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Rebuilding Our Nation’s Aging Interstate System

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Presentation on theme: "Rebuilding Our Nation’s Aging Interstate System"— Presentation transcript:

1 Rebuilding Our Nation’s Aging Interstate System
Ed Regan Senior Vice President Rebuilding Our Nation’s Aging Interstate System Why Tolling May Be a Big Part of the Solution August 14, 2017 Presented at: SASHTO 2017 Norfolk, VA

2 The US Interstate Highway System
47,000 miles of mobility, connectivity and economic vitality Most important Transport investment in US history Most of it is years old!!

3 The Original Plan: Tolls
The Interstate system was originally conceived as a toll system Franklin Roosevelt envisioned a system which would be “self liquidating” thru tolls and sale of property rights Biggest concern was low traffic demand in some states About 3000 miles of the system had already been built (or financed) as toll roads thru the 1950’s

4 The 1956 Program: No Tolls Ultimately built without tolls; funded largely through the Federal gas tax Cost $132 billion to build; $119 billion in Federal funds The Federal government conceived it, largely funded it, but owns virtually none of it The states are left holding the bag Key question: who pays for the next 50 years, and how do we fund the rebuilding of this great national asset?

5 Arguments Against Interstate Tolling
The interstate system is critical to interstate commerce and connectivity It is; exactly why it demands huge investment for reconstruction, rehabilitation and expansion for the next 50 years Toll booths cause congestion and safety risks Not any longer with the advent of non-stop all-electronic tolling The Interstates are already paid for! Lets take a closer look at that one

6 They Are Already Paid For???
Collectively, the states currently spend over $25 B per year on Interstate System reconstruction, expansion and maintenance; Every five years, states spend more than the entire original cost to build the whole system And today the federal share is only about 40% -- not 90% Projecting 50 years forward, the total expenditures devoted to the Interstate System will likely exceed $2.5 Trillion Reconstruction alone will likely require about $1.5 Trillion And unlike in 1956, your states will have to pay the bulk of it!! State Federal Original System Cost Future Maintenance, Expansion and Reconstruction Cost by Decade

7 The Coming Collapse of the Gas Tax Estimated Combined Federal and State Gas Tax Revenue (2015 dollars – average $0.45 / gallon combined) $9.0B $20.8B $44.6B $32.3B $39.3B Approximate Annual Gas Tax Revenue (Billions, 2015) (Assumes Overall Average State and Federal Tax of $0.40/Gallon) With Current MPG With EIA Ref Case MPG With "Bloomberg" EV Adjusted MPG With "High End" EV Adjusted MPG

8 States Need New Funding Sources – But Why Tolling?
Tolling supports growing need to shift toward direct user fees as fuel efficiency increases Tolling supports emerging shifts in infrastructure funding Including increased use of P3’s Tolling establishes a more direct link between those who pay and those who benefit Tolling can ensure all interstate route users pay their fair share Including those who might pass entirely through a state without buying gas Tolling provides a new revenue choice for states With over $2 Trillion needed to rebuild and preserve the Interstate System, and declining support from Washington… you will need new choices! … and it’s sustainable, even with coming all electric autonomous vehicles in the future

9 All-Electronic Tolling (AET)
AET Makes it Easy No toll booths Non-stop, cashless collection Electronic toll users Video tolling for non-ETC traffic Can be easily implemented as gantries across existing roads Without causing congestion, pollution and wasted fuel Key challenge: Need for national toll interoperability and interstate toll collection enforcement

10 Relaxing Federal Restrictions
Use of tolls on existing toll free interstate routes has been prohibited by Federal law for over 50 years But restrictions have been gradually relaxed over the last 20 years through various pilot programs and changes in law Today, Interstate Tolling is Permitted on New IS routes, or new capacity on existing routes Bridges being replaced or rehabilitated Congested routes (in designated VPPP states) Managed lanes, including HOV to HOT conversions Interstate System Reconstruction and Rehabilitation Pilot Program (ISRRPP) Program has existed for more than 10 years Limited to one route in each of three states – all slots issued at least once FAST Act introduces a “use it or lose it” provision But…. not one of the states designated for the pilot have ever actually introduced tolls

11 ISRRPP – So Why No Tolls After More Than a Decade?
Missouri (I-70) – Tolls prohibited in state Constitution; amendment requires voter approval which has not been achieved Virginia and North Carolina (I-95) – both states have released their slots after FAST Act Common factors delaying deployment of tolling: Just as much political resistance at the state level as in Congress ISRRPP is limited to one route in each state- causes local resistance battle cry “Why are we the only ones being tolled” Fear of impacts on economic competitiveness (including between states), less of an issue if more than isolated states could add tolls Aggressive opposition from trucking industry – including threats of economic impacts among local residents ISRRPP is the most restrictive program of all Interstate tolling exemptions in terms of revenue use

12 Challenge with Public Acceptance
Overall there is less public opposition to user fees than perceived by elected officials An important disconnect In general, surveys nationally find more support for increased use of tolling than increases in gas and other tax levies Notable exception: trucking industry which favors gas tax increases Considerable public support for tolling “new capacity” However considerable opposition to adding tolls to existing free roads Major issue since biggest funding need in the future will be to “rebuild” existing roads But Support May be On the Rise

13 Connecticut Interstate Tolling Study

14 Recent Developments Increasing pressure by states on Congress to eliminate or reduce Federal restrictions on tolling interstates States are running out of options and they are left holding the bag for the “next 50 years” Several states seriously considering widespread interstate toll deployment Rhode Island moving forward with bridge replacement tolls for heavy trucks -- bridge toll exemption Connecticut close to approving widespread AET tolls on several interstate corridors -- VPPP state exemption Oregon legislature mandates detailed plan of congestion pricing on I-5 and I VPPP State exemption Indiana legislature calls for study of interstate tolling – possibly bridge toll exemption Wisconsin considering interstate tolling after completion of study

15 Where We May be Headed Gradual continued Congressional relaxation of federal restrictions This may be inevitable-almost no other viable options But it won’t be easy Eventually Congress may remove current restrictions Enable states to add tolls at their option Will require all-electronic tolling (no toll booths) Will require national interoperability If only one-third of the interstate miles in US becomes tolled, it will increase mileage of toll roads in the US four-fold Number of vehicles with ETC devices increases from 48 million today to more than 100 million in 10 years

16 What if the SASHTO States Tolled Their Interstate Highways?
Kentucky Virginia North Carolina Georgia Alabama Arkansas Tennessee Florida South Carolina Mississippi Louisiana Texas West Virginia How about $21 billion per year in new revenue

17 Interstate Tolling Revenue Potential in SASHTO States Cars: $0
Interstate Tolling Revenue Potential in SASHTO States Cars: $0.05 per mile Trucks: $0.12 per mile (2011 Dollars) Trucks Passenger Cars Note: Excludes revenue from existing toll roads.

18 SASHTO Region Net Revenue Summary Ten Year Annual Average (2020-2030)
Trucks 39.1% Cars 60.9% Collection Cost Net Revenue Rural 49.5% Urban 50.5%

19 One Unlikely Possibility?
Convert the $0.184 per gallon Federal gas tax (and the Fed. Diesel tax) to a user fee (toll) on the interstate system The gas tax is not sustainable; Nor is the HTF as we currently know it Could refocus FHWA on rebuilding the interstate system It will likely consume over half of all transportation investments in the next 50 years It could be costly Over 16,000 AET gantries needed for the national system; more than $50 billion to implement and equip But if the whole system was assessed a user fee, national tolling could be accomplished by equipping all US vehicles with GPS on board units for about the same cost or less The German national truck tolling system is done this way

20 Average Annual Toll Revenue (2020-2040, 2011 Dollars)
What If Congress Converted the Federal Gas Tax to a Toll on the Entire US Interstate System Average Annual Toll Revenue ( , 2011 Dollars) Revenue Distribution Trucks 37.5% Cars 62.5% Passenger Cars Trucks Approximate Revenue From Federal Gas Tax Collection Cost Rural 45.2% Urban 54.8% Net Revenue Cars Trucks $0.04 $0.10 $0.06 $0.15 $0.08 $0.20 * Includes both federal gasoline tax and diesel tax

21 But Since that Probably Won’t Happen…
Our states will still need to worry about rebuilding our interstates One step at a time The states will be left “holding the bag” And they will likely collectively spend well over $2 trillion on the interstate system in the next 50 years!! It’s a real problem… and tolling may just be a real solution.

22 Thank You Ed Regan


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