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1. Hunters and gatherers ( beg. Of man – 6000 BC) The world’s population was probably less than a few million GR -.00011% 2. Early, pre-industrial agriculture (6000 BC – 1500’s) Allowed a much greater density of people The first major increase in human population Pop = 500 mill.GR =.03% 3. Machine age (1600 – 1960) Industrial revolution led to rapid increase in human population Pop = 3 bill.GR =.1% 4. The Modern era (1960 – present) Rate of population has slowed in wealthy nations but continues to increase rapidly in poorer, less developed nations. Pop. = 7 bill.GR = 1.2%
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What will determine the carrying capacity of the Earth?
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Population: A group of individuals of the same species living in the same area of interbreeding and sharing genetic information. Species: All individuals that are capable of interbreeding. Made up of populations Population dynamics The general study of population changes.
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Education Higher standard of living In advanced, developed or 1 st world countries
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Technological and medical advances
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Wealthier nations Low growth rate Long life time High population of elderly Fewer children
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Poorer nations High BR High DR Short lifetime Children are important Provide care for elderly parents Help with income It benefits the parents to have many children
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High birth rate and High death rate Destabilizing
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Birth rate - # births/1000 Death rate - # deaths/1000 Growth rate – difference b/w BR and DR Age Structure – proportion of population at each age CAN HELP DETERMINE: Current & future BR, DR & GR Impacts environment Implications for current & future social & economic conditions
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Pyramid Column Bulge Inverted pyramid
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Population with many young High BR & DR Short lifetime Developing countries
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BR & DR are low High percent of pop. Is elderly USA
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An event in the past caused an increase in the BR or DR for some age groups
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Increased elderly population Lower DR Long Lifetime Ex. – Europe/Japan
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© 2008 John Wiley and Sons Publishers
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Exponential growth and doubling time The logistic growth curve “S” shaped curve that is generated by the logistic growth equation. A small population grows rapidly But the growth rate slows down The population eventually reaches a constant size. Logistic carrying capacity The population size at which births equal deaths and there is no net change in population
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Formula used for predicting the time when a current population will double in size
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Migration – immigration & emigration Generally a small factor in the changes of pop. siz Births – most significant Total fertility rate = # of children a woman will bear during her lifetime. Assumes that conditions of the past will be conditions of the future.
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Availability of birth control Demand for children in the labor force Base level of education of woman Existence of public/private retirement systems Populations religious beliefs, culture and traditions
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Lower Death Rates People are living longer Fewer infant deaths Due to : Improved standard of living Cleaner water Better sanitation Dependable food supplies Better health care
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Demographic transition: Used to predict population trends based on BR and DR of a particular population In the model- population growth can reach zero High BR & DR or Low BR & DR When a population moves from the first state to the second, it is called Demographic Transition.
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© 2008 John Wiley and Sons Publishers
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Stage 1 - Pre-Industrial Slow GR, High BR and High DR; due to harsh living conditions Stage 2 – Transitional High BR, DR has lowered due to better food, water, medicine, healthcare. This allows for rapid growth. Stage 3 – Industrial Growth fairly high, BR dropping to near DR. Many developing countries are in this state. Stage 4 – Post-Industrial GR approaches zero or below. (ex. Japan, Russia)
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r-adapted species Rapid growth Early maturity Numerous offspring Short life No parental nuturing Adapt to varyied environments Pioneers (1 st ) Nich generalists Prey Low on food web
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K-adapted species Slow growth Late maturity Few offspring Long life Parental nurturing Adaptation to stable environment Established conditions Niche specialists Predators High on food web
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Acute or epidemic disease Appears rapidly in the population, Affects a comparatively large percentage of it, Declines then almost disappears, only to reappear later Chronic disease Is always present in a population Typically occurs in a relatively small but relatively constant presentation of the population Examples include heart disease, cancer, and stroke
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© 2008 John Wiley and Sons Publishers
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Maximum lifetime: The genetically determined maximum possible age to which an individual of a species can live Life expectancy: The average number of years an individual can expect to live given the individual’s present age
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1. Short-term factors Those that affect a population during the year in which they become limiting 2. Intermediate-term factors Those whose effects are apparent after one year but before ten years 3. Long-term factors Those whose effects are not apparent for ten years Some factors fit into more than one category
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Delay the age of first childbearing by women Birth control Biological and Social Breast-feeding, which can delay resumption of ovulation Abstinence Induction of sterility with natural agents Contraceptive devices National Programs to Reduce Birth Rates Formal family planning programs to explain the problems arising from rapid population growth Describe the benefits to individuals of reduced population growth.
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