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Decision Support System by Simulation Model (Ajarn Chat Chuchuen)1 CHAPTER 1 Introduction to Decision Support System
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Decision Support System by Simulation Model (Ajarn Chat Chuchuen)2 1.1 Decision Making and Business Decision Making What is Decision Making ? Business Decision Making Individual or Group Have Conflict objective Many Alternative Predictive Have risk Use What-If analysis to forecast Some case will use Trail-and-Error The environments have effect
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Decision Support System by Simulation Model (Ajarn Chat Chuchuen)3 1.2 Type of Problem Structured Problem Semistructured Problem Unstructured Problem
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Decision Support System by Simulation Model (Ajarn Chat Chuchuen)4 1.3 Three Phase Decision-making Process (Simon) Intelligence searching for conditions that call for decisions Design inventing, developing, and analyzing possible courses of action Choice selecting a course of action from those available Decision Support Systems and Intelligent Systems, Efraim Turban and Jay E. Aronson, 6th edition. Copyright 2001, Prentice Hall, Upper Saddle River, NJ
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Decision Support System by Simulation Model (Ajarn Chat Chuchuen)5 The Decision-Making Process Intelligence Design Choice Implementation (Figure 2.2) Modeling is Essential to the Process Decision Support Systems and Intelligent Systems, Efraim Turban and Jay E. Aronson, 6th edition, Copyright 2001, Prentice Hall, Upper Saddle River, NJ Systematic Decision-Making Process (Simon, 1977)
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Decision Support System by Simulation Model (Ajarn Chat Chuchuen)6 3 Main type of Decision Making Number of Decision Maker Structure of Problem Organization Level 1.4 Type of Decision Making
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Decision Support System by Simulation Model (Ajarn Chat Chuchuen)7 1.4 Type of Decision Making Number of Decision Maker Personal Decision Group Decision
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Decision Support System by Simulation Model (Ajarn Chat Chuchuen)8 1.4 Type of Decision Making Structure of Problem Structured Decision Semistrucured Decision Unstructured Decision
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Decision Support System by Simulation Model (Ajarn Chat Chuchuen)9 1.4 Type of Decision Making Organization Level Strategic Decision Management Control Decision Operational Decision
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Decision Support System by Simulation Model (Ajarn Chat Chuchuen)10 Decision Under Certainty Condition Decision Under risk Condition Decision Under Uncertainty Condition 1.5 Condition of Decision Making
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Decision Support System by Simulation Model (Ajarn Chat Chuchuen)11 1.6 Information System for Decision Making Top Management Level Middle Management Level Operational Level TPS OAS MIS DSS EIS
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Decision Support System by Simulation Model (Ajarn Chat Chuchuen)12 1.6 Information System for Decision Making Reason for use IS Many Alternative Limitation time Have uncertainty environment Lack of expert Time to processing
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Decision Support System by Simulation Model (Ajarn Chat Chuchuen)13 1.7 Meaning and Evolution of DSS Meaning of DSS Mr.Scott Morton (1971) ระบบที่ทำงาน ร่วมกับคอมพิวเตอร์โดยช่วยผู้ตัดสินใจเอา ข้อมูล (Data) และแบบจำลอง (Model) มา แก้ปัญหาแบบไม่มีโครงสร้าง (Unstructured Problem) Mr.Keen and Mr.Scott Morton (1978) Semistructure Problem
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Decision Support System by Simulation Model (Ajarn Chat Chuchuen)14 1.7 Meaning and Evolution of DSS Evolution of DSS First phase evolution Second phase evolution Third phase evolution Fourth phase evolution Fifth phase evolution
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Decision Support System by Simulation Model (Ajarn Chat Chuchuen)15 1.8 Characters and Capability of DSS 13 Characters and Capability of DSS Semistructured or Unstructured problems Support Middle and Top Manager Individual or group decision Discrete or Continuous Problem Support Decision Making Process Support verities of Decision
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Decision Support System by Simulation Model (Ajarn Chat Chuchuen)16 1.8 Characters and Capability of DSS 13 Characters and Capability of DSS High Flexibility User friendly Performance of DSS importance than cost for develop To support Decision process not make decision
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Decision Support System by Simulation Model (Ajarn Chat Chuchuen)17 1.8 Characters and Capability of DSS 13 Characters and Capability of DSS Easy to develop by user (for small DSS) Have Model component Can access many input data
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Decision Support System by Simulation Model (Ajarn Chat Chuchuen)18 1.9 Benefit of DSS Develop efficiency of personal work Develop problem solving Help to commutations Groupware Emphasis to learning and practice More organization control Inventory control
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Decision Support System by Simulation Model (Ajarn Chat Chuchuen)19 1.10 Types of DSS 4 Main type of DSS DSS by output DSS by “ Holsapple and Whinston ” Idea DSS by User DSS by type of work
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Decision Support System by Simulation Model (Ajarn Chat Chuchuen)20 1.10 Types of DSS DSS by output File Drawer System Data Analysis System Analysis Information System Accounting Model Representational Model Optimization System Suggestion System
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Decision Support System by Simulation Model (Ajarn Chat Chuchuen)21 1.10 Types of DSS DSS by “ Holsapple and Whinston ” Idea Text-Oriented DSS Database-Oriented DSS Spreadsheet-Oriented DSS Solver-Oriented DSS Rule-Oriented DSS Compound DSS
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Decision Support System by Simulation Model (Ajarn Chat Chuchuen)22 1.10 Types of DSS DSS by User Personal Support Group Support Organization Support
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Decision Support System by Simulation Model (Ajarn Chat Chuchuen)23 1.10 Types of DSS DSS by type of work Custom-Made System Ready-Made System
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Decision Support System by Simulation Model (Ajarn Chat Chuchuen)24 Question ????
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