1. How Will Aging and “Feminization” Affect the Future Supply of Dentists?
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2. The ADA Health Policy Institute

3. The ADA Health Policy Institute

4. Today
ADA.org/HPI

5. Today
CHAIR
Marko Vujicic, Chief Economist & Vice President, ADA Health Policy Institute
PRESENTER
Bradley Munson, Senior Research Analyst, ADA Health Policy Institute
PANELISTS
Arpita Chattopadhyay, Chief, Workforce Analysis Branch, National Center for Health Workforce Analysis, Bureau of Health Workforce, Health Resources Service Administration
Janet Guthmiller, Dean, College of Dentistry, University of Nebraska Medical Center
Richard Valachovic, President & CEO, American Dental Education Association

6. Key Messages
We estimate the future supply of dentists in the U.S. adjusting for expected shifts in age and gender mix. Age and gender affect hours worked and volume of patients seen.
In the most probable scenario, the per capita supply of dentists is projected to increase through 2035.
The issue of provider adequacy is more complex; further research is needed.

7. Methodology Graduates Retired Foreign-trained Practicing Dentist
Moved out
Re-licensure
Death
Un-retirement
License lapse
Exit labor force
Emigration

8. Inflows

9. Outflows

10. Modeling Assumptions

11. Gender Mix

12. Age Mix

13. Hours Worked Adjustment

14. Patient Visits Adjustment

15. Results

16. Results

17. Results

18. Arpita Chattopadhyay Chief, Workforce Analysis Branch
National Center for Health Workforce Analysis
Bureau of Health Workforce
Health Resources Service Administration

19. Dean, College of Dentistry University of Nebraska Medical Center
Janet Guthmiller
Dean, College of Dentistry
University of Nebraska Medical Center

20. President & CEO American Dental Education Association
Richard Valachovic
President & CEO
American Dental Education Association

21. ADA Health Policy Institute work:
Thank You!
Learn more about other
ADA Health Policy Institute work:
ADA.org/HPI
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22. Age Mix