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What’s Falling Apart in the Injector Chain ? PS/SPS Days January 2005
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PS/SPS Consolidation, J. Poole, January 2005 1 Consolidation When equipment and facilities are built they have an expected lifetime which should be reached if they are maintained properly and used in the correct way. Extension of the lifetime beyond this expected value requires renovation/modification/replacement i.e. consolidation It is generally accepted that an annual investment of >2% of the capital cost of an installation is required for consolidation – PS and SPS cost approximately 1BCHF therefore we should invest ~20MCHF p.a.
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PS/SPS Consolidation, J. Poole, January 2005 2 Methodology If the cost of a proposed consolidation activity is <100kCHF, it is not accepted in the consolidation project and it has to be paid from the Group’s exploitation budget. A risk analysis of systems proposed for consolidation has been made. This will be reviewed at regular intervals because new activities are arriving all of the time and equipment continues aging and the probability of failure will increase. Activities are ranked according to risk score (and some fine tuning). The cut is made according to the ranking and where costs match funding.
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PS/SPS Consolidation, J. Poole, January 2005 3 Risk Analysis The Risk Score is evaluated as the product of the probability of failure of the equipment and the impact that it will have. Probability of failure Rare (less than once in 25 yr) – probability <0.1 Score 1 Possible (once in 5 to 10 yr) – probability 0.2 to 0.5Score 2 Likely (once in 2 to 5 yr) – probability 0.6Score 3 Frequent (once per year or more) – probability 0.9Score 4
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PS/SPS Consolidation, J. Poole, January 2005 4 Impact Impact on CERN’s Scientific Objectives I o Insignificant – loss of one day of physics or less Score 1 Moderate – between 1 day and 1 week loss of physicsScore 2 Major – up to a few (3 to 5) weeks loss of physics Score 3 Catastrophic – operation stops, fail to meet scientific objectivesScore 4 Impact on CERN/AB’s Reputation I R Insignificant Score 1 Moderate – problem dealt with at Department levelScore 2 Major – problem dealt with at Executive Board or Council/FCScore 3
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PS/SPS Consolidation, J. Poole, January 2005 5 Other Impacts Financial Impact I F Insignificant – less than 0.5% of AB annual budget (<120kCHF)Score 1 Moderate – 1– 4% of AB annual budget (.25 – 1.0 MCHF)Score 2 Major – additional budget required Score 3 Catastrophic – report to Council/FC, CERN’s future jeopardisedScore 4 Safety Impact I S Insignificant – no injury or environmental impact (like pollution or radiation exposureScore 1 Moderate – require medical attention, no loss of working timeScore 2 Major – extensive injury, loss of working daysScore 3 Catastrophic – loss of lifeScore 5 Mandatory safety or regulatory requirementScore X
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PS/SPS Consolidation, J. Poole, January 2005 6 Risk Score Weighted Risk Score RS’ – finally, we modify the score according to the scientific programmes which are affected. i LHC0.3 LHC Test Beams0.1 SPS Fixed Target Programme0.15 CNGS0.15 PS Fixed Target (incl. nTOF)0.1 AD0.1 ISOLDE0.1 RS’ = RS × i RS = P × MAX [ I O ; I R ; I F ; I S ] RS [1,2]- low risk RS [3,8]- medium risk RS [9,20]- high risk
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PS/SPS Consolidation, J. Poole, January 2005 7 Other Input Data Red – existing situation Green – consolidation cost and risk afterwards
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PS/SPS Consolidation, J. Poole, January 2005 8 Non-Consolidation Activities RS kCHF FTE-y P+M Kicker Oil System of the PS AB-BT81600 160.0 MTV System of the PS AB-BDI7.27600 760.0 PSB Main Magnets AT-MEL6500 50.0 Magnet Interlock System of the SPS and TT40, TT60 AB-CO4.22000 200.0 Dipole Steering Converters of Linac2 and Linac3 AB-PO42000 200.0 Low Energy Correction Converters for the PS AB-PO3.65000 500.0 ∫Bdl & Q Strips of PS AB-PO3.63000 300.0 Quadrupole Q120 of PS East Exp. Area (completed 2004) AT-MEL2.42000 200.0 Dipole M105 and Quadrupole 74-75 of PS East Exp. Area AT-MEL1.83000 300.0 Slow Ejection SMH57 Power Converter of PS Experimental Area AB-PO1.23000 300.0 Horn Pulser High Current Ignitron AB-BT0.92300 230.0 Orbits and Trajectories Measurements of the PS and PSB AB-BDI06100 610.0 It is cheaper to do this work than to continue with the current situation
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PS/SPS Consolidation, J. Poole, January 2005 9 Already Started – Will Complete RS kCHF FTE-y P+M Power Converter of PS Main Ring AB-PO13.53'1203 3'495.0 Proton Distributor Electronics of the PS and PSB AB-BT121500 150.0 PS Main Magnets AT-MEL10.812'1000 12'100.0 Vacuum Components of the PS Complex AT-VAC84450 445.0 LEIR AB-ABP7.21'0000 1'000.0 Analog Observation System (NAOS) of the PS Complex and SPS AB-CO65000 500.0 RF Equipment of Linac2 and Linac3 AB-RF69500 950.0 Quadrupole Jacks of SPS AT-MEL5.63700 370.0 Vacuum Components of the SPS and North Exp. Area AT-VAC5.69950 995.0 Fault Protection and Surveillance of the Kickers of the PS AB-BT43200 320.0 Continuous Transfer (present version) AB-BT3.64000 400.0 Network of the SPS Control Systems (completed in 2004) AB-CO2.12000 200.0 Main Quadrupoles of the SPS North Experimental Area AT-MEL29500 950.0 Beam Transformers and PUs of the PS AB-BDI1.88700 870.0 Beam Instrumentation of the SPS North Exp. Area AB-BDI0.455900 590.0 Electronic Interfaces of PS Experimental Areas AB-BDI0.23000 300.0 MKDH kicker HV supplies replacement AB-BTtba200 20.0 tba = to be analysed
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PS/SPS Consolidation, J. Poole, January 2005 10 Ranked List – Top 15 RS kCHFFTE-yP+M Septum SEH31 Feedthrough Oil AB-BT13.51150 115.0 SPS (Machine) 18kV Substations TS-EL10.55'4503 5'762.5 SPS Compensator TS-EL10.55'4603 5'772.5 Access System for PS (Primary & East Exp. Areas) TS-CSE82'5003 2'875.0 Main Dipoles and Main Quadrupoles of the SPS Main Ring AT-MEL8.42'2000 2'200.0 Internal Beam Dump of the PS AB-ATB8.16000 600.0 Terminal Service of PS & SPS Controls Infrastructures AB-CO82000 200.0 HT Converters for Linac2 RF AB-PO83000 300.0 Ion Pumps Power Supplies of the PS Complex AT-VAC85000 500.0 Mechanical System and Stepping Motors of the PS AB-BDI7.23100 310.0 Gamma Transition Power Converters of PS AB-PO7.25001 625.0 PFW (Pole Face Winding) Power Converters of PS AB-PO7.27002 950.0 Radiation Damaged Cables of the SPS AB-DI6.32'6500 2'650.0 Proton Distributor Generator of the PS and PSB AB-BT62000 200.0 TIDVG of SPS AB-ATB5.63000 300.0
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PS/SPS Consolidation, J. Poole, January 2005 11 Ranked List – 16 to 30 RS kCHFFTE-yP+M Power Converters of TT2 AB-PO5.62'0003 2'375.0 Access Systems for SPS (Machine) TS-CSE4.22'5002 2'750.0 Power Supply Interface for Multipole Magnets of the PSB AB-CO42200 220.0 HV Cables of the Septa of the PS and PSB AB-BT45500 550.0 Multipole/Dipole Power Converters of the PSB AB-PO48001 925.0 Tekelec Converters of Linac2, Linac3 and PS AB-PO42'5000 2'500.0 Main Quadrupoles of the TT60, TT40 and LHC TI2 and TI8 AT-MEL3.62000 200.0 Transverse Dampers Drivers Amplifiers of the SPS AB-RF2.82000 200.0 RF Driver Amplifier of the SPS AB-RF2.81'0000 1'000.0 Thyristor Bridges of SPS Power Converters AB-PO2.19600 960.0 Transformers of SPS Power Converters AB-PO2.12'1000 2'100.0 Controls Infrastructure of the SPS AB-CO25000 500.0 Access Systems for SPS Experimental Areas TS-CSE0.61'0000 1'000.0 SPS (North Exp. Area) 18kV Substations TS-EL10.53'5300 3'530.0 RF Equipment of AD Ring AB-RF0.45000 500.0
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PS/SPS Consolidation, J. Poole, January 2005 12 Ranked List – 31 - RS kCHFFTE-yP+M Line Trajectory Instrumentation Electronics of AD AB-BDI0.23000 300.0 RF Beam Controls Systems for the PS Complex and SPS AB-RFtba4500 450.0 RF Cavities of the PS AB-RFtba1'0000 1'000.0 RF Beam Controls and Feedback of the PS & PSB AB-RFtba1'9000 1'900.0 Cavities 1 Turn Feedback of the PS AB-RFtba2500 250.0 MKP kickers HV cable replacement AB-BTtba1550 155.0 MOPOS of the SPS AB-BDItba1000 100.0 SEM grids of the PS AB-BDItba2500 250.0 LSS2 Extraction Septa Electronics AB-BTtba3000 300.0 Beam Loss Monitors of the PS Complex AB-BDItba2500 250.0 MKE-L and MKE-S kicker spares AB-BTtba5300 530.0 Electronics of PS Power Converters AB-POtba2'2500 2'250.0 Note that the ‘tba’ items are not yet ranked and may well jump up the ranking
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PS/SPS Consolidation, J. Poole, January 2005 13 In the pipeline … AD RS kCHFFTE-yP+M AD Line Trajectory Instrumentation Electronics AB-BDI0.23000 300.0 AD Power Converters AB-POtba16003 1975.0 AD RF AB-RFtba1300 130.0 AD Horn pulser ignitron phase out AB-BTtba2300.5 295.0 AD Horn pulser electronics AB-BTtba1501 220.0 AD kicker vacuum tanks AB-BTtba2001 325.0 AD kicker oil system AB-BTtba500.3 90.0 AD vacuum components AT-VACtba3001.5 500.0 AD magnets AT-MELtba1500 A total of nearly 4MCHF, which will move the cut-off line up … possibly eliminating the last three items
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PS/SPS Consolidation, J. Poole, January 2005 14 Budgets Funding P + M (MCHF) Source2004200520062007200820092010Total Existing DG (ICO)4.166.2210.38 Original PS Consolidation1.401.191.00 7.59 Economies from Ops Budget1.310.002.00 11.31 New DG contribution1.4411.627.738.764.232.6836.44 Total6.878.8514.6210.7311.767.235.6865.72
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PS/SPS Consolidation, J. Poole, January 2005 15 Situation in 2005 AD consolidation has not been taken into account yet. Groups are submitting new data (and increasing their estimates of P+M). If all of the activities above the cut off are started, we would need 11MCHF in 2005, plus a loan on the exploitation budget to cover the non-consolidation activities (loan of ~2.24MCHF needed in 2005). These issues are currently under discussion and the detailed planning for the consolidation activities will be defined with the Group Leaders in the coming weeks.
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