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Go West California February 2012 1 1
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Global Economic Growth
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Decelerating Not Collapsing
World Economies Decelerating Not Collapsing 4 4
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Avoid Recession Slower Growth
Advanced Economies Avoid Recession Except Euro Slower Growth 6 6
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Deteriorating External Environment Slower Domestic Demand
Emerging Economies Weaker Growth Deteriorating External Environment Slower Domestic Demand 8 8
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Lower Global Inflation
Demand Softens Lower Comm. Prices Weaker Food Prices Volatile Oil Prices 9 9
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U.S. Economy
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Not Out of Woods 14 14
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U.S. Labor Force: Millions
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Illegal Aliens Apprehended
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65+ 55+ 25-54 20-24 16-19
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Housing’s GDP Share
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Housing Affordability Index
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Apartment Rent Increases Y/Y
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Rent vs. Own
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Rent Increases and Desire for Homeownership
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Change In House Price
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Home Prices w/ and w/o Distressed Sales
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U.S. Economic Growth (% Change Year over Year) Forecast Zero
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Will Euro Survive?
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Recipe for Recession Credit Crunch Fiscal Restraint Low Confidence
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Eurozone Economic Growth
(% Change Year over Year) Forecast Zero
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Eurozone Jobless Rate
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Austerity Restructure Loans Fiscal Union Breakup
What to Do? Austerity Restructure Loans Fiscal Union Breakup 37 37
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Outstanding Debt by Country
Ireland Portugal Greece Spain Italy Ire I
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Asia: Go West
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Asia’s Contribution to Global GDP Growth
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Investments in Asia
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Asia Place to Produce Invest Sell
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Asia Not Just Cheap Goods 43 43
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Computational Photography
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Video 46 46
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China
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Who’s Bigger? China or Japan
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U.S. Treasury Securities
8% of all 25% of foreign owned 50 50
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China Big Consumer 51 51
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China’s Love Affair with Cars
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Buy a Car and Buy a Flat
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China Inflation
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Growth, Not Inflation
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China Risks Europe Real Estate Local Gov’t Debt
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Breakup Euro?
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House Prices for Asian Cities
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New Home Prices in China
70 Cities
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China’s Trade Surplus
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Chinese Currency Appreciation
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China: Current Account Surplus % GDP
10.1% U.S. Says 2.7%
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Japan Unemployment Rate
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Recovery after Tsunami
Japan Risks Exports to Europe Strong Yen Recovery after Tsunami 67 67
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Wise, Strong, Rich
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Risks Medium-term Euro: Sovereign Debt Crisis U.S and Japan: Deficits
China: Real Estate Bubble Oil: Iran Supply Shock pan Weaker Food Prices Volatile Oil Prices 69 69
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DrSohn.com (not Dr.Sohn.com) 70 70
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