1. ANTICIPATION IN BUILT ENVIRONMENT Daniele FANZINI & Irina ROTARU
Trento April 2017 | Anticipation, Agency and Complexity . S6 CREATING RESILIENT COMMUNITIES
ANTICIPATION IN BUILT ENVIRONMENT
DESIGN & MANAGEMENT
Daniele FANZINI & Irina ROTARU
Politecnico di Milano, Department of Architecture, Built environment and Construction engineering

2. 1 summary INTRODUCTION: ANTICIPATION & BUILT ENVIRONMENT (daniele)
Trento April 2017 | Anticipation, Agency and Complexity . S6 CREATING RESILIENT COMMUNITIES
summary
INTRODUCTION: ANTICIPATION & BUILT ENVIRONMENT (daniele)
THEORETICAL FRAMEWORK (daniele)
PRACTICAL ASPECTS (irina)
OUR PROJECTS AND EXPERIENCES (irina)
CONCLUSIONS (irina)
Anticipation in Built Environment design and Management
Daniele FANZINI & Irina ROTARU 1

3. 2 BUILT ENVIRONMENT introduction
Trento April 2017 | Anticipation, Agency and Complexity . S6 CREATING RESILIENT COMMUNITIES
introduction
BUILT ENVIRONMENT
Setting for human activity of anthropic origin
A new Science of cities
(La Cecla)
Real needs &
Social innovation
(Dioguardi)
Problem city
(JaCques Boulet)
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4. 3 WHY? ANTICIPATION introduction changes/complexity/resilience
Trento April 2017 | Anticipation, Agency and Complexity . S6 CREATING RESILIENT COMMUNITIES
introduction
WHY?
changes/complexity/resilience
ANTICIPATION
meant to work with randomness, contradictions, possibilities, changeability, volatility and unevenness
Anticipation in Built Environment Design and Management
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5. Trento 06-08 April 2017 | Anticipation, Agency and Complexity
Trento April 2017 | Anticipation, Agency and Complexity . S6 CREATING RESILIENT COMMUNITIES
introduction
ANTICIPATION
forward-looking attitude
way of addressing uncertainty, variability and, ultimately fear
imagine the desired future & act to transform it into reality.
the preactive approach (ready to respond to expected changes) has to be complemented by the proactive one (provoke desirable changes)
Anticipation in Built Environment Design and Management
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6. 5 ANTICIPATION IN BUILT ENVIRONMENT DESIGN introduction
Trento April 2017 | Anticipation, Agency and Complexity . S6 CREATING RESILIENT COMMUNITIES
introduction
ANTICIPATION IN BUILT ENVIRONMENT DESIGN
an instrument to master change (Godet 1997, p. 22, Rousseau 2015) + respond to problems even before they arise
possibility to use future in the present
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7. 6 anticipative processes: manage futures
Trento April 2017 | Anticipation, Agency and Complexity . S6 CREATING RESILIENT COMMUNITIES
introduction
interpretative key: space – feeling - action
anticipative processes:
manage futures
increase tangible and intangible values, resilience to change & innovation
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8. 7 Concrete utopia & territorialist school theoretical framework
Trento April 2017 | Anticipation, Agency and Complexity . S6 CREATING RESILIENT COMMUNITIES
theoretical framework
Concrete utopia &
territorialist school
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9. ‘ecosystem of human environment’
Trento April 2017 | Anticipation, Agency and Complexity . S6 CREATING RESILIENT COMMUNITIES
theoretical framework
relational capital
change
shared goals
‘ecosystem of human environment’
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10. 3 spatial levels / scales:
Trento April 2017 | Anticipation, Agency and Complexity . S6 CREATING RESILIENT COMMUNITIES
theoretical framework
3 spatial levels / scales:
region, city, building
time horizons
public – private interests balance (Magnaghi)
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11. Trento 06-08 April 2017 | Anticipation, Agency and Complexity
Trento April 2017 | Anticipation, Agency and Complexity . S6 CREATING RESILIENT COMMUNITIES
practical aspects
ethical values
time
strategic planning
Process evolution in the framework of space and time scales
operative project
micro
building
medio
city
macro
region
scale
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12. 11 Anticipation at macro scale long term the ethics of responsibility
Trento April 2017 | Anticipation, Agency and Complexity . S6 CREATING RESILIENT COMMUNITIES
practical aspects
Anticipation at macro scale
long term
the ethics of responsibility
common interest
production of sense
Anticipation in Built Environment Design and Management
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13. 12 Anticipation at meso scale medium term
Trento April 2017 | Anticipation, Agency and Complexity . S6 CREATING RESILIENT COMMUNITIES
practical aspects
Anticipation at meso scale
medium term
participatory and collaborative governance
collective intelligence & proactive attitude
production of strategy
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14. 13 Anticipation at micro scale short term
Trento April 2017 | Anticipation, Agency and Complexity . S6 CREATING RESILIENT COMMUNITIES
practical aspects
Anticipation at micro scale
short term
creativity and innovative experiments
necessity to solve real problems in an integrated and proactive way
experimentation of ideas & content
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15. methodologies & tools 14 Shift: visioning > envisioning,
Trento April 2017 | Anticipation, Agency and Complexity . S6 CREATING RESILIENT COMMUNITIES
practical aspects
methodologies & tools
Shift:
visioning > envisioning,
sense making > foresight,
making sense > anticipation
Anticipation in Built Environment Design and Management
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16. 15 Common features: practical aspects
Trento April 2017 | Anticipation, Agency and Complexity . S6 CREATING RESILIENT COMMUNITIES
practical aspects
Common features:
- creative action meant to reveal new possibilities or to capitalise new forms of knowledge;
- the adoption of a holistic and systemic vision of the problems and processes (multi-layered system approach);
- the involvement of stakeholders and their capacity building.
Anticipation in Built Environment Design and Management
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17. Trento 06-08 April 2017 | Anticipation, Agency and Complexity
Trento April 2017 | Anticipation, Agency and Complexity . S6 CREATING RESILIENT COMMUNITIES
Our activities
complex system of initiatives which involves a huge variety of public and private operators
Anticipation in Built Environment Design and Management
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18. Trento 06-08 April 2017 | Anticipation, Agency and Complexity
Trento April 2017 | Anticipation, Agency and Complexity . S6 CREATING RESILIENT COMMUNITIES
Our approach and model
development of demonstration projects through which the targeted involvement of local partners and the stimulation of more ideas and project proposals may be achieved
Anticipation in Built Environment Design and Management
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19. 18 the cultural district in the Oltrepo area of Mantova
Trento April 2017 | Anticipation, Agency and Complexity . S6 CREATING RESILIENT COMMUNITIES
The macro scale
the cultural district in the Oltrepo area of Mantova
territorial features inspiring the fundamental principles of the vision of the future & the definition of strategies
project carried out directly by local stakeholders under the guidance of the organising committee
Anticipation in Built Environment Design and Management
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20. 19 the cultural district in the Oltrepo area of Mantova
Trento April 2017 | Anticipation, Agency and Complexity . S6 CREATING RESILIENT COMMUNITIES
The macro scale
the cultural district in the Oltrepo area of Mantova
The vision becomes strategy that generates projects with the involvement of local community
Anticipation in Built Environment Design and Management
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21. 20 meso scale > micro scale
Trento April 2017 | Anticipation, Agency and Complexity . S6 CREATING RESILIENT COMMUNITIES
meso scale > micro scale
“Mantova: Commercio & Città della Cultura”
Anticipation in Built Environment Design and Management
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22. 21 meso scale > micro scale
Trento April 2017 | Anticipation, Agency and Complexity . S6 CREATING RESILIENT COMMUNITIES
meso scale > micro scale
Comparison with the French example – Reinventer Paris
aimed to generate new funding sources and promote value in the conditions of the reduced time of implementation of public projects
project competition for 12 municipal derelict sites
Interdisciplinary and integrated approach
Innovative urban management mechanism
Engendering / supporting micro scale projects
Anticipation in Built Environment Design and Management
Daniele FANZINI & Irina ROTARU 21

23. Trento 06-08 April 2017 | Anticipation, Agency and Complexity
Trento April 2017 | Anticipation, Agency and Complexity . S6 CREATING RESILIENT COMMUNITIES
The micro scale
Mantova Innocenter - Technology & Design Research Center
Knowledge transfer between Universities and the system of SMEs from the Mantua province for enhancing the companies’ competitiveness
1. InnoEvent: series of workshops and seminars to reduce the cognitive distance between companies and the design-driven innovation;
2. InnoVisioning: tell how to innovate and create value when developing, communicating, serving and displaying products
3. Inno Delegate: identifies creative persons / designers / solvers with projects or technologies or innovation ideas + accredits them + promotes their projects to companies + signs representation agreements in the area.
Anticipation in Built Environment Design and Management
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24. Trento 06-08 April 2017 | Anticipation, Agency and Complexity
Trento April 2017 | Anticipation, Agency and Complexity . S6 CREATING RESILIENT COMMUNITIES
conclusions
ethical and sustainability aspects related to the responsibility towards future generations
Built environment evolution - legitimately a common interest topic that SHOULD not remain the appanage of elites, but become accessible to everybody, open to all sorts of contributions.
Anticipation in Built Environment Design and Management
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25. Anticipa(c)tion 24 change management
Trento April 2017 | Anticipation, Agency and Complexity . S6 CREATING RESILIENT COMMUNITIES
conclusions
Anticipa(c)tion
change management
active participation in the definition of future
ready to respond to predicted evolutions + engender transformations so that to reach a goal
diversification of roles
knowledge and collective intelligence
Anticipation in Built Environment Design and Management
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26. Anticipa(c)tion 25 An attitude (Wisner 2013) a capacity
Trento April 2017 | Anticipation, Agency and Complexity . S6 CREATING RESILIENT COMMUNITIES
conclusions
Anticipa(c)tion
An attitude (Wisner 2013)
a capacity
a methodological approach
management perspective > entrepreneurial perspective
no general recipe for the application of anticipation in built environment design, but general principles conducing to a flexible practice process
Anticipation in Built Environment Design and Management
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