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Vice President of Strategy
Dr. Julie Johnson Vice President of Strategy
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@CompleteCollege @JulieJJohnson1 #15ToFinish
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Overview of Complete College America
Game Changer Strategies for Completion 15 to Finish
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42 The Alliance COMPLETE COLLEGE AMERICA CUNY System DC
Central Valley Higher Education Consortium Houston Commonwealth of Northern Mariana Islands Puerto Rico Thurgood Marshall College Fund Consortium
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Our Approach Work with states, systems and consortia to implement evidence-based strategies at scale to see double-digit gains in outcomes. We are the megaphone. We don’t come up with the strategies, we highlight what others are doing. There are a million things you can do on college completion. Do these. They work. Is there an opportunity to pull these into what you’re doing or help some of these become an organizing force for your various intiiatives.
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Four-Year Recent report - All starts with the data MYTH
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On-Time Graduation Rates
(Full-Time Students) 2-Year Associate 4-Year Bachelor’s 4-Year Bachelor’s (non-flagship) (flagship/ very high research) 5% 19% 36% ON TIME ON TIME ON TIME Four-Year Myth
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13% 43% 68% 150% Graduation Rates 2-Year Associate 4-Year Bachelor’s
(Full-Time Students) 2-Year Associate 4-Year Bachelor’s 4-Year Bachelor’s (non-flagship) (flagship/ very high research) 13% 43% 68% IN 3 YEARS IN 6 YEARS IN 6 YEARS Four-Year Myth
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80.9 134.6 133.5 Excess Credits 2-Year Associate 4-Year Bachelor’s
(Full-Time Students) 2-Year Associate 4-Year Bachelor’s 4-Year Bachelor’s (non-flagship) (flagship/ very high research) 80.9 134.6 133.5 60 Credits Standard 120 Credits Standard 120 Credits Standard Four-Year Myth
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Total Cost of Each Extra Year
(Full-Time Students) 2-Year Student 4-Year Student $22,826 $15,933 in cost of attendance in cost of attendance $45,327 $35,000 in lost wages in lost wages Why I love some of the work coming out of the CSU system with Grad initative and on-time completion. On-time is an affordability issue! $50,933 $68,153 Source: fly.temple.edu and utexas.edu/enrollment-management/messages/ut-strives-improve-four-year-graduation-rates Four-Year Myth
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TIME CHOICE STRUCTURE
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1. Corequisite Remediation
2. Math Pathways 3. Structured Schedules 4. Guided Pathways - Purpose First to Finish
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Corequisite Remediation
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Too many students start college in remediation.
61% in 2-year institution 28% in 4-year, non- flagship institution
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Few Graduate or Transfer
Of 2-year students enrolled in remediation: 11% graduate in 3 years 18% transfer to 4-year institution (w/ or w/out a degree) in 4 years
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Corequisite Remediation
Place students straight into college English and math. Provide just-in-time remedial support. - $90m for the Basic Skills Transformation to more than 60 colleges includes this as one of the options, which is great.
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Corequisite Models Paired Remedial Course Accelerated Learning Program
Gateway Course Required 0 Credit Lab Structured Assistance Gateway Course One Additional Credit 101+ Model Gateway Course
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One Semester Scaled Results
Traditional Remediation National Avg for Gateway Course Success 22% English Math
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Completion of Gateway English by ACT Sub-score Community College Pre-requisite Model vs. Co-requisite Model
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Corequisite at Scale 5 states have scaled corequisite support:
Colorado Georgia Indiana Tennessee West Virginia 13 states have committed to implement at scale: Central Valley of CA Hawaii’ Illinois Idaho Massachusetts Missouri Montana New Hampshire - CCSNH New Mexico Ohio Oklahoma Rhode Island
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Implementing Corequisite Remediation with CVHEC
National academy – 2015 In-state institute – 2016 California Acceleration Project training – 2017 Quarterly calls and ongoing assistance
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Central Valley Higher Education Consortium
Initial participating colleges: Clovis Community College - English and Math Modesto Junior College – English Porterville College – English Reedley College - English and Math San Joaquin Delta College – English West Hills Community College - English and math Merced College - English and math College of the Sequoias - English Fresno City College - English, ESL, and math
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Math Pathways
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College Algebra’s Only Purpose: Preparation for Calculus
STEM
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What is the “right” math course?
Dunbar, S Enrollment flow to and from courses below calculus . In A Fresh State for Collegiate mathematics: Rethinking the Courses below calculus, N.B. Hastings et al. (Eds.). Washington DC: MAA Notes, Mathematical Association of America. College algebra and traditional developmental math sequences were designed in the 1950’s to prepare students for calculus. However, with the exception of a few institutions such as the School of Mines, the majority of our students are in majors that do not require calculus. Is college algebra the right math course for students in the social sciences or the humanities or various other majors? Dunbar [4] has tracked all students at the University of Nebraska-Lincoln for more than 16 years and has examined enrollment patterns among about 150,000 students. He found that only about 10% of the students who pass college algebra ever go on to start Calculus I and virtually none ever go on to start Calculus III. He has also found that about 30% of the students from College algebra eventually start business calculus. Our state data appears to be similar. The CDHE pulled data from the academic year 2013 and found that of the roughly 13,000 students who completed college algebra with a C- or better, about 12% have gone on to pass a Calculus I course at any other state institution.
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Math Is Aligned to Majors
Meta-Major Gateway Math Program Classics Performing Arts Cultural Studies Humanities Arts Quantitative Reasoning Social Sciences Health Sciences Business Psychology Political Science Communications Statistics/Modeling Welding Carpentry Technical Certificate Programs Technical Math Civil Engineering Chemical Engineering Chemistry Engineering Hard Sciences College Algebra/Pre-Calc/ Calculus
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Math Pathways at Scale 6 states implementing at scale beginning Fall 2016: Montana Colorado Missouri Nevada Indiana Ohio All 13 corequisite scale states building plans for math pathways. Central Valley of CA Hawaii’ Illinois Idaho Massachusetts Missouri Montana New Hampshire - CCSNH New Mexico Ohio Oklahoma Rhode Island West Virginia
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Structured Schedules:
Scheduling for Completion
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Structured Schedules Predictable, consistent schedule
Block schedules and sequenced courses Students go full-time (15 credits) or year-round for 30 credits.
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Structured Schedules Options
Morning, afternoon, evening or weekend blocks Specific days Shorter term Organized by program
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Scheduling is a Completion Strategy!
Drives by increasing: % of full-time students Credit accumulation Retention and completion
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Guided Pathways - GPS
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NO CLEAR PATH
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Too Many Choices and Too Little Guidance
Why GPS? Most colleges have more than 100 majors and hundreds of courses. Most students are unaware of their career options. 45% of students haven’t seen a counselor by the third week of class.
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1 counselor to 400 students
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Behavioral Economics: Default
Organ Donation Rates Austria (OPT-OUT) 99% Germany (OPT-IN) 12%
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GPS: Essential Components
DO THIS Informed Choice - Purpose First Default Pathways Meta-Majors Academic Maps Intrusive advising
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Informed Choice – Purpose First
Connect students career interests to their majors Integrate career assessments, labor market data, ROI calculators into the new student onboarding to help students select the major (meta major) that fits their plans.
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Default Pathways (opt-out)
Examples of defaults: 90% organ donation
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Meta Majors STEM HEALTH BUSINESS SCIENCES HUMANITIES SOCIAL SCIENCES
ARTS EDUCATION
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Academic Maps
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Intrusive Advising Students must see their advisors if:
they fall off the pathway are at risk of not succeeding need special assistance or their own pathway
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GPS: Closing Achievement Gaps
GEORGIA STATE Graduation rates increased to: Pell students 52.5% African American students 57.4% Hispanic students students 66.4% FLORIDA STATE African Americans 77% First-generation Pell students 72% Hispanic students more than 70%
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Guided Pathways at Scale
3 states have implemented it at scale: Tennesse Georgia Indiana 5 sites are working to implement it at scale. Massachusetts New Hampshire - CCSNH Houston region Washington DC Missouri
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15 to Finish
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15 to Finish - $90m for the Basic Skills Transformation to more than 60 colleges includes this as one of the options, which is great.
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Start with the data
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Full-time enrollment is not on-time enrollment.
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Minority students are less likely to be on track for on-time graduation.
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Low-income students are less likely to be on track for on-time graduation.
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on-time graduation really
Is being on track for on-time graduation really that important?
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Students who complete 30+ credits in their first year are more likely to graduate.
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Students who complete 30+ credits in their first year are more likely to graduate.
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Momentum Benefits: CC Students
In first semester, 28% of CC students were momentum students In first year, 1/5 of CC students maintained momentum Source: Belfield, Jenkins & Lahr, 2016.
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Okay, but do we really want to encourage our students to take more credits?
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“The best strategy for reducing the cost of college is to ensure more students take the credits needed to graduate on time.” (Complete College America, 2016)
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Affordability is good, but taking too many credits in
a term can hurt students academically.
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Retention is higher for those coomunity college students taking >=15 hours
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At every level of academic preparation students taking >=15 hours had higher GPAs
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Hmm. But not all students
can take 15 credits a term or 30 credits in a year.
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City Colleges of Chicago
Outcome: 30% increase in full-time enrollment of 15 credits. Retention, GPA and credit accumulation were higher for students taking 15 credits
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Make the case
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Supporting our students
All students deserve a pathway and expectation for on-time or timely completion.
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Relevant to other CA initiatives
Graduation Initiative Guided Pathways Promise programs Innovation grants Equity efforts Corequisite remediation and math pathways
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Fifteen to Finish DC Statewide Initiatives
States with Campus-Based Initiatives
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SHARED PRINCIPLES Far too few full-time students graduate on time.
Graduating late or “taking an extra year” comes at great cost for students and their families. Advisors play a critical role in boosting student success. Many more students can take 15 credits per semester or term, greatly increasing their likelihood of on-time completion. #15toFinish informs students of their choices and ensures they know what it takes to graduate on time.
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CCA Calls for “On-Time” Status in Pell
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% First-Time, Full-Time Students Enrolled in 15+ Credit Hours (1st semester)
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Projected Enrollment Revenue Opportunity
Estimated Impact for Purdue University - Calumet Revenue Gains vs. Baseline Model Inputs: Total Enrollment: 8,639 Net Revenue Per Student: $10,565 (net tuition and fees plus state appropriations) Retention Improvement 0-29 credits 4.7% total over 1 year 30-59 credits 0% total over 1 year 60-89 credits credits 120+ credits Investments in advising can yield dividends that should be reinvested back into further efficiencies and support
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Nuts and bolts
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15-Credit Strategies & Policies
Type of Strategy Communications campaigns Degree maps structured schedules Financial incentives Type of Policy Banded tuition or aid to support 30-credit enrollment Degree credit cap (60 or 120 credits) Default scheduling
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Academic Maps
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Think 30 Linked to affordability and debt Public awareness campaign
NSO, parents, faculty, advisors Modified scheduling Added winter and summer sessions Institutional aid Merit aid tied to 15 credits Initial outcomes: 5% increase in first year students who completed 30 credits.
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Indiana Legislation: HEA 1348
Financial Incentive: Requires students to complete 30 credits per year to remain eligible for full state aid. Students w/ a 3.0 gpa or higher are eligible for more aid. Structural Reforms: Required institutions to: provide degree maps and guarantee course availability Allow full use of state aid during summer terms Encouraged institutions to use banded tuition Supports: Public awareness campaign Additional academic advising
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Reforming Student Financial Aid to Increase College Completion: Early Progress from Indiana HEA 1348
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University of Akron New Student Orientation presentations
Poster (right) timed to registration TV information screens on campus/residence halls Campus and student announcements Infomercial
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Complete College America
Resources
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Thank You Julie Johnson jjohnson@completecollege.org
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