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Design and Analysis of Experiments

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Presentation on theme: "Design and Analysis of Experiments"— Presentation transcript:

1 Design and Analysis of Experiments
Dr. Tai-Yue Wang Department of Industrial and Information Management National Cheng Kung University Tainan, TAIWAN, ROC This is a basic course blah, blah, blah…

2 Factorial Experiments
Dr. Tai-Yue Wang Department of Industrial and Information Management National Cheng Kung University Tainan, TAIWAN, ROC This is a basic course blah, blah, blah…

3 Outline Basic Definition and Principles The Advantages of Factorials
The Two Factors Factorial Design The General Factorial Design Fitting Response Curve and Surfaces Blocking in Factorial Design

4 Basic Definitions and Principles
Factorial Design—all of the possible combinations of factors’ level are investigated When factors are arranged in factorial design, they are said to be crossed Main effects – the effects of a factor is defined to be changed Interaction Effect – The effect that the difference in response between the levels of one factor is not the same at all levels of the other factors.

5 Basic Definitions and Principles
Factorial Design without interaction

6 Basic Definitions and Principles
Factorial Design with interaction

7 Basic Definitions and Principles
Average response – the average value at one factor’s level Average response increase – the average value change for a factor from low level to high level No Interaction:

8 Basic Definitions and Principles
With Interaction:

9 Basic Definitions and Principles
Another way to look at interaction: When factors are quantitative In the above fitted regression model, factors are coded in (-1, +1) for low and high levels This is a least square estimates

10 Basic Definitions and Principles
Since the interaction is small, we can ignore it. Next figure shows the response surface plot

11 Basic Definitions and Principles
The case with interaction

12 Advantages of Factorial design
Efficiency Necessary if interaction effects are presented The effects of a factor can be estimated at several levels of the other factors

13 The Two-factor Factorial Design
Two factors a levels of factor A, b levels of factor B n replicates In total, nab combinations or experiments

14 The Two-factor Factorial Design – An example
Two factors, each with three levels and four replicates 32 factorial design

15 The Two-factor Factorial Design – An example
Questions to be answered: What effects do material type and temperature have on the life the battery Is there a choice of material that would give uniformly long life regardless of temperature?

16 The Two-factor Factorial Design
Statistical (effects) model: Means model Regression model 𝑦= 𝛽 0 + 𝛽 1 𝑥 1 + 𝛽 2 𝑥 2 + 𝛽 12 𝑥 12 +𝜖

17 The Two-factor Factorial Design
Hypothesis Row effects: Column effects: Interaction:

18 The Two-factor Factorial Design -- Statistical Analysis

19 The Two-factor Factorial Design -- Statistical Analysis
Mean square: A: B: Interaction:

20 The Two-factor Factorial Design -- Statistical Analysis
Mean square: Error:

21 The Two-factor Factorial Design -- Statistical Analysis
ANOVA table

22 The Two-factor Factorial Design -- Statistical Analysis
Example—Batery-life.mtw

23 The Two-factor Factorial Design -- Statistical Analysis
STATANOVAGeneral Linear Model Fit General Linear Model

24 The Two-factor Factorial Design -- Statistical Analysis
Model…. Select Temp and Material then click Add OK, OK

25 The Two-factor Factorial Design -- Statistical Analysis
Example General Linear Model: Life versus Temp, Material Method Factor coding (-1, 0, +1) Factor Information Factor Type Levels Values Temp Fixed , 70, 125 Material Fixed , 2, 3 Analysis of Variance Source DF Adj SS Adj MS F-Value P-Value Temp Material Temp*Material Error Total

26 The Two-factor Factorial Design -- Statistical Analysis
Example General Linear Model: Life versus Temp, Material Model Summary S R-sq R-sq(adj) R-sq(pred) % % % Coefficients Term Coef SE Coef T-Value P-Value VIF Constant Temp Material Temp*Material

27 The Two-factor Factorial Design -- Statistical Analysis
Example General Linear Model: Life versus Temp, Material Regression Equation Life = Temp_ Temp_ Temp_125 Material_ Material_ Material_3 Temp*Material_ Temp*Material_15 2 Temp*Material_ Temp*Material_70 1 Temp*Material_ Temp*Material_70 3 Temp*Material_ Temp*Material_125 2 Temp*Material_125 3 Fits and Diagnostics for Unusual Observations Obs Life Fit Resid Std Resid R R R Large residual

28 The Two-factor Factorial Design -- Statistical Analysis
Example

29 The Two-factor Factorial Design -- Statistical Analysis
Example

30 The Two-factor Factorial Design -- Statistical Analysis
Example STATANOVA--GLM

31 The Two-factor Factorial Design -- Statistical Analysis
Example STATANOVA--GLM

32 The Two-factor Factorial Design -- Statistical Analysis
Estimating the model parameters

33 The Two-factor Factorial Design -- Statistical Analysis
Choice of sample size Row effects Column effects Interaction effects D:difference, :standard deviation

34 The Two-factor Factorial Design -- Statistical Analysis

35 The Two-factor Factorial Design -- Statistical Analysis
Appendix Chart V For n=4, giving D=40 on temperature, v1=2, v2=27, Φ 2 =1.28n. β =0.06 n Φ2 Φ υ1 υ2 β 2 2.56 1.6 9 0.45 3 3.84 1.96 18 0.18 4 5.12 2.26 27 0.06

36 The Two-factor Factorial Design -- Statistical Analysis – example with no interaction
Analysis of Variance for Life, using Adjusted SS for Tests Source DF Seq SS Adj SS Adj MS F P Material Temp Error Total S = R-Sq = 64.14% R-Sq(adj) = 59.51%

37 The Two-factor Factorial Design – One observation per cell
Single replicate The effect model

38 The Two-factor Factorial Design – One observation per cell
ANOVA table

39 The Two-factor Factorial Design -- One observation per cell
The error variance is not estimable unless interaction effect is zero Needs Tuckey’s method to test if the interaction exists. Check page 183 for details.

40 The General Factorial Design
In general, there will be abc…n total observations if there are n replicates of the complete experiment. There are a levels for factor A, b levels of factor B, c levels of factor C,..so on. We must have at least two replicate (n≧2) to include all the possible interactions in model.

41 The General Factorial Design
If all the factors are fixed, we may easily formulate and test hypotheses about the main effects and interaction effects using ANOVA. For example, the three factor analysis of variance model:

42 The General Factorial Design
ANOVA.

43 The General Factorial Design
where

44 The General Factorial Design --example
Three factors: pressure, percent of carbonation, and line speed.

45 The General Factorial Design --example
STATANOVAGeneral Linear Model Fit General Linear Model Model…three factors, up to 3 level

46 The General Factorial Design --example
General Linear Model: Deviation versus Speed, Carbonation, Pressure Method Factor coding (-1, 0, +1) Factor Information Factor Type Levels Values Speed Fixed , 250 Carbonation Fixed , 12, 14 Pressure Fixed , 30 Analysis of Variance Source DF Adj SS Adj MS F-Value P-Value Speed Carbonation Pressure Speed*Carbonation Speed*Pressure Carbonation*Pressure Speed*Carbonation*Pressure Error Total

47 The General Factorial Design --example
ANOVA

48 Fitting Response Curve and Surfaces
When factors are quantitative, one can fit a response curve (surface) to the levels of the factor so the experimenter can relate the response to the factors. These surface could be linear or quadratic. Linear regression model is generally used

49 Fitting Response Curve and Surfaces -- example
Battery life data Factor temperature is quantitative

50 Fitting Response Curve and Surfaces -- example
Example STATANOVA—GLM Response  Life Factors: Material Covariates  temp Model … interactions, 2, add terms, 2 , add cross, Add temp, material, temp*temp, material*temp, material*temp*temp

51 Fitting Response Curve and Surfaces -- example
General Linear Model: Life versus Temp, Material Method Factor coding (-1, 0, +1) Factor Information Factor Type Levels Values Material Fixed , 2, 3 Analysis of Variance Source DF Seq SS Seq MS F-Value P-Value Temp Material Temp*Temp Temp*Material Temp*Temp*Material Error Total

52 Fitting Response Curve and Surfaces -- example
coding method: -1, 0, +1 General Linear Model: Life versus Material Factor Type Levels Values Material fixed , 2, 3 Analysis of Variance for Life, using Sequential SS for Tests Source DF Seq SS Adj SS Seq MS F P Temp Material Temp*Temp Material*Temp Material*Temp*Temp Error Total S = R-Sq = 76.52% R-Sq(adj) = 69.56% Term Coef SE Coef T P Constant Temp Temp*Temp Temp*Material Temp*Temp*Material Two kinds of coding methods: 1, 0, -1 0, 1, -1

53 Fitting Response Curve and Surfaces -- example
Model Summary S R-sq R-sq(adj) R-sq(pred) % % % Coefficients Term Coef SE Coef T-Value P-Value VIF Constant Temp Material Temp*Temp Temp*Material Temp*Temp*Material Regression Equation Life = Temp Temp*Temp Life = Temp Temp*Temp Life = Temp Temp*Temp

54 Fitting Response Curve and Surfaces -- example
Final regression equation:

55 Fitting Response Curve and Surfaces – example –32 factorial design
Tool life Factors: cutting speed, total angle Data are coded

56 Fitting Response Curve and Surfaces – example –32 factorial design

57 Fitting Response Curve and Surfaces – example –32 factorial design
STATRegressionRegression Fit Regression Model Response  Life Continuous predictors: Speed, Angle Model…select: Speed, Angle  interaction, 2,Add Terms, 2, Add cross, Add Speed, Angle, Speed*Speed, Angle*Angle, Speed*Angle, Speed*Speed*Angle, Speed*Angle*Angle Speed*Speed*Angle*Angle

58 Fitting Response Curve and Surfaces – example –32 factorial design
Results for: Tool-Life.MTW Regression Analysis: Life versus Speed, Angle Analysis of Variance Source DF Adj SS Adj MS F-Value P-Value Regression Speed Angle Speed*Speed Angle*Angle Speed*Angle Speed*Speed*Angle Speed*Angle*Angle Speed*Speed*Angle*Angle Error Total

59 Fitting Response Curve and Surfaces – example –32 factorial design
Analysis of Variance Source DF SS MS F P Regression Residual Error Total Source DF Seq SS Speed Angle Angle*Angle Speed*Speed Angle*Speed Angle*Speed*Speed Angle*Angle*Speed Angle*Angle*Speed*Speed

60 Fitting Response Curve and Surfaces – example –32 factorial design
StatRegressionregressioncontour plot

61 Fitting Response Curve and Surfaces – example –32 factorial design
StatRegressionregressionsurface plot

62 Blocking in a Factorial Design
We may have a nuisance factor presented in a factorial design Original two factor factorial model: Two factor factorial design with a block factor model:

63 Blocking in a Factorial Design

64 Blocking in a Factorial Design – example—target-detection.mtw
Response: intensity level Factors: Ground cutter and filter type Block factor: Operator

65 Blocking in a Factorial Design -- example
Results for: Target-Detection.MTW General Linear Model: Intensity versus Blocks, Filter, Clutter Method Factor coding (-1, 0, +1) Factor Information Factor Type Levels Values Blocks Fixed , 2, 3, 4 Filter Fixed , 2 Clutter Fixed High, Low, Medium Analysis of Variance Source DF Seq SS Seq MS F-Value P-Value Blocks Filter Clutter Filter*Clutter Error Total Model Summary S R-sq R-sq(adj) R-sq(pred) % % %

66 Blocking in a Factorial Design -- example
Coefficients Term Coef SE Coef T-Value P-Value VIF Constant Blocks Filter Clutter High Low Filter*Clutter 1 High 1 Low Regression Equation Intensity = Blocks_ Blocks_ Blocks_3 Blocks_ Filter_ Filter_2 Clutter_High Clutter_Low Clutter_Medium Filter*Clutter_1 High Filter*Clutter_1 Low Filter*Clutter_1 Medium Filter*Clutter_2 High Filter*Clutter_2 Low Filter*Clutter_2 Medium


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