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African Sub Saharan Pay TV overview and forecasts for 2021 Presented by: Priscilla Tirvengadum Research Analyst- Africa at Dataxis www.dataxis.com Webinar: Sept, 07 th 2016
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Agenda Typology of SSA countries TV household penetration in African countries Overview of the TV household penetration rate according to Dataxis What hinder the adoption of TV Anglophone, Francophone and Lusophone pay TV market Brief presentation of the pay TV landscape in Africa Overview and forecast for 2021 DTH and DTT subscriber’s evolution Key players vs new entrants Pay TV revenues overview Overview of pay TV revenue forecast for 2021 Evolution in Anglophone and Francophone markets TV Advertising revenue overview 6 Webinar: 25/04/2016 AGENDA www.dataxis.com Webinar: Sept, 07 th 2016
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Dataxis research 8 Webinar: 25/04/2016 Dataxis provide its clients with an online intelligence service and reports. Reliable, up to date and in depth key performance Indicators, statistics and forecasts. Our service includes: Databases on 4play market: TV, Broadband, Wireless & Telephony Data by country and operator including mid and small size operators Free and unlimited online inquiry service Complete operator's’ profiles www.dataxis.com Webinar: Sept, 07 th 2016
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Africa Language Structure 9 Webinar: 25/04/2016 www.dataxis.com Webinar: Sept, 07 th 2016
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11 Webinar: 25/04/2016 SSA demographics www.dataxis.com Webinar: Sept, 07 th 2016 In Africa, we separate Arabic Speaking countries, part of the wider MENA region The SSA population in 2016 is 960m, 11% of the world ! o English speaking close to 500m o French : 300m o Portuguese : 54m China : 1380m India : 1330m
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12 Webinar: 25/04/2016 Sub Saharan African Economy www.dataxis.com Webinar: Sept, 07 th 2016 SOURCE: WORLD BANK 2015 Top 6 English speaking countries represent 50% of India GDP. French Speaking countries are much smaller economies. ANGLOPHONE FRANCOPHONE PORTUGUESE World Bank 2015
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13 Webinar: 25/04/2016 Sub-Sahara Africa : Electricity Population Access www.dataxis.com Webinar: Sept, 07 th 2016 ANGLOPHONE FRANCOPHONE PORTUGUESE Access to an affordable electricity is mandatory to use a TV set! This is not yet the case in most countries ! When penetration is below 20% it generally means that only the capital & major cities are well served
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14 Webinar: 25/04/2016 TV households will more than double in 10 years www.dataxis.com Webinar: Sept, 07 th 2016 Favourable dynamics o Increasing population o Decreasing households size o Increasing electricity penetration o Developing economies… From 5% to 8% of the world TV households
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16 Webinar: 25/04/2016 SSA TV Households in 2016: Still a small market www.dataxis.com Webinar: Sept, 07 th 2016 Two-thirds of the TV households are located in English Speaking countries, and mostly in top 6 countries Only 17M are in French Speaking countries o France alone has 27m Millio n
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17 Webinar: 25/04/2016 TV Household by countries and language www.dataxis.com Webinar: Sept, 07 th 2016 (MN)
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2021 Pay TV forecasts by region www.dataxis.com Webinar: Sept, 07 th 2016 Dataxis expects pay TV subscribers to reach 31m by the end of 2021. Million
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2021 Pay TV forecasts by access www.dataxis.com Webinar: Sept, 07 th 2016 DTH will remain the leading access, with pay DTT growing Cable limited to selected areas IPTV/OTT very weak due to lack of wireline broadband infrastructure, MMDS is only available in French Speaking urban areas
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Pay TV revenues Forecasts www.dataxis.com Webinar: Sept, 07 th 2016 The pay TV market already worth $4.9 billion This is 15% of the mobile market Dataxis forecasts $6.7 billion in 2021, with increasing subscribers and decreasing ARPUs. In addition to being the predominant access used, Pay DTH has higher ARPU than pay DTT and will capture 84% of the total market!
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Africa Pay TV Key Players www.dataxis.com Webinar: Sept, 07 th 2016 Multichoice( Naspers) and Canal + Overseas( Vivendi) have 73% of the market in term of subscribers( Q116) and 84% in term of revenues (YE 2015) Q11 6
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Key Players Pay TV revenues for 2015 www.dataxis.com 450 670 3,400 Other Players 2015 revenues $M Webinar: Sept, 07 th 2016
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2021 FTA TV households forecasts www.dataxis.com Webinar: Sept, 07 th 2016 End 2015, around 54 m FTA TV households, mostly relying on analogue terrestrial TV. As Analogue Switch off is has been delayed. Dataxis expects the transition to DTT to be almost completed by 2021 with 58m DTT TV households, but also 15m FTA DTH !
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FTA TV Revenues Forecasts for 2021 www.dataxis.com Webinar: Sept, 07 th 2016 Most African countries have a public television which used to have a monopoly status but with: o Limited funding o Poor management, and o Increasing competition from private operators SABC is the dominant player Private FTA TV has developed more recently, but has been handicapped by: o Cost of national terrestrial broadcasting before DTT o Small size of advertising market o Competition of Pay TV
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Forecasted Total TV Market Revenues for 2021 www.dataxis.com Webinar: Sept, 07 th 2016 The total TV market will grow from $5.9bn in 2015 to $8.6bn in 2021 Due to generally very weak alternatives in FTA TV, Pay TV will continue to grow as the market develops
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NexTV CEO Africa September, 29th & 30th 2016 www.dataxis.com Webinar: Sept, 07 th 2016 60+ Leading- industry speakers 150+ C-Level Attendees 80% Senior Executives 20+ African countries represented
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NexTV CEO Africa September, 29th & 30th 2016 www.dataxis.com http :// nextvceoafrica.com Webinar: Sept, 07 th 2016
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20 Priscilla Tirvengadum Research Analyst- Africa Priscilla.tirvengadum@dataxis.com Webinar : African Sub Saharan Pay TV overview and forecasts for 2021 For more information Webinar: 25/04/2016 Thank you for your participation Webinar: Sept, 07 th 2016 www.dataxis.com
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