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BRIC Health Systems and Big Pharma: Strategic Policy Issues

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1 BRIC Health Systems and Big Pharma: Strategic Policy Issues
Guilhem Fabre and Victor Rodwin Université Paul Valéry Montpelier 3, Wagner School of Public Service New York University June 5, 2017

2 Table 1. Age standardized mortality rates by cause (per 100 000 population) in BRIC nations
Communicable Disease (2012) Non-communicable disease (2012) Injury (2012) Life expectancy at birth (2013) Brazil 93 514 80 75 China 41 576 50 India 253 682 116 66 Russian Federation 74 790 103 69 France 21 313 35 82 Source: World Health Statistics 2015

3 Table 2. Burden of disease due to HIV/AIDS in the BRICS countries
Number of people (all ages) living with HIV (2015) [range] Prevalence of HIV in adults (%) (2015) [range] Number of deaths due to HIV/AIDS (2015) Brazil [ – ] 0.6 [0.4 – 0.8] [ – ] China (Avert, 2014) 0.037% (avert, 2014) deaths (avert, 2014) India [ – ] 0.3% (avert, 2015) [ – ] Russian Federation [ ] (Avert, 2016) 0.8 – 1 (Avert, 2016) (avert, 2014) Sources: Avert.org, WHO Global Health Observatory Data Repository

4 Table 3. Burden of disease due to Tuberculosis in the BRICS countries
Number of deaths due to TB (excl. HIV) (2015) Number of incident tuberculosis cases (2015) Brazil 5 500 [ ] [ – ] China [ – ] [ – ] India [ – ] [ – ] Russian Federation [ – ] [ – ]

5 Cancer Mortality Estimates: BRIC Nations, France and US, 2012
Mortality (per people) Brazil 103.72 Russia 122.55 India 64.49 China 122.19 France 107.93 United States 105.78 Source: Cancer Research UK – Worldwide Cancer Mortality Statistics

6 Table 4. Probability of dying between ages of 30 and 70 from cardiovascular disease, cancer, diabetes, or chronic respiratory (%) in 2015 and 2010 (both sexes) 2015 2010 Brazil 17 19 Russia 29 33 India 23 24 China 18 France 11 12 United States 14 Sources: WHO Global Health Observatory Data Repository

7 Table 5: Health Expenditures in BRIC Nations

8 IMS HEALTH. PHARMERGING MARKETS - PICKING A PATHWAY TO SUCCESS

9 Table 6. Pharmerging and Mature Markets
IMS HEALTH. PHARMERGING MARKETS - PICKING A PATHWAY TO SUCCESS

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11 Table 7. Pharmerging Markets, 2008-2017
IMS HEALTH. PHARMERGING MARKETS - PICKING A PATHWAY TO SUCCESS

12 Table 8. China Leads the way

13 Watt, N. F. , Gomez, E. J. , & McKee, M. (2013)
Watt, N. F., Gomez, E. J., & McKee, M. (2013). Global health in foreign policy—and foreign policy in health? Evidence from the BRICS. Health Policy and Planning, N/A, /heapol/czt063

14 Table 9. BRIC Pharmaceutical Market
Brazil Russia India China Pharmaceutical Sales (in $ US Billion) (1) 18.38 15.4 17.45 116 Per Capita (in $ US) 88 107 13 8.3 Pharmaceutical Sales as % of Health Care Expenditures (2009) (2) 25% 20% 41% 42.5% (3) % Expenditure on Patented Drugs 47 21 9.3 22 Pharmaceutical net Imports in $ US Billion (2016)(4) 2.4 6.5 11.3 Percent of Total Sales 13% 42% 0% 10% (1) Forecast for 2016 (2) From Watt, Gomez, McKee, Global Health in Foreign Policy - and Foreign Policy in Health th,Health Policy and Planning nning (29),2014 (3) The figure for > is 17% (4)Investorpedia, Daniel Workman, Drugs and Medicines Exports by Country 2017,5/15 Source: US Department of Commerce. International Trade Administration. 2016 Top Markets Report - Pharmaceuticals

15 Brazil EMI, Brazilian Pharmaceutical sector, Dec. 2013

16 Structure of Russian Pharmaceutical Market
Deloitte, Development Trends and Practical Aspects of the Russian Pharmaceutical Industry, 2015

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20 Chitour, Hind-Louiza, Big Pharma in China – the Driving Forces behind Their Success –A qualitative Analysis. Chinese Studies (2)4, 2013.

21 China Hsaio W., Li M., Zhang S. Universal Health Coverage: The Case of China Working Paper, UNRISD

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