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Macroeconomics IB 2.1.

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Presentation on theme: "Macroeconomics IB 2.1."— Presentation transcript:

1 Macroeconomics IB 2.1

2

3 2 sector Circular Flow of Income

4 2 sector Circular Flow of Income

5 2 sector Circular Flow of Income

6 Factors Provided by Households Provided by firms(business) Capital
Entrepreneurship Land Labor Provided by firms(business) Interest Profits Rent Wages

7 2 sector model Too simplistic Injections Leakages Transfer payments
Foreign investment Return on investment (stocks etc) Leakages Imports Saving Taxes

8 3 Sector Circular Flow

9 3 sector Circular Flow (b)

10 4 Sector Circular Flow Transfer payments Build model out from 2-5

11 4 sector, less complicated

12 4 sectors… Households Firms Government Financial Markets… BUT WAIT…

13 5 sector Circular Flow

14 6 Sector Circular Flow JUST KIDDING

15 Moniac Machine

16 4 Sector Circular Flow Model
ECONOMY SEEKS EQUILIBRIUM

17 Measurement of National Income
Income Method Output Method Expenditure Method PROBLEMS Year to year informal sector Flawed data masks health of country

18 Interconnectedness

19 GNI GDP v GNP v GNI Using numbers, “objectively” applied
Most common - Gross Domestic Product or Gross National Product Difference: GDP - sum total of everything bought or sold in borders GNP - sum total of national industries’ products bought or sold wherever in the world… GNP = GDP + net property income from abroad NOW we use GNI. (Gross National Income) (basically GNP with sales tax/VAT taken off the total) GNI

20 GDP math C + G + I + (X-M) C= Consumption G = Government Spending
I= Business Investment (X-M) = Exports - Imports

21 Parts to GDP

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23 What is counted and not Counted Not Counted New services & goods
Finished products Real things and real service Not Counted Used goods Primary goods used to manufacture finished goods Purely Financial Transactions

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25 Richest countries

26 US States GDP as compared to nations

27 Net National Product Assets lose value over time
So. NNP = GNP- depreciation

28 Other Measurements NI PI DPI

29 GDP/GNI can be expressed in different ways
Nominal GDP/GNI Real GDP/GNI Per capita GDP/GNI Purchasing Power Parity (PPP)

30 Nominal v Real Prices go up most years so how to compare year to year?
Real GDP = GDP expressed in “chained” dollars for inflation GDP Deflator and the Inflation Calculator

31 China GDP Growth since 1998

32 Growth in real GDP

33 Per Capita GDP GDP divided by population China – 7.3 Trillion (#2)
US -15 Trillion (#1) China – 8,400 (#94) US – 48,100 (#8)

34 Per Capita GDP GDP divided by population US 14.2 T Eurozone 12.4 T
Japan 5 T* China 4.9 T* France 2.6 T UK 2.1 T Canada 1.3 T India 1.2 T Phillipines 160 B Morocco 90 B

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36 Original World Mapper

37 Per Capita GDP 2000 years ago

38 Nominal GDP in 2015

39 Countries experiencing GDP decline - %

40 Growth in GDP

41 Growth

42 Stocks and GDP Per cap

43 Purchasing Power Parity (PPP)
Per capita still doesn’t give a clear picture One US Dollar buys one tomato in US In Morocco .07 cents buys one tomato So adjust the per capita (in dollars) to account for how far one dollar goes Zimbabwe, Morocco, Luxemburg

44 Percent living on $1 a day

45 The Wretched Dollar

46 PPP <$10 a day

47 PPP per capita

48 GDP vs PPP

49 Big Mac Index

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51 2012

52 So…… GDP Per Capita PPP Nationmaster says GDP (per cap) PPP

53 The G’s G7 (8) G20 G77

54 G 77 (actually 132 countries)

55 GDP measures what? GDP can grow due to bad events:
Natural disasters War Crime Health epidemics And misses informal sector So we have another measurement GPI (Genuine Progress Indicator)

56 Genuine Progress Indicator

57 IN US

58 The Hidden Economy % of GDP hidden Greece -28.2% Italy - 25.7%
Norway -18.4% Canada % USA -8.4%

59 Next slide stolen from AnimationEconomics.com

60 U.S. Underground Economy What doesn’t get reported
Illegal $300 B Legal $600 B Drugs $120 Bribery $35 Self Employed $255 Gambling and Loan Sharking $10 Other Legal $25 Rents & Royalties $30 Pornography $20 Fraud $30 Corporate Profits $50 Other Illegal $20 Prostitution $30 Interest $55 Stolen Goods $35 Wages and Salaries $185 What gets reported is the “Above Ground” What doesn’t get reported is the “Underground”

61 Drawbacks to using GDP Accuracy Informal Sector Hidden Economy
“I’m getting $1,000 to kill you, Ziggy, but unfortunately it will not count in GDP.” Accuracy Informal Sector Hidden Economy Does not count unpaid work Neglects externalities aka The Green GDP High GDP does not equal good times

62 Pick an OECD Country

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64 Measuring Development
Big Picture: Ranking of several areas and averaging Most common Human Development Index Education Health Income OLD Adult Literacy rate NEW: School Years Life expectancy GDP per capita on PPP basis

65 HDI Top score = 10 High = over 8.0 Middle = Low = under 4.99

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67 Human Development Index

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69 Faults of HDI Accuracy (again) Misses gap between rich and poor
Ignores discrepancy between men and women Creation of Gender-related Development Index (GDI) And Human Poverty Index -1 and HPI-2

70 HDI(Bono flv) Country Rank of HDI HDI can differ from GDP stats
Remember high GDP does not always equal “livability” and HDI measures more than just income.

71 HDI

72 Other ways to measure Bhutan Happiness Index Other maps

73 Sidebar: Does HDI=Happiness?

74 Happiness scores

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78 Definitions Downturn Recession Depression

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84 Unemployment US 9.9% now 7.9 EU now 11.7% Morocco 8.7% Panama 4.00%
Spain 26% France 10% Netherlands 7% Morocco 8.7% Panama 4.00%


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