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How Will Brexit Affect the Eurozone and the EU? How Will Brexit Affect the Eurozone and the EU? Marie Leflerová Yang, Hsiu-Yu
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Content I.Introduction: definition, reasons, referendum II.Impact on the European Union III.Influence on the Eurozone
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INTRODUCTION Shorthand way of saying the UK leaving the EU - merging the words Britain and exit to get Brexit What does BREXIT stand for?
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INTRODUCTION Rules on business Membership fees for little in return Greek economic crisis and fear of being dragged into financial problems outside the UK Immigration issues, terrorism Euroscepticism Reasons of BREXIT
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INTRODUCTION EU Referendum: Final Results
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INTRODUCTION Regional totals
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IMPACT £
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UK - Uncertain period Risk of recession House prices and construction industry, manufacturing sector, foreign investments Reduction of immigration (100 v 330 mil.) Independence of Scotland and refunification of Irland Negotions with EU (2 years)
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IMPACT EU Weaker EU, „bad example“ for others, deepening Euroscepticism Voting system used for making decisions in the European Council, a reallocation of seats in the European Parliament, staff quotas, and increases in budgetary payments Germany´s stronger position Turkish membership of the EU British exports are 19.4% of the EU’s total exports (excluding intra-EU trade). International relations (Transatlantic Trade and Investment Partnership, ratification of FTAs)
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IMPACT on the Eurozone 1. Near Term Impacts -Decrease of GDP in the UK -Aggressive quantitative program in the eurozone 2. Long Term Impacts -Euro is likely to weaken -Losing confidence -Investments in the eurozone
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IMPACT on the Eurozone € RATE
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Thank you for your attention!
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