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PIA 2574 African Development Seminar
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The Economy: Markets and Planning
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Historical African Development Issues The Concept of "Indigenization:“ Localization process Personnel Indigenization (Africanization, Indianization,) Representative Bureaucracy
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African Historical Development Issues Equity- Fixed percentage of ownership 49% local content requirements Nationalization with or without Compensation (State Socialism) Joint Venture Programs- management contracts
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The World Economic Regime The Importance of the Market End of the Command Economy World Market: Only game in Town?
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Market Debates Impact of world economy on Domestic Economies: Development of underdevelopment Questions of conflict: pluralist vs. hegemonic models in the post-war world Economic change vs. political development- Is governance (democracy) a pre-requisite?
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Market Issues Complementarity problem Origins of capital Market failure? The end of the Command Economy
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Statistics- Forty Years of Independence Social: Illiteracy- 60-75% illiterate Population: Growth vs. HIV/AIDs 3-4 percent per year 50% less than 15 years of age 20-25% HIV positive in Southern Africa Loss of Primacy of Nation State
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Statistics Health: Losing the Battle? Malaria Yellow Fever Schistosomiasis/bilharzia Sleeping Sickness Kwashiorkor HIV/AIDs
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Forty Years of Independence Agriculture: Subsistence: soils/rain/desertification Decline in food production (cash crops and urbanization) Terms of Trade and Debt Price decline for Primary products Economic collapse- one third of Africa
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Economic Growth Economic: Fourth World- less than 1% growth Fourth World $100-$365 per year
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Growth 1957 100% 1961 95% 1981 50% Now: 55-60% Goal: Back to the Future
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Economic and Social Development: Liberalism and Markets Social Norms and Production Economic predictability Alternatives to private investment Globalization and international capital Africa and the World Economic System: Odd Continent Out?
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Primacy of Nation State: How Sovereign? Impact of transnational actors Issue of micro-states Rational Actor model- public or social choice theory- collective choice is non-rational? The role of international regimes- UN, World Bank, IMF, etc. Globalization and International Order
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Discussion The Impact of Gobalization on Africa?
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The Issue of Transitional States NICs Newly Industrializing Countries in Asia and Latin America:
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The Issue of Transitional States Tigers: Korea, Singapore, Hong Kong, Taiwan Kittens: Thailand, Malaysia, Indonesia- Want to be Tigers "Tails": India, China, Brazil, Argentina, Mexico. Tigers with long poverty tails.
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The Issue of Transitional States Why no NICs in Africa? What about South Africa? Autonomous vs. Dependent Development?
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African Successes: Oil Nigeria Gabon Cameroon Angola, Chad, Sudan?
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African Successes: No Oil South Africa Kenya Botswana Ivory Coast* Zimbabwe* *Bad Politics
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Issues of markets and productivity International systemic hegemony and international competition within markets Technical Assistance- bias to international trade Back to the future- get the LDC economy back to the 1950s: what then? Dependent development- is it dependent and is it development?
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Financial and Budgetary Management Systems in Africa Six historical periods 1.Until the 1950s- recurrent budgets- law and order 2.1950s-1960s growth. Domestic development Funds with bilateral technical assistance 3.Recurrent vs. Development budgets
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Financial and Budgetary Management Systems in Africa 4.1960s-1970s: Distribution and basic needs. World Bank and Poorest of the poor 5.Mid-1970s-1980- Planning vs. Budgets 6.1980s- Structural Adjustment "non- budgetary" allocations vs. incremental budgeting (define)
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Planning vs. Budgets donor monies drive the system in the degenerated state planning demanded by technical assistance Technical assistance- both grants and loans (no private loans to Africa) project planning "wins" over national planning and budgeting systems
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African Economies: Discussion What kind of an economy works for Africa? Capitalism Socialism Economy of Affection Dependent Development?
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African Economies: Discussion Why should the Northern Tier states care about Africa? What are the regional economies in Francophone Africa, in Eastern and Southern Africa? Is there a common West African Economy? Which of your writers say important things about economic development?
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