1. REGENERATING FARMER OR RURAL?
Jarot Indarto
Ministry of National Development Planning/BAPPENAS
LIPI, Jakarta, 22 November 2016

2. INTRODUCTION (1) Who is farmer? What is rural?
Owning land and doing cultivation.
Renting for cultivation.
Working for cultivation.
What is rural?
RURAL is what is not URBAN.
INTRODUCTION (1) Who is farmer? What is rural?

3. INTRODUCTION (2) Who is our farmer?

4. INTRODUCTION (3) Is agriculture/ rural still important?
Chronic problems of development
Irreplaceable roles
Food, feed and (bio)energy
Income and employement
Life-support system
Amenity
Poverty
Backwardness
Hunger
Inefficiency and low productivity
INTRODUCTION (3) Is agriculture/ rural still important?

5. INTRODUCTION (4) Will agriculture/ rural be still important?
SDGs 2030:
PERTANIAN
Ending hunger
Ending poverty
Sustaining consumption and production
Reducing income inequality
Enhancing gender equality
Sustaining economic growth
Transform consumer services
Retail services: food and beverages
Finansical services
Boost productivity in agriculture and fisheries
Build a resource-smart economy
Energy efficiensy
Unconventional energy: biofuels, geothermal, biomass
Invest in skill building
INTRODUCTION (4) Will agriculture/ rural be still important?
Source: MGI, 2012

6. DYNAMICS (1) Aging rural population?
Source: UN Population, 2015
Source: Sensus Pertanian, 2013)

7. DYNAMICS (2) Urbanized rural society?

8. DYNAMICS (3) Urbanized rural society?
Source: Susenas

9. DYNAMICS (4) Natural resources capacity?
UN-FCCC
Climatic change
Natural disasters
UN-CBD
Biodiversity
Bioresources
UN-CCD
Desertification
Degradation
Drought
DYNAMICS (4) Natural resources capacity?
Global enviromental regimes

10. DYNAMICS (5) Cost of production?
Source: BPS

11. DYNAMICS (6) Agricultural involution?
Internal intensification  NO CHANGE
Output per area, output per capita/worker
Adoption of technology
DYNAMICS (6) Agricultural involution?

12. REGENERATING (1) BB-X-Y-Z
Gen- Alpha:
Like Gen- Z
Well-educated
High income family
Gen- Z:
< 16y
i-Gen/net/digital
Social network  verbal communication
Tolerant
Technology
Instant life styles
Gen- Y:
16-35y
Generasi millenial atau milenium
Multi-karakter
Terbuka, media sosial
Ketergantung-an thd teknologi/ gadget
Gen- X:
> 35y
PC/internet
Adaptive
Mandiri
Baby Boomer:
> 70y: born after WW-II

13. Z Y X
REGENERATING (2) X-Y-Z

14. REGENERATING (3) Long-term development planning 2005-2025
Primary Sector
Strategy
Enhance production basis
Industrialization
Added-value
- Upper-middle income (USD/cap 4,000-12,000)
- Unemployement
- Poverty
- Sustainability
Efisiency
Modernisation
Robust economic structure
REGENERATING (3) Long-term development planning
High-value crops
Post-harvest and value-chain losses
Agro-processing  downstream food and beverages industry
Upstream activities, machinery, fertiliser and seeds
Contract farming

15. REGENERATING (4) Modernizing rural?
Urbanizing rural?
REGENERATING (4) Modernizing rural?

16. REGENERATING (5) Modernizing rural: Public rural services?
Make rural livable
Food
Education
Health
Housing
Water and sanitation
Transportation
Information
Finance
REGENERATING (5) Modernizing rural: Public rural services?

17. REGENERATING (6) Modernizing rural: Capitalizing the death capital?
Why does capitalism triumph in urban, but fails in rural?
Property rights
The death capital
Cost of production
REGENERATING (6) Modernizing rural: Capitalizing the death capital?

18. Education
Agro-processing
Value-chain management
Vocational
Updating curriculum
Non-formal
Technology-updating materials
REGENERATING (7) Modernizing rural: Investing in human-resources? Linking to off-farm and urban?

19. REGENERATING (8) Modernizing rural: Climate-smart agriculture?
Food security
Productivity
Farmer prosperity
CC Adaptation
Emission
CC Mitigation
Resilience
REGENERATING (8) Modernizing rural: Climate-smart agriculture?
CSA
Rice-fish farming
Biogas
Conservation agriculture
Value-chain management
Agricultural insurance

20. THANK YOU