1. Progress on Air Quality and the Road Ahead California Desert Air Working Group
November 13, 2013

2. Objective of Presentation
ARB’s Role
The Challenge
Successes to Date
2014 Priorities
AB 32/Scoping Plan Update

3. Air Pollution Authority
ARB
Motor vehicles
Fuels
Consumer products
Air toxics
Climate
Local air districts
Stationary sources (ex. permitting/enforcement)
Local rules
US EPA
SIP
National rules

4. Air Pollutants of Concern
Criteria pollutant precursors
Oxides of nitrogen, volatile organic compounds, particulate matter
Diesel PM
Listed as a TAC and a component of PM2.5
Air Toxic Contaminants (TACs)
Examples: Benzene, 1,3-butadiene, and others gaseous pollutants
Greenhouse gases

5. Meeting the Challenge
California faces greatest air quality challenges in the nation
SIPs must address increasingly stringent standards with frequent legal challenges
A combination of regulations, incentives, sustainable land use and transportation systems, and infrastructure investments is needed

6. Evolution of ARB Programs
1980s: Focus on Passenger Vehicles
1990s: Focus on Trucks, Cleaner Passenger Vehicles, Off-Road Engines
2000s: Focus on Legacy Fleets and Next Generation Passenger Vehicles
Tail pipe standards
Heavy-duty diesel truck standards
Ports and freight handling equipment
Smog Check
Clean diesel fuels
Retrofit/replace trucks and buses
On-board diagnostics
Low-emission vehicles and clean fuels and reformulated gas
Electric hybrids and plug-ins
Diesel fuel specifications
Small off-road equipment
Marine vessels
Consumer products
Retrofit/replace off-road equipment

7. Benefits of CA’s Programs: NOx

8. Benefits of CA’s Programs: VOC

9. LEV III: Reducing Criteria Emissions
150,000-mile New Vehicle Fleet Average Emissions
75% Reduction in fleet average emissions
LEV III Particulate Matter Standards .
1 mg/mi PM standard in 2025 maintains current PM emission level of well controlled PFI engines

10. ‘ 2014 Priorities Implementation Regulatory/Guideline Development
Truck and Bus Regulation
Low Carbon Fuel Standard
Cap and Trade
Advanced Clean Cars
Regulatory/Guideline Development
Vehicle retirement program
ZEV Incentive program
Alternative diesel fuel
2015 SIP
Complete update to Scoping Plan
Oil and gas production, processing, and storage
Heavy duty GHG measure
California Air Resources Board

11. ‘ Climate Change
AB 32 requires ARB to achieve a target greenhouse gas emissions level in 2020 equivalent to the emissions
Scoping Plan includes a suite of measures to achieve target
Measures focus on energy efficiency improvements and result in GHG reductions as well as other benefits
AB 32 requires that Scoping Plan be updated at least every five years
California Air Resources Board

12. Initial Scoping Plan Required by AB 32
Outlines State’s strategy to achieve 2020 GHG goal
Built on a balanced mix of strategies

13. Success of Scoping Plan
Comprehensive suite of strategies applied to all sectors
Renewable energy currently accounts for 22 percent of state’s electricity
Global leader in energy efficiency
Most comprehensive Cap-and-Trade program in world

14. Success of Scoping Plan (continued)
Low carbon transportation fuels have displaced two billion gallons of gasoline and diesel
Zero emission vehicle regulation and Governor’s Executive Order transforming vehicle fleet
Major strides in sustainable transportation, land use, and housing planning

15. Suite of AB 32 Measures
Building and appliance energy efficiency standards
High GWP Consumer Products
Refrigerant Management Program
SF6 Leak Reduction
Transportation
Stationary Sources
Tire Pressure Regulation
Shore Power
Low Carbon Fuels Standard
Semiconductor Manufacturing
Heavy-Duty Trucks
Landfill Methane Capture
Mobile Air Conditioners (DIY Cans)
Energy Efficiency Audits for Industrial Sectors
High Speed Rail
SB 375
Cap-and-Trade Program
Electricity
Renewable Portfolio Standard
California Solar Initiative
Combined Heat and Power
High Global Warming Potential Gasses
California Air Resources Board

16. AB 32 Scoping Plan Update
Update shows progress to steadily drive down GHG emissions to 2020 target
Sets framework to move beyond 2020
Progress will be through regulations, partnerships, and incentives

17. AB 32 Scoping Plan Update Key Questions
How have we done over past 5 years?
What is needed to continue to 2020?
What steps are needed to continue emission reductions and grow our economy beyond 2020?

18. AB 32 Scoping Plan Update Process
Process developed in consultation with many stakeholders
Climate Action Team
Local and regional agencies
Business, environmental, EJ, and community based organizations
Workshops and opportunities for comment on discussion draft

19. Latest Understanding of Climate Science
September 2013 IPCC Fifth Assessment Report
California particularly vulnerable
Extreme heat and storms
Drought and wildfires
Coastal flooding and erosion
Underscores need to accelerate GHG emission reductions

20. Short Lived Climate Pollutants (SLCP)
Atmospheric lifetime of a few days to a few decades
High global warming potential
Include black carbon, methane, and HFCs
SLCP already regulated by ARB
Further control strategies being developed
ARB committed to develop comprehensive SLCP strategy by 2016

21. Economic Impacts of AB 32
Net impact of AB 32 small in relation to the $2 trillion California economy
Measures underway but still in early stages
Consultation with economic advisors to guide data collection in preliminary stages
Develop methodology to assess impacts as program implementation continues
Continue to engage external economic experts, researchers, and stakeholders

22. Public Health Impacts of AB 32
Many Scoping Plan measures have public health benefits
Improved air quality
Active transportation/physical activity
Greener buildings
Efforts to identify and avoid unintended negative health impacts
New tools/data needed to help quantify impacts and monitor progress

23. Environmental Justice
Environmental Justice Advisory Committee (EJAC)
EJAC initial recommendations considered during development of Update
EJAC meeting to discuss draft on 10/22/13

24. Regional and Local Initiatives
Locally-driven efforts critical for AB 32 success
Emissions are being reduced across sectors
Improved municipal operations
Codes, standards, and general plan improvements
Sustainable communities strategies implementation
~70 percent of California jurisdictions have or will complete GHG emission reduction programs
Collaboration with CAPCOA

25. Continuing Progress Beyond 2020
Need for Midterm Target
Science supports continued reductions
California’s 2050 goal
Establishing a 2030 target would:
Ensure continued progress toward goal
Provide greater levels of market certainty in the near term
Frame the next suite of emission reduction measures
Coordination with Administration, Legislature, stakeholders

26. Recommendations to Transition Beyond 2020
Six Key Focus Areas
Energy
Transportation
Agriculture
Water
Waste Management
Natural and Working Lands

27. Next Steps
Late November - Revised Update and Environmental Assessment Released
EA will be prepared according to requirements of ARB’s certified program under CEQA
45-day comment period
December 12th- Board Hearing
EA comments due mid-January 2014
Respond to EA comments and Board consideration Spring 2014

28. Conclusions
Climate change represents a serious threat to the health of Californians, our natural resources, and economy
California is driving down GHG emissions to meet the 2020 goal
Now is the time to begin developing long-term strategies
All Californians will play a key role in meeting the long-term climate goals

29. Approach to Air Quality Planning
Integrate ARB planning efforts for SIPs, AB 32 Scoping Plan, and freight planning
Expand on longstanding partnerships with air pollution control districts and metropolitan planning agencies
Develop innovative strategies tailored to California’s air quality problems
Ongoing interaction with business, environmental, governmental, public stakeholders