1. D-PHASE Operations Period (DOP): 1 June – 30 November 2007
MAP D-PHASE: Demonstration of Probabilistic Hydrological and Atmospheric Simulation of flood Events in the Alpine region
D-PHASE Operations Period (DOP): 1 June – 30 November 2007

2. Distributed real-time end-to-end forecasting system

3. End-to-end forecasting system

4. Atmospheric models: ensembles
COSMO-LEPS (COSMO)
10 km; +132h; COSMO-LEPS EFI (MeteoSwiss)
MOGREPS (Met Office, United Kingdom)
25 km; +54h
SREPS (INM, Spain)
25 km, +72h
PEPS (SRNWP)
7 km, +42h
COSMO-SREPS (COSMO)
10 km, +72h
micro-PEPS (DWD for D-PHASE)
2 km; +18h
LAMEPS-AT (ZAMG)
20 km; fc+72h

5. End-to-end forecasting system

6. Atmospheric models: high resolution
MM5 (University of Hohenheim)
2 km; +24h
COSMO-models (COSMO)
2.2 km; +18h
2.8 km; +30h, +48h, +21h
AROME (Météo-France)
4 km (output grid); +30h
MOLOCH (ISAC-CNR, Italy)
2.2 km; +39h
GEM-LAM (EC, Canada)
2.5 km; +24h
MOLOCH, MM5, and WRF outside of COPS domain
ALADIN and QBOLAM at coarser resolution

7. Atmospheric models: high resolution
and others …

8. Atmospheric models: driving models
and others …

9. End-to-end forecasting system

10. Hydrological catchments

11. Flooding of August 2005 in Switzerland
Runoff at Hagneck (Aare, 5170 km2), IT: , 00 UTC
S. Jaun, IACETH
Observed runoff
Inner-quartile range of the ensemble

12. Sea-level forecast for Lago Maggiore
IST-SUPSI

13. Some numbers about D-PHASE

14. Project Coordinator: marco.arpagaus [at] meteoswiss.ch
Organisation
Steering Committee
Dorninger, Staudinger (A), Rotach, Schär (CH), Volkert, Wulfmeyer (D), Bouttier, Richard (F), Buzzi, Frustaci, Ranzi, Rossa (I), Mylne (UK)
Working Groups
WG-DI: Data interface chair: Andrea Montani, ARPA-SIM (I)
WG-HEU: Hydrology and end users co-chairs: Roberto Ranzi, U Brescia (I), Christoph Hegg, WSL (CH)
WG-VER: Verification chair: Manfred Dorninger, U Vienna (A)
WG-DP: Data policy chair Mathias Rotach, MeteoSwiss (CH)
Project Coordinator: marco.arpagaus [at] meteoswiss.ch

15. Common (centralised) platforms
Visualisation Platform (VP):
to visualise (display) all products and all alerts; main source of information for forecasters and end users (used also for COPS mission planning team);
interface for (some of) the users to submit their feedback on the available products and alerts, respectively,
realised by Next Generation Software (Salzburg).

16. Common (centralised) platforms
Data Archive (DA)
to archive all data, alerts, and feedbacks; mainly for verification purposes
also stores all COPS and GOP data
physically based at the MPI in Hamburg
model data in GRIB1 format (GRIB1-details);
obs in netCDF format

17. Next Scientific Meeting: 19 – 22 May 2008 in Bologna (Italy)
Timetable
D-PHASE Operations Period (DOP):
 1 June – 30 November 2007
Next Scientific Meeting:
19 – 22 May 2008 in Bologna (Italy)
for info,