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Politics of Turkey Middle East
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History Ottoman Empire emerged 13th C
Peaked 15th 17th C, Suleiman the Magnificent Siege of Vienna 1683, Great Turkish War 1699 Ottoman Decline Turkish War of Independence (1919–1922) Kemal Ataturk the establishment the modern Republic of Turkey in 1923 Treaty of Lausanne 24 July 1923 Turkish Republic 29 October 1923
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WWII February 1945 1952 NATO Member 1960, 1971, 1980 Military Coupe 1974 Invasion of Cyprus 1984 PKK insurgency campaign 2013 Protests, Gezi Park 2016 Attempted Military coupe
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People 76,667,864 (18th) 70–75% Turks, 18% Kurds, 7–12% others
26% under the age of 14 99% Muslim, Sunni Majority 10-15 Million Alevis 85% Turkish speaking, 12% Kurdish 1 Million Syrian Refugees
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Government Unitary Parliamentary Constitutional Republic
Universal suffrage since 1933 President elected for 5 yr terms, extensive reserve powers. Prime Minister elected by parliament Grand National Assembly 550 seats elected to 4 yr terms Kemalism, Islamism
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Kurds 10 – 25% of the population PKK 1984 – 2013 National Autonomy
Maoist – Leninist doctrine
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Foreign Relations Founding Member of the UN 1945
1963 EEC, 1995 EU Customs Unions, 2005 negotiations for full membership 2nd Largest standing army in NATO: 495,000 Cold War, Cuban Missile Crisis Greece and the Aegean
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Regional Power Looking East rather than West War in Syria/ Iraq
Fearful of Kurdish independence in Rojava Anti Assad, complicating relations with Russia Directly challenging ISIS
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The Maghreb
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Libya Population 6,244,174 (108th) GDP $70.386 billion (80th)
Per capita $11,497 (82nd) 1977 onward, per capita income in the country rose to more than US $11,000 1947 Independence from Italy 1951 Released from UK French Mandate 1969 Muammar Gaddafi seized power 2011 Civil War, NATO intervention 2014 General Elections
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Gaddafi 1 September 1969, military officers led by 27-year-old army officer Muammar Gaddafi staged a coup d'état against King Idris 2 March 1977, Libya officially became the "Great Socialist People's Libyan Arab Jamahiriya". Gaddafi officially passed power to General People's Committees, claiming to a symbolic figurehead Formally a democracy though the government refused to publish results The Green Book From 1977 1986 assassination attempt by US A gathering of more than 200 African kings and traditional rulers, meeting August 2008, conferred on Colonel Gaddafi the title "King of Kings of Africa".
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Foreign Relations Chadian–Libyan conflict 1977
Libya started delivering military supplies to militias in Chad, then invaded Libya and Egypt fought a four-day border war sponsored paramilitary and terrorist groups around the world 1986 Airstrike 1988 Lockerbie Return to the international community following admission of guilt for Lockerbie and compensation paid.
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Revolution 17 February 2011, National Transnational Council
NATO intervention, No Fly Zones October 2011 loyalist forces defeated Gaddafi Killed 2011, Battle of Sirte July 2012, first parliament elected
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Algeria
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French Rule Mass protests against French rule May 1945, met with harsh response. 15,000 deaths 1947 Organic Statute of Algeria, ‘meritous’ 1954 – 62 War of Independence Evian Accords, 1 million French Algerians leave the exodus deprived the country of most of its managers, civil servants, engineers, teachers, physicians, and skilled workers. Several 100’s of thousands made homeless 70 %t of the work force was unemployed
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Islamists Parties and Government Challenges
1989 New Constitution Islamic Salvation Front won elections with 50% of the vote in 1990 Military intervention followed, crack down on ISF, subsequent elections postponed. Low intensity civil conflict with the state continues Salafist Group for Preaching and Combat 2006 al Qaeda in the Islamic Maghreb (AQIM) 1996 a referendum introduced changes to the constitution, enhancing presidential powers and banning Islamist parties Civil Concord was approved in a nationwide referendum 2000 offered amnesty for anti government rebels, 80% decrees in insurgent activity In September 2005, another referendum
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Tunisia
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Revolution high unemployment, food inflation, corruption, poor living conditions, freedom of speech Mohamed Bouazizi, a 26-year street vendor, who set himself afire in protest at the confiscation of his goods and humiliation by a municipal official. violence erupted following Bouazizi's death President Zine El Abidine Ben Ali to step down on 14 January 2011, after 23 years in power.
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Pakistan, Afghanistan
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People Pakistan Sunni: 75-85% Shia: 10-25% Punjabis 42% Pashtuns 17.%
Sindhis 14% Seraikis 10% Muhajirs 7% Balochs is 3%million Others (%
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People Afghanistan Population 31 million Languages: Dari (50%) Pashtu,
Uzbek, Turkmen 80% Sunni, 20% Shia Pashtun 40% Tajik 33% Hazara 11% Uzbek 9% Aimak % Turkmen % Baloch %
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Foreign Relations Close military and economic relations with Saudi Arabia, Iran, US Since the Partition of British India, conflicts have erupted in 1947, 1965, 1999 1971 Bangladesh Liberation War (East Pakistan) Kashmir conflict
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Nuclear Weapons Nuclear capable 1988 120 – 200 available warheads
A. Q. Khan network Gas ultra-centrifuges Centrifuge technologies exchanged for missile technologies with N. Korea, as well as deals with Iran and Libya
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Saudi Pakistan Special Relationship
Pakistan provides, arms and training for the Saudi military Pakistan Air Force involved in Yemen in s and 1980s, 15,000 Pakistani soldiers in Saudi Purchase of Pakistani ballistic missiles Saudi funded Pakistan's bomb programme Extensive religious and educational aide to Pak 1 Million Pakistani immigrants in Saudi Trade agreements
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Eastern Theatre of the Middle East Cold War
Both Iran and Saudi have influence in Afghanistan Saudi does so through relations with Pakistan Iran seeks allies among the Persian speaking Shi’ite Hazras
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(1978) Saur Revolution, anti communist insurrection
(1979–89) Soviet–Afghan War (1989–92) Afghan Civil War– collapse of Communist Najibullah government (1992–96) Afghan Civil War (1996–2001) Taliban majority control (2001) Coalition intervention
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ISI and the Taliban Taliban Developed from the Soviet – Afghan War, Trained by Pakistan, Armed by US and Saudi Arabia Attempt to promote a pro-Pakistan government used Afghanistan as a buffer to the USSR Following Soviet withdrawal civil war emerged in 1989
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Taliban vs Northern Alliance
Peshwar Accord, Islamic State of Afghanistan Civil War, Tribal Warlords Taliban, 1996 – 2001, Mullah Omar Northern Alliance Following 9/11 refusal to surrender Osama bin Landen resulted in multi-national invasion
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