1. Main results and conclusions November 07,2016
Roadmap studY Power-to-Gas (PTG) IN flanders
Main results and conclusions
November 07,2016
Isabel François
WaterstofNet
Don Quichote Workshop Milano

2. Power-to-Gas Roadmap for Flanders In a nutshell
Duration: 14 months (01/10/ /01/2016)
Funding : Flemish Region, Belgium
Project partners:
Coordinator: Hydrogenics (Denis Thomas)

3. Power-to-Gas Roadmap for Flanders Objectives
Analyze the actual (2015) and future ( ) status of Power-to-Gas (PtG) in Flanders (technology, economics, legal framework, market opportunities)
Study various PtG business cases and identify early markets
Elaborate a roadmap which will serve as the backbone for the actions of a Power-to-Gas Cluster in Flanders
Prioritize the actions in order to create a PtG framework for the development of projects in Flanders and abroad
Identify potential demonstration projects in Flanders

4. Overview of calculated P2G business cases
Electrolyser size 500kW → 100MW

5. BuSIness cases Building blocks
Feedstock and utility prices: Power prices ; grid-fees
Equipment: CAPEX /OPEX of Electrolyser (incl.cell stack replacement) , H storage and compression, refueling stations, fuel cells…
Physical and Property data: Mass density / Energy content of different H2, CH4, CH3OH..
Extra process steps: Characteristics and cost of methanation, methanolisation
Ancillary services Revenues R1, R2, R3
Societal benefits: Avoided CO2 cost
Grid connected systems, green/renewable hydrogen certification via guarantees of origin certificates (cf.

6. INPUT: POWER PRICE PRICE DURATION CURVES 2015-2030-2050
Average price (from power price duration curve)
+ supplier margin (5-20%)
+ grid fees ( grid connection +consumption)
TOTAL ELECTRICITY PRICE

7. INPUT: CAPEX ESTIMATION CAPEX 2015-2030-2050
kW scale
MW scale
Multi MW scale

8. INPUT: CO2 cost CO2 allowance and societal cost
Prices for CO2 emission allowances under EU ETS were made by Fraunhofer ISE in their study ‘Levelized Cost of Electricity – Renewable Energy Technologies”.
Source:Umweltbundesamt (UBA), Schätzung der umweltkosten In den bereichen energie Und verkehr, 2012

9. RESULTS: Cost of hydrogen as function of OPERATING HOURS Hydrogen refueling station 50 cars/day

10. RESULTS: PRICE BUILD-up in different cases WATERFALL GRAPHS
Very high CAPEX (electrolyser + fuel cell)
Limited operation hours (only cheapest 1330h)
Assumed +/- full time operation (8500h)
Electricity price dominates (grid fees!)

11. RESULTS: power-to-gas direct injection, methanation, biomethane
15 MW electrolyser, compression up to 70 bar, injection in the transportation gas grid (direct injection and methanation)

12. CONCLUSIONS for the different CASES
POWER TO MOBILITY: Most promising economical case
Political momentum in Europe (zero emission transport)
POWER TO GAS: Technical potential is high (gas grid has very high storage capacity)
Direct H2 injection best option on short term; cost ≈ biomethane
Methanation (technically) best option on long term (no volume limit)
POWER TO FUEL: Interesting case for partial substitution of Diesel/Gasoline
(cfr bio-diesel/-ethanol today)
POWER TO INDUSTRY: Positive economic case already for small scale applications
(compared to H2 delivered by tube trailer)
Large scale applications (compared to SMR on-site) not feasible today

13. P2G Roadmap for flanders GENERAL conclusions AND REMARKS
Power-to-Gas is a clear answer to the objectives of the energy policy in Flanders / EU
Fundamental changes are expected in the power, gas, industry and transport markets driven by ambitious EU policy (higher CO2 price, more renewables, clean transport, green gases...).
These will change the business cases significantly.
A supportive regulatory framework is needed including:
Removal of existing barriers mainly due to the absence of specific legislation addressing hydrogen and P2G (sector coupling)
Setting up a green/renewable hydrogen certification mechanism
Provision of a financially attractive environment to stimulate investments in H2 and P2G in Flanders

14. P2G Roadmap for flanders Final report is available
This roadmap was a 1st essential step to:
confirm the P2G opportunity
identify the challenges and priorities
increase awareness on the topic
The creation of a P2G cluster was the 2nd step to start the implementation of the roadmap with a broad industry involvement
Political commitment will be essential for future steps !

15. Roadmap project coordinator
MORE INFO?
Roadmap project coordinator
Denis THOMAS
Renewable Hydrogen - EU Regulatory Affairs and
Business Development Manager
Hydrogenics Europe NV
Mobile:

16. POWER TO GAS CLUSTER FLANDERS

17. OBJECTIVES OF THE CLUSTER
Knowledge exchange
Regulations
Power to Gas
DEMONSTRATION-PROJECTS
Power-to-Gas
Access to EU subsidies
Preferred contact point for policy makers
Business models
Representation in European Power-to-Gas market

18. Target group cluster members
Production Renewable Energy
Electrolysis
Compression, storage transport
Net-
operators
System integrators
Hydrogen users

19. Power to Gas cluster coordinator
Isabel François
Project Manager
WaterstofNet
Mobile:

20. Overview of calculated P2G business cases

21. Electricity price 2015-2030-2050 assumption
Based on a German model
Use the correlation between power price, RES production (wind + solar) and power demand
Back-up power assumed with gas fired power-plants
Installed capacity in BELGIUM
Onshore wind
Offshore wid PV
2014
1.246
712
3.105
2030
4.678
3.522
4.800
2050
7.213
7.687
10.000
Use of historical data 2014 for Belgium: BELPEX prices + wind + solar

22. Electricity price 2015-2030-2050 assumption
Average price (from power price curve)
+ supplier margin (5-20%)
+ grid fees ( grid connection +consumption)
TOTAL ELECTRICITY PRICE