütahya Meydanekbez KONYA Karaman KAYSERİ Elazığ Muş Tatvan Van Kapıköy Diyarbakır Kurtalan Gaziantep Mardin Nusaybin Narlı Kahramanmaraş Mersin Çankırı Samsun Amasya Kars Erzurum Erzincan Irmak Polatlı Van Gölü B L A C K S E A A E G E A N S E A İSTANBUL Çerkezköy (Sirkeci) Burdur Isparta İskenderun Aydın Batman İzmit Karabük Uşak Yerköy Divriği SİVAS ADANA ANKARA AFYON İZMİR Aliağa Kapıkule Yozgat BURSA OSMANELİ ANTALYA ESKİŞEHİR Sincan Tiflis Kerkük Musul Bağdad Halep Total Investment Cost:12 billion 530 million $ Line Construction Cost:10 billion 400 million $ 74 High Speed Trains : 2 billion 130 million $ WHEN HIGH SPEED TRAIN PROJECTS ARE COMPLETED: Annually ; 40 million passengers 1 billion 665 million $ revenue 916 million $ net revenue Lines put into operation Lines under construction TARGETS FOR TURKISH STATE RAILWAYS High Speed Train Lines Lines planned to be constructed
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47 Construction Photos of Ankara-Istanbul High Speed Train Project New high speed line Current line
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48 Divided Roads Source: Ministry of Transportation
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49 2002 Year-end 6.101 Km 01.12.2009 17.258 Km Target for 2012 22.500 Km Divided Road Constructions: Target for 2012 Source: Ministry of Transportation
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50 CONTRIBUTION TO ECONOMY : Contribution of 11.373 km divided road constructed after 2003 to the Economy Decrease in the annual travel period In return for 96 Million hours 3,345 Billion TL Gas saving In return for 550 Million TL 470 Billion TL TOTAL ANNUAL SAVINGS 3,815 Billion TL Total Divided Roads (Km)
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51 Total Divided Roads (Km) Source: Ministry of Transportation
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52 ATATÜRK ÇORLU UŞAK ÇANAKKALE KÖRFEZ A.MENDERES M.BODRUM KONYA ANTALYA DALAMAN S.DEMİREL ESENBOĞA KAYSERİ ADANA N.KAPADOKYA SAMSUN-ÇARŞ MALATYA ELAZIĞ DİYARBAKIR ERZİNCAN SİİRT F.MELEN MUŞ ERZURUM AĞRI TRABZON KARS ADIYAMAN K.MARAŞ Ş.URFA G.ANTEP MARDİN BURSA-YEN SİVAS Airports IN SERVICE UNDER CONSTRUCTION ÇARDAK HAKKARİ ŞIRNAK IĞDIR ÇUKUROVA BALIKESİR- MERKEZ KÜTAHYA SİNOP A.MERZİFON S.GÖKÇEN TOKAT HATAY BATMAN SİİRT ESKİŞEHİR ZONGULDAK BİNGÖL Source: Ministry of Transportation
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53 Number of Passengers (thousand persons) Source: Directorate General of State Airports Authority
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54 Fixed Capital Investments/GDP (%) Source: SPO
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55 Contribution of the Private Sector to the GDP (pp.) Source: TURKSTAT
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56 Public Investments/GDP (%)
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57 New Stimulus Package VAT exception Customs Duty Exemption Income and Corporate Tax Cut Financial Aid for Employer Share in Social Security Premiums Investment Area Assignment
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58 Ranking of Countries that Attract Most FDI YearRank of Turkey Foreign Direct Investment (Billion Dollar) 2000511,0 2001373,4 2002511,1 2003481,7 2004382,8 20052210,0 20061820,2 20072522,0 20082018,3 Source: UNCTAD
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59 Foreign Direct Investments (Billion $) Source: CBT
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60 Change in the International Competitiveness (2009-2010) Source: WEF Global Competitiveness Report, 2009
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61 Starting Business (Number of Transactions) Source: World Bank Doing Business Report, 2010
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62 Starting Business (Duration, Days) Source: World Bank Doing Business Report, 2010
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63 GAP (Southeastern Anatolia Project) Public Investments (Billion TL) Source: Prime Ministry Southeastern Anatolia Project Regional Development Administration
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64 Unemployment
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65 Unemployment Rates in Turkey (%) Note: Data after 2004 was revised by the TURKSTAT according to the new population projections. Source: TURKSTAT 65
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66 Sectoral Distribution of Employment (%) Source: TURKSTAT
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67 Non-Agricultural Employment (Thousand Persons) Source: TURKSTAT It was revised according to the new population projections of and after 2004.
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68 Employment Status of Those Employed (%) Source: TURKSTAT
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69 Unemployment : Solution Offers
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70 Labor Market Reform-1 Reduction of the labor costs 5 pp deduction in employer share in the social security premiums Reduction in employer share in the social security premiums paid for all newly hired women and young employees in decreasing rates for 5 years Covering employer shares in social security premiums paid for the disabled employees Removing the obligation to hire an ex-convict Providing premium support for additional employment Increase in the short term allowances and extension of the period envisaged for this benefit Increase in the amount of unemployment fund payment
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71 Strengthening active labor force programs Expansion of vocational training activities provided by the İŞKUR (Turkish Employment Agency) Enabling citizens to start their own business by providing them entrepreneurship and training consultancy Employment of the unemployed youngs as interns Temporary tax cuts in certain sectors More resource allocation to the employment- intensive development projects such as GAP (Southeatern Anatolia Project), DAP (Eastern Anatolia Project) and KOP (Konya Plain Project) Fighting against the informal economy Increasing punishment and enhancing audits Labor Market Reform-2
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72 Unemployment by Education Level (%) Source: TURKSTAT
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73 Part-Time Works (%, 2008) Source: OECD
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74 Budget Deficits and Borrowing
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75 Central Government Budget Deficit/GDP (%)
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76 Average Budget Deficit/GDP (%) * Budgets in 1996-2005 are consolidated but the others are central government budget. ** Before 1998 the previous GDP series are used while after that year the new GDP series are used.
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77 General Government Budget Deficit (EU Definition)/GDP (%) Maastricht Criteria: 3 Source: TURKSTAT and SPO
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78 Interest Expenses/GDP (%)
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79 Interest Expenses/Tax Expenditures (%)
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80 Borrowing Requirements of the Public Sector/GDP (%) Source: SPO
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81 Source: Treasury TRY Denominated Zero Coupon Borrowing Rates (Comp. Ann. %)
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82 Source: Treasury Public Net Debt Stock (Billion TL)
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83 Public Net Debt Stock/GDP (%) Source: Treasury
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84 Debt Stock resulted by imposing Annual Rates on the Internal Debt Stock in 2002 (Million TL) Source: Treasury
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85 Our Debts to the IMF (Million $) Source: Treasury
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86 Gross External Debt Stock (Billion $) Source: Treasury
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87 Gross External Debt Stock/GDP (%) Source: Treasury
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88 Debt Stock (EU Definition)/GDP (%) Source: Treasury, SPO
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89 Rank of Turkey among the EU Member States in terms of the General Government Debt Stock (EU Definition)/GDP Ratio (2002-2008) Source: Eurostat
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90 Debt Stock (Billion $) Source: IMF, Eurostat, Treasury
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91 Household Debt/GDP (2007, %) Source: GS
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92 Budget Deficits and Borrowing: Solution Offers
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93 Informal Economy and Justice in Taxation
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94 Tax + Social Security Premium Burden on the Average Wages in the OECD Countries (2009,%) * AGI: Minimum living allowance Source: OECD
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95 Rank of Turkey among the OECD Countries in terms of Tax + Social Security Burden on the Average Wages Source: OECD
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96 Tax Burden in the OECD Countries (Tax Revenues/GDP, 2008, %) * 2009 year-end realization figures ** 2007 data is used for the countries that do not have 2008 estimations Source: OECD
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97 Tax Burden in the OECD Countries (Tax Rev.+Soc.Sec. Prem.+Local Adm. Rev./GDP, 2008, %) * Figures for the tax revenues are 2009 year-end realizations while Social Security Premiums and Local Administration Revenues are year-end estimations. ** 2007 data is used for the countries that do not have 2008 estimations Source: OECD
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98 The Top Bracket Rates in Income Tax in the OECD Countries (2008,%) Source: OECD
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99 Rank of Turkey among the OECD Countries in terms of the Top Bracket of the Income Tax (30 Countries) Source: OECD
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100 Taxes imposed on the Income and Profits/ GDP by countries (Excluding Social Security Premiums, 2008, %) * 2009 year-end realization figures ** 2007 data is used for the countries that do not have 2008 estimations Source: OECD
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101 Taxes imposed on the Income and Profits/ GDP by countries (Including Social Security Premiums, 2008, %) * Figures for the tax revenues are 2009 year-end realizations while Social Security Premiums are year-end estimations. ** 2007 data is used for the countries that do not have 2008 estimations Source: OECD
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102 Taxes imposed on Goods and Services/GDP by Countries (Excluding Local Administration Taxes, 2008, %) * 2009 year-end realization figures ** 2007 data is used for the countries that do not have 2008 estimations Source: OECD
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103 Taxes imposed on Goods and Services/GDP by Countries (Including Local Administration Taxes, 2008, %) * Figures for the tax revenues are 2009 year-end realizations while Local Administration Revenues are year- end estimations. ** 2007 data is used for the countries that do not have 2008 estimations Source: OECD
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104 Taxes imposed on Properties/GDP by Countries (Excluding Local Administration Taxes, 2008, %) * 2009 year-end realization figures ** 2007 data is used for the countries that do not have 2008 estimations Source: OECD
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105 Taxes imposed on Properties/GDP by Countries (Including Local Administration Taxes, 2008, %) * Figures for the tax revenues are 2009 year-end realizations while Local Administration Revenues are year- end estimations. ** 2007 data is used for the countries that do not have 2008 estimations Source: OECD
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106 Share of the Direct and Indirect Taxes in the Total Taxes in the OECD Countries (Excluding Social Security Premiums, 2008)* *2007 data is used for the countries that do not have 2008 estimations. **Figures for Turkey are 2009 year-end tax revenue realizations. Note: In 2010, Indirect-Direct Taxes/ GDP Ratios including Social Security Premiums are estimated to be 50.2 percent for Direct Taxes, 49.8 percent for Indirect Taxes and the Ratio excluding Social Security Premiums is forecasted to be 33.1 percent for Direct Taxes and 66.9 for Indirect Taxes. Source: OECD
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107 Share of the Direct and Indirect Taxes in the Total Taxes in the OECD Countries (Including Social Security Premiums, 2008)* *2007 data is used for the countries that do not have 2008 estimations. ** Figures for Turkey are calculated with 2009 year-end tax revenue realizations and estimations for Social Security Premiums revenues and 5 percent state aids for the Social Security Premiums is taken into consideration. Note: In 2010, Indirect-Direct Taxes/ GDP Ratios including Social Security Premiums are estimated to be 50.2 percent for Direct Taxes, 49.8 percent for Indirect Taxes and the Ratio excluding Social Security Premiums is forecasted to be 33.1 percent for Direct Taxes and 66.9 for Indirect Taxes. Source: OECD
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108 Tax Burden on the Profit Shares Distributed by the Corporations (2009, %) Source: OECD
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109 Rank of Turkey among the OECD Countries in terms of the Tax Burden on the Corporate Profits (30 Countries) Source: OECD
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110 Corporate Tax Rates in the OECD Countries (2009,%) Source: OECD
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111 Rank of Turkey among the OECD Countries in terms of the Lowest Corporate Tax Rates (30 Countries) Source: OECD
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112 Has Turkey Prospered during the Ruling Period of AKP?
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113 GDP Growth Rates (%) Source: TURKSTAT
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114 Average Growth Rates by Periods (%) Source: TURKSTAT
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115 Gross Domestic Product (Million $) Source: TURKSTAT
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116 GDP per capita ($) Source: TURKSTAT, SPO
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117 The Top Largest 20 Economies in the World (GDP, 2009, Billion $) Source: IMF
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118 The Largest Economies in the Europe (As of 2008 GDP, GDP by Purchasing Power Parity, Trillion $) Source: IMF
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119 Quintiles (groups of 20 percent) ranked by the Equivalised Disposable Household Income Note: When individuals are divided into 5 groups by being ranked from lower to higher as per their equivalised disposable household incomes; “First quintile” is defined as the lowest income group while “Last quintile” as the highest income group. Source: TURKSTAT
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120 Poverty Outlook (those having an income below 1.25 per day, 2009, %) Source: WB
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121 Poverty Outlook in Turkey (%) Source: TURKSTAT
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122 Hunger and Poverty Thresholds in Turkey (TL) Source: TURKSTAT
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123 Automobile Production and Sales (thousand units) Source: OSD
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124 Source: Treasury Production and Sales of Major Appliances (thousand units)
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125 LCD Use Source: Turktrade
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126 Estimated Number of Internet Users (thousand persons) Source: Information and Communication Technologies Authority
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127 Some Products that can be purchased by the net minimum wage Source: TURKSTAT
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128 Some Products that can be purchased with the Lowest Civil Servant Salary Source: TURKSTAT
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129 Salary and Wage Changes between 2002-2010 In the period of January 2003 to January 2010, cumulative change in CPI is 97.8 percent. Moreover the following changes experienced in the period of January 2002 to January 2010 on the same basis: The lowest civil servant salary increased by 196.6 percent from 392 TL in December 2002 to 1.255 TL in January 2010. Net minimum wage increased by 183.2 percent from 184 TL in December 2002 to 577 TL in January 2010. The lowest retirement pension of Social Security Institution increased by 170.3 from 257 TL in December 2002 to 695 TL in January 2010. The lowest retirement pension of BAĞ-KUR (insurance scheme for the self-employed) rose by 274.4 from 149 TL in December 2002 to 557 TL in January 2010. The lowest farm retirement pension of BAĞ-KUR rose by 500.2 from 66 TL in December 2002 to 395 TL in January 2010. The lowest retirement pension of civil servants increased by 129.7 from 377 TL in December 2002 to 865 TL in January 2010. The Old-Age (65 years) Pension increased by 297.4 percent from 24 TL in December 2002 to 97 TL in January 2010. Muhtar (head of a village or a quarter in district) salaries increased by 251.3 percent from 97 TL in December 2002 to 342 TL in January 20101. These salary amounts and rates clearly indicate that financial situation of the working, retired and low-income people has improved as compared to 2002 and there are real increases in their incomes.
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130 Inflation Developments in Turkey (1980–2010) Source: TURKSTAT and CBT
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131 Average Inflation Rate (%) Source: TURKSTAT and CBT
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132 Realized Inflation and Year-end Inflation Targets (January 2002 – May 2010, %) Source: TURKSTAT and CBT
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133 Turkey in the Global Inflation Ranking Total number of countries is 205 and ranking is from highest to lowest. Source: IMF, TURKSTAT, CBT
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