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Experiences from Data retrieval to crop disease modelling
Experiences from Data retrieval to crop disease modelling Hanna Huitu MMEA result seminar
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Model development and data input
Biology and epidemiology check-up. Model compatibility with different input weather data sources. Framework for agro models – model was implemented in CropInfra Framework, containing interfaces for meteorological data retrieval (MMEA), field crop information, and in future model result output (MMEA) Data 1: Interface provided by FMI (MMEA 25.5.result seminar), LAPS (Limited Area Prediction System) data Data 2: SoilWeather – a-Lab in-situ measurements (XML data; MMEA platform) Experiences so far © Maa- ja elintarviketalouden tutkimuskeskus
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Implementation of a disease forecast model to the
Implementation of a disease forecast model to the pilot environment BASE RISK Weather input data (MMEA) Cultivation history + DAILY RISK Cultivation Sporulation Infection THRESHOLD VALUES FOR WARNING + Itiönmuodostus; ilmankosteuden gradientti Variety
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Feeding the model with epidemiological data
Feeding the model with epidemiological data INFECTION SPEED AT DIFFERENT TEMPERATURES NET BLOTCH TAN SPOT Infection development - spot size mm in 7 days Weather data used in model development vs weather data available in operational use (instrumented fields, or random farm in location X)
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CropInfra Platform Internet-based networked production infrastructure, ”Sandbox” Service Oriented Architecture Project co-operation at national and EU levels: design and carrying out case studies (AgroXML, AgriXchange, Smart Agri-Food...) Co-operation with agricultural machinery manufacturers; studying present and emerging ecosystems Assisted decision making in agriculture: Science -> knowledge models -> practise Implemented onto an operational plant production farm (150 ha) with instrumentation to monitor both environment and machinery Research themes Internet of things & Future internet Esim. Infektion leviämisnopeustutkimus tulokset käytäntöön © Maa- ja elintarviketalouden tutkimuskeskus
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System of services framework DPS Service
System of services framework DPS Service SOA Interfaces (ESB) Optional SOA Interfaces Independent Services FMIS Service Framework (Cloud) Discovery Services (USDL based) Embedded DPS Trusted Log In Services Trusted Profile Services Data Storage Services AgroXML Weather Services PMML Model Services FMIS Service Framework (Cloud Proxy aka Local) Disease Pressure Service Framework Embedded DPS Limited Functionality Communication Enabler User Interface for stand-alone usage SOA Interfaces for service integration Säätietopalvelu – tähän pakataan MMEA tietolähteet Model services- tilaa mallikirjastolle Service Registration Enabler Framework Specific Services – User Specific Services Framework Specific Application Logic Enabler Framework Specific Data Model Enabler Service Registry Enabler Public – Private - System
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FMI data retrieval Interface presented in MMEA result seminar Real-time LAPS data Partial implementation of WCS 2.0 XML data retrieval; air temperature, relative humidity, wind speed, wind direction, precipitation 1 hour Textual format, suitable for small grid datasets Data delivery was working out very well! Problems with model time synchronization (NTP) in MTT influenced data retrieval in 2012. Aikojen kohdistaminen, mallin säätietopalvelu kellotettu hakemaan dataa eri lähteistä © Maa- ja elintarviketalouden tutkimuskeskus
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SoilWeather (in situ) weather station data retrieval
SoilWeather observation network in Karjaanjoki area, part of CropInfra in Vihti Network monitors air, soil and water (air temperature, air humidity, wind, precipitation, soil moisture, water level, water temperature, turbidity, nitrate content..) We used the data from automatic weather station on Hovi field (temperature and air humidity) Data measured in 15 min time interval; station-specific xml request from a-Lab server every 1 hour Data delivery was established and worked out well Built procedure to replace data gaps with value from database to enable gradient calculations in the model © Maa- ja elintarviketalouden tutkimuskeskus
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Temperature Modelled (LAPS) temperature and relative air humidity were well correlated with in situ measurements on the field
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Comparison of two weather input datasets
Model results (cumulated risk value) for individual field plots in Finland Comparison of two weather input datasets Cumulated risk value Based on in situ measurement Cumulated risk value based on FMI (1 km2) data © Maa- ja elintarviketalouden tutkimuskeskus
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Agricultural (biological) models and data interoperability – first experiences Having choice over weather input data to agro models is excellent, and FMI weather data was seen as a fine source of information to replace or complement data from compact in-situ weather stations Easy access to data from FMI / MMEA interfaces. Biological expertise must be included in implementation process together with technical expertise. Continuous, good communication is needed because ways of thinking can differ and terminologies are often domain-specific. Information connected to measured value: parameter, unit, time and location of measurement, estimate of uncertainty of measurement...Here Input data values behaved nicely, but work with other information (especially time, location) needed and will need more attention than we expected Weather data used in model development vs weather data available in operational use (instrumented fields, or random farm in location X) © Maa- ja elintarviketalouden tutkimuskeskus
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Work continues... Model testing , and model output for growth season 2013 Data quality assessment Weather data comparison in agricultural applications (Scientific article, 2012 manuscript) CropInfra environment will be developed towards supporting flexible service use, service relaying and service integration Support for model simulations (Monte Carlo approach) Our work will be useful for integration of other crop disease and pest models © Maa- ja elintarviketalouden tutkimuskeskus
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