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DUSTIN EMMONS WILLIAM HERTLEIN FEBRUARY 11, 2008 Colorado Stock Selection
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Introduction: Colorado Companies Bloomberg Colorado Index Price-weighted index of a range of Colorado Companies 100 Companies Spread across all sectors Financial (WU) Materials (BLL) Health Care (ARRY) Energy (FST) How to select a stock?
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Introduction: Eliminating Companies Criteria for Elimination < $2,500,000 average daily volume Lack of information Will need or likely need access to capital markets Difficult to understand revenue streams Change in state of incorporation Poor historical performance (Earnings, CF)
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Final Three Companies Newmont Mining Corp (NEM) Gold (Materials) Royal Gold Inc (RGLD) Gold (Materials) CSG Systems International Inc (CSGS) Business Software and Services (Technology)
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Newmont Mining Corp (NEM) Leading gold producer and miner Active operations on five continents Active in exploration and acquisition of gold properties Pros High relative GM and OM– 49% and 27% Gold reserves of 86.5 million equity ounces Cons High P/E – 34.86 Growth opportunities Risk Factors – economy and price of gold
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Royal Gold Inc (RGLD) Earnings derived from precious metals royalties Large portfolio of active, developing, and exploration focused royalties around the globe Gold, silver, copper, lead, and zinc Pros Large FCF to Sales – 57.52% No inventory and low PP&E Cons High P/E – 40.24 Risk Factors – economy, price of gold, and contract
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CSG Systems International Inc (CSGS) Provides outsourced applications to facilitate customer interaction Set-up and activation of customer accounts, sales support, order processing, customer billing, etc. Focus on North American cable and Direct Broadcast satellite communications markets Pros Recent earnings exceeded expectations Year-over-year growth was 13% (2008) Expanding to service other industries
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Comparative Performance
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Industry Overview Business Software and Services Provide customized outsourced services to companies Data processing, account management, customer service Companies still dedicated to spending on IT outsourcing Cutting costs to improve bottom line Greater efficiency Outperformed the market (S&P 500) in 2008 Steady but at a slightly more muted pace Average growth of 4-8% for 2008
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Industry and Market Performance Industry outperformed the market (S&P 500) in ‘08 CSGS outperformed the market and industry in ‘08 Source: Google Finance
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Industry Competitors Closest Competition: DTS Systems Inc (DST Global Payments (GPN) Amdocs Ltd (DOX) Success Indicators Operating markets demonstrate growth opportunities Financial vs. Security vs. Cable and Satellite Broadcast Low expenses (i.e. maintaining a high operating margin)
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Industry Competitors
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Comparative Performance
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