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Thailand Financial Governance by Dr.Somjai Phagaphasvivat.

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Presentation on theme: "Thailand Financial Governance by Dr.Somjai Phagaphasvivat."— Presentation transcript:

1 Thailand Financial Governance by Dr.Somjai Phagaphasvivat

2 Thailand GDP Growth Forecast (%) 7.1 6.3 4.5 Note : - Sourse : http://www.bot.or.th/bothomepage/databank/EconData /Thai_Key/Thai_KeyE.asp

3 International Trade of Thailand Bil.US$ Note : - Source : http://www.bot.or.th/bothomepage/databank/Ec onData/EconFinance/tab52e.asp 2007 ’ Mar

4 Export Value : % change (US$) Note : Mar/2007 = 19.0 Sources : http://www.bot.or.th/bothomepage/databank/EconData /EconFinance/tab52e.asp Avg ’ 89-95 : 19.86 Avg ’ 96-01 : 2.78 7

5 Import Value : % change (US$) Note : Mar/2007 = 0.5 Source : http://www.bot.or.th/bothomepage/databank/Ec onData/EconFinance/tab52e.asp

6 Current Account Balance (% of GDP) Note: - Source : http://www.bot.or.th/bothomepage/databank/EconData/ EconFinance/tab52e.asp 8

7 Current Account Balance (billions of US$) 9 Mar/ 2007 = 2.2 Note : Mar/ 2007 = 2.2 Source : http://www.bot.or.th/bothomepage/databank/EconData /EconFinance/tab52e.asp

8 Thailand International Reserves Bil.US$ Note : Monthly Update Source : http://www.bot.or.th/bothomepage/databank/Econ Data/EconFinance/tab49e.asp 10101010

9 Thailand External Debt Mil.US$ Note : Monthly Update Source : http://www.bot.or.th/bothomepage/databank/EconD ata/EconFinance/tab50e.asp 11111111

10 Thailand External Debt Mil.US$ Note : Monthly Update Source : http://www.bot.or.th/bothomepage/databank/EconData/Ec onFinance/tab50e.asp 12121212

11 External Debt per GDP (%) Note : Yearly Update Source : http://www.bot.or.th/bothomepage/databank/Ec onData/EconFinance/tab50e.asp 13131313

12 Thailand Foreign Direct Investment Mil.Baht Note : Monthly Update Source : http://www.bot.or.th/bothomepage/databank/EconD ata/EconFinance/tab60e.asp 14141414

13 Public Debt (Mil.Baht) 18181818 Source : กรมบัญชีกลาง กระทรวงการคลัง ( ข้อมูล ค. ศ.1995-1998) : http://www.pdmo.mof.go.th ( ข้อมูล ค. ศ. 1999-2006)

14 Public Debt (% of GDP) (%) 19191919 Source : กรมบัญชีกลาง กระทรวงการคลัง ( ข้อมูล ค. ศ.1995-1998) : http://www.pdmo.mof.go.th ( ข้อมูล ค. ศ. 1999-2006)

15 Public Debt Summary Debt Outstanding June 1997 September 1999 Changes 1. Central Government 1.1 Domestic Debt 1.2 External Debt 176,500 40,917 135583 959,685 598,640 361,045 783,185 557,723 225,462 2. State Enterprises 2.1 Guaranteed 2.2 Non- Guaranteed 553,079 n/a 911,212 403,808 358,133 n/a 3. Financial Institutions Development Fund 3.1 Liabilities 3.2 Contingent liabilities 1,047,673 865,123 182,550 959,586 814,595 144,991 (88,087) (50,528 ) (37,559 ) 4. Bank of Thailand Foreign debt 150520,692520,542 Unit : million baht Sources : Public Debt Management Office, Office of State Enterprise and Government Securities, Financial Institution Development Fund, and Bank of Thailand

16 Changes in Central Government Domestic Debt Amount 1.New debt incurred 1.1 Fiscalization of FIDF debt 1.2 Statutory capital support bonds Tier – 1 Tier – 2 579,321 500,000 35,500 3,821 40,000 2. Principal repayment21,598 Total change557,723 Unit : million baht Sources : Public Debt Management Office

17 Significant External Loans Disbursed Disbursed Amount 1.Adjustment loans from multilateral sources World Bank Asian Development Bank 2.Loans under Miyazawa Plan 3.Social Investment Project Loan World Bank Japan Bank for International Cooperation 1,350 600 879 52 26 Unit : million USD Sources : Public Debt Management Office

18 Thailand NPLs : Financial Institution Group Note : * including New IBFs and Credit Foncier Companies since July 1999 Source : http://www.bot.or.th/bothomepage/databank/Financial_Instit utions/Npl_Fi/Npl_Fi_E.htm Mil.Baht **JAN 2006 : Beginning data at end-December 2002 onwards, NPL data means loan classified as substandard, doubtful, doubtful of loss and loss, including the amount of doubtful of loss loan which has already been written off earlier but has not yet been written back. 22222222

19 NPLs Outstanding - Classified by Financial Institution Group

20 Budgetary Expenditure (% of GDP) Note : * 2003 : GDP forecast by NESDB,15 September 2003 **2004 : GDP = 6,263,700 Mil.Baht according to Budget Document Source : http://dw.mof.go.th/foc/gfs/index.html (%) 26262626

21 Budgetary Deficit or Surplus (Fiscal Year : Oct-Sep) Note : Update (Since 1995-2003) Source : http://www.bot.or.th/bothomepage/databank/EconData/Ec onFinance/tab33e.asp (Millions of Baht) 25252525


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