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Age-structured models. Background readings Lawson TA & Hilborn R (1985) Equilibrium yields and yield isopleths from a general age-structured model of.

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Presentation on theme: "Age-structured models. Background readings Lawson TA & Hilborn R (1985) Equilibrium yields and yield isopleths from a general age-structured model of."— Presentation transcript:

1 Age-structured models

2 Background readings Lawson TA & Hilborn R (1985) Equilibrium yields and yield isopleths from a general age-structured model of harvested populations. Canadian Journal of Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences 42: 1766-1771. Branch TA (2009) Differences in predicted catch composition between two widely used catch equation formulations. Canadian Journal of Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences 66:126-132. (Plus corrigendum, 66:1631)

3 Basic population processes Births (relative to number of females) Deaths Natural mortality Fishing mortality (plus vulnerability to fishing) Somatic growth Movement (immigration and emigration)

4 Define sequence of events For example that follows: 1.Begin year 2.Spawning 3.Fishing mortality 4.Natural mortality

5 Basic age-structured model sexes grouped The “plus” group Egg production Recruitment Catch weight a function of egg production e.g. Beverton-Holt Ages between 1 and n Mass at age Natural survival rate (0-1) Exploitation rate (0-1) Vulnerability (0-1) All individuals identical above the plus group age Fecundity

6 Definitions

7 Assumptions No immigration or emigration Parameters such as v, s, w, f don’t change over time Vulnerability v and size w not affected by fishing Parameters v, s, w, f are the same for all ages above n – 1

8 Starting conditions (t = 1) Starting recruitment Natural survival rate Exploitation rate Vulnerability Numbers in plus group age n

9 Plus group starting conditions (t=1)

10 Recruitment (t >1) Beverton-Holt stock-recruit function Recruitment Spawners (egg output) Is the curve flatter or steeper for different values of α and β? Intuition hard.

11 Beverton-Holt more tough questions What is unfished recruitment (R 0 ) and unfished spawning output (E 0 )? We want R 0 recruits to result in enough spawners to produce E 0 eggs, and we also want the Beverton-Holt equation to ensure that E 0 eggs will produce R 0 recruits Great interest in these parameters since these characterize the unfished population Solution: steepness parameterization

12 Beverton-Holt with steepness (h) E 0 or S 0 or SSB 0 R0R0 0.3 0.5 0.7 0.95 Spawners-per-recruit, unexploited with u t =0. See next slide. Mace, P. M. and I. J. Doonan. 1988. A generalised bioeconomic simulation model for fish population dynamics. New Zealand Fisheries Assessment Research Document 88/4. Fisheries Research Centre, MAFFish, POB 297, Wellington, NZ.

13 SPR 0 (spawners per recruit) For u t = 0 How many spawners (eggs) would a single recruit produce in the absence of fishing?


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