1. The Role of Pima Community College in Strategic Workforce Development in Southern Arizona
Presented by Dr. Ian R. Roark,
Vice President of Workforce Development
To the Financial Executives & Affiliates of Tucson
2/15/17

2. The Vision and Mission
“It is not enough to be busy. So are the ants. The question is: what are we busy about?”
-Henry David Thoreau
To create opportunity for students’ college and career success where none existed before.
Mission: Ensure that Pima Community College’s programs and processes to meet the workforce and economic development needs of the community.

3. Pima Community College Overview (2016)
42,787 Credit (Reportable FTSE Headcount)
2,876 Non-credit (Non-Reportable FTSE Headcount)
45,160 Total Headcount
5,437 Adult Basic Education included in Reportable FTSE Headcount
3,365 Associate Degrees
2,835 Certificates
52% women; 43% men; 5% unknown
Average age: 26
69% part-time; 31% full-time
Minority race/ethnicity: 54%
18% of courses were offered online only
A total of 185 transfer and occupational programs.

4. Workforce/CTE Programs
Approx. 20,000 students (trainees, part-time and full time) in myriad of workforce program areas
Example Program areas:
Applied Technology
Nursing & Allied Health
Computer & Information Sciences
Business
Emergency Services & Response
Workforce training

5. Workforce Development circa 2005

6. Workforce Development circa 2015

7. I can’t find the people I need!
The Talent gap is Real

8. Demonstrated competencies
The Talent Gap
Employability Skills
Critical thinking
Integrity
Works in teams
Dependability
Initiative
Technical Skills
Industry standards
Demonstrated competencies
Technology
Math in context
Technical writing
Talent Supply
Experience
Quantity
Reliable pool
Fit

12. Is this a strong labor market?
Where are the jobs?

13. Source: Produced by the Arizona Office of Employment and Population Statistics using CES data in cooperation with the U.S. Dept. of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics

14. Rate of Job Increase in Key Sectors, Dec. 2015 to Dec. 2016
Manufacturing %
Construction %
Retail %
Health %
Hospitality %
Nat’l Resource/Mining %
Transport, Warehouse
and Utilities %
Source: Pima County Workforce Investment Board

15. Source: Produced by the Arizona Office of Employment and Population Statistics using OES data in cooperation with the U.S. Dept. of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics

16. Source: Produced by the Arizona Office of Employment and Population Statistics using OES data in cooperation with the U.S. Dept. of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics

17. Rate of Job Increase in Key Sectors, Dec. 2016 to Dec. 2017
Manufacturing %
Construction %
Retail %
Health %
Hospitality %
Nat’l Resource/Mining %
Transport, Warehouse
and Utilities %
Source: Pima County Workforce Investment Board

18. They're Out There…
Where is the Talent?

19. Source: Produced by the Arizona Office of Economic Opportunity

20. Arizona Census 2010 Total Population 6,392,017 Hispanic 1,895,228
29.6%
Male
951,818
14.9%
Female
943,410
14.8%
Non-Hispanic
4,497,621
70.4%
2,224,188
34.8%
2,273,433
35.6%
Under 17
1,537,878
24.1%
Age 17-24
724,347
11.3%
Age 25-34
856,693
13.4%
Age 35-44
822,494
12.9%
Age 45-54
842,546
13.2%
Age 55-64
726,228
11.4%
Over 64
881,831
13.8%

21. Pima County Census 2010 Total Population 980,263 Hispanic 338,802
34.6%
Male
165,575
16.9%
Female
173,227
17.7%
Non-Hispanic
641,461
65.4%
315,862
32.2%
325,599
33.2%
Under 17
211,872
21.6%
Age 17-24
121,235
12.4%
Age 25-34
126,176
12.9%
Age 35-44
115,795
11.8%
Age 45-54
131,528
13.4%
Age 55-64
122,367
12.5%
Over 64
151,293
15.4%

22. Pima County Population Projections

23. Dec ‘16 Dec ‘15 Unemployed 20,700 23,600 Unemp Rate 4.3% 5.0%
Unemployment and Labor Force in Pima County (preliminary per AZ Research Administration)
Dec ‘ Dec ‘15
Unemployed 20, ,600
Unemp Rate 4.3% %
Employed , ,500
Labor Force , ,000
Source: Pima County Workforce Investment Board

24. The Declining Labor Participation Rate
CRISIS!
The Declining Labor Participation Rate
Today’s unemployment rate of 4.8% shows the United States near “full employment.”
However the labor force participation rate has declined to 62.9% from 67.3% in the 1990s.
Source: Pima County Workforce Investment Board

25. Labor Force Participation Rate
As Arizona’s LFPR has declined over time, Arizona’s rank among the states has increased
Higher rank means a lower rate of participation
Source: Produced by the Arizona Office of Economic Opportunity using CES data in cooperation with the U.S. Dept. of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics

26. Unemployment decreases with higher levels of education
Source: Produced by the Arizona Office of Employment and Population Statistics using 2014 ACS 5-Year Estimates (B23006) in cooperation with the U.S. Census Bureau

27. Source: Produced by the Arizona Office of Employment and Population Statistics using LAUS data in cooperation with the U.S. Dept. of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics

28. Source: Produced by the Arizona Office of Economic Opportunity using CES data in cooperation with the U.S. Dept. of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics

29. Arizonans 35-to-44 not in the Labor Force

33. Migration Patterns of PCC Alumni

35. Source: MAP Dashboard Project

36. Source: MAP Dashboard Project

37. Source: MAP Dashboard Project

38. What is Pima Community College Doing About this?
A new role for Pima
What is Pima Community College Doing About this?

40. Internal challenge: Fragmentation
Six semi-independent campuses
Disparity in size, resources
Multiple goals
No single point of contact
Northwest Campus
East Campus
West Campus
Downtown Campus
Desert Vista Campus
Community Campus

41. Realignment for Workforce Development
Engagement
Alignment
Outcomes
Wkfce
Dev. Staff
SBDC
Occupational Deans
VP of Workforce Development
VP of
International
VP of Adult Education

42. Sector Strategies in Pima County
Arizona Commerce Authority/Office of Economic Opportunity
Aerospace & Defense
Technology & Innovation
Renewable Energy
Bioscience and Healthcare
Optics/Photonics
Advanced Manufacturing
Pima County Workforce Investment Board
Aerospace & Defense
Logistics/Transportation
Bioscience & Health
Infrastructure
Emerging Technologies
Tucson Metro Chamber of Commerce
Healthcare
Construction
Automotive Technology
Engineering
Hospitality
Arizona Technology Council
Aerospace, Aviation & Defense
Optics, Photonics, and Astronomy
Bioscience and Healthcare
Cybersecurity
Energy
Sun Corridor, Inc.
Aerospace
Bioscience
Energy
Transportation

43. Finding the Best Fit
Pima Association of Governments’ Economic Vitality Advisory Committee- Aerospace & Defense/Aviation
Southern Arizona Manufacturing Partnership
Workforce Investment Board Healthcare Sector Committee

44. Strategic directions in workforce development
Fulfilling our Mission
Strategic directions in workforce development

45. Strategic Direction 4.1
Redesign/reinvent occupational programs/curriculum based upon clearly defined industry-recognized credentials in partnership with industry
SAMP, Machine Technology, and NIMS
Building Construction Technology and NCCER
Automotive Tech and the NC3 Chrysler Fiat MOPAR CAP Local program

46. Strategic Direction 4.2
Partner with industry to customize educational/training programs (content and format)
Workforce & Business Development Unit and customized workforce training
Get Into Energy—TEP and SW Gas
Part 65 Aviation training

47. Strategic Direction 4.3
Utilize multiple delivery formats, including non-traditional, non-term based and accelerated courses instructional modes as needed based on industry input
US Air Force Paramedic Program
University transportation Center Grant
Prior Learning Assessment
Training Boot Camps
Security +/Networking
Applied Technology for Engineers
Structures Boot Camp Program for Aviation

48. Strategic Direction 4.4
Establish internal processes that enable the College to respond to current and emerging workforce/industry needs in an accelerated manner
Workforce response process
Noncredit workforce training
Industry-driven mindset and behaviors

49. Strategic Direction 4.5
Partner with industry leaders to provide the skilled workforce necessary to grow the following emerging sectors: aerospace, defense, biosciences, healthcare and renewable energy
Sector partnerships
Employer engagement
Association, EDO, and Chamber partnerships

50. Strategic Direction 4.6
Develop and foster career pathways in collaboration with industry
Integrated Basic Education and Skills Training (IBEST)
Career & Technical Education (CTE) Dual Credit Academies (high school students earning college credit in technical programs)

51. Career & Technical Education Dual Credit Academies
Establishing the Feeder Program
Career & Technical Education Dual Credit Academies

52. Pima County population
Enrollment Potential
Age
Pima County population
% PCC students
18-24
116,000
58%
25+
654,000
41%
Percentage of students enrolling in CCs one year after HS graduation
Pima CC
Arizona
United States
43%
37%
Less than 30%
Percentage of students attending online, nights, or weekends
Pima CC
Arizona
61%
63%
Source: Arizona 2020 Vision 2015 reports; U.S. Census Bureau American Community Survey five-year estimates

54. The Matriculation Age Gap
Traditional Enrollees’ Age
Technical Enrollees’ Age
Unskilled Labor Participation

55. The Context The Poverty Problem
High-Skill & High-Wage Occupations/Careers
WIB Sector Strategy
Parent and student interest
College, JTED, and School Districts’ funding

56. College and Career Paths-The Traditional Gaps
Critical
Gap
Completion
Point
High
9-12
Lower Division
Upper Division
Middle
6-8
(7th–10th Grade Dropout)
(High School to College)
(First Year)
(Transfer from 2-year to 4-year)

57. Dual Credit Academies-Narrowing The Gaps
AVID
High
9-12
Lower Division
Upper Division
Middle
6-8
Dual Credit
Internships
Increased Scholarships
Career
College and Career Exploration & Goal Setting
Bridge Programs
Wrap Around Support, Intrusive Advising, Cohort Models

58. Academies vs. Courses Coherent sequence of courses
Clearly articulated college equivalency
Programmatic vs. elective
County-wide program vs. feeder programs

59. Program Areas Manufacturing (SAMP) Aviation Technology Welding
Automotive Technology
Bio-Science
Fire/EMT
Culinary Arts

60. Prior Learning Assessment
The Next Major Disruption in Higher Education
Prior Learning Assessment

61. Pima County population
Enrollment Potential
Age
Pima County population
% PCC students
18-24
116,000
58%
25+
654,000
41%
Percentage of students enrolling in CCs one year after HS graduation
Pima CC
Arizona
United States
43%
37%
Less than 30%
Percentage of students attending online, nights, or weekends
Pima CC
Arizona
61%
63%
Source: Arizona 2020 Vision 2015 reports; U.S. Census Bureau American Community Survey five-year estimates

62. Pima County Population Projections

63. PLA: The Next Disruption
Traditional Higher Ed.
Classroom/Online
Seat time/Carnegie Units
Instructor-centric qualifications
Instructor-determined standards
Grades
Semesters
Debt
Prior Learning Assessment
Industry certifications
Work experience
Life experience
Student-centered qualifications
Competency-based
Not time-bound
Not location bound

64. Prior Learning Assessment at PCC
College credit for:
Industry recognized certifications
Military experience and training
Work experience with demonstrated competencies
Pilots
Fire/EMS
Building Construction Technology and NCCER
Full scale by Fall 2018

65. Command of Talent Supply and Talent Development Takes Commitment
The Ideal System

66. The Ideal System
What does a true talent development “pipeline” look like?
Commitment:
Postsecondary
K-12
Public Workforce System
State
Business & Industry
EDOs/Chambers/Industry Associations

67. Experiential Learning
The Ideal System
System Outcomes:
Financially sustainable, aligned and integrated career pathway systems based on employer needs
Increased number of skilled young professionals possessing skills with value in the labor market
State and regional economies develop talent pipelines in key industry sectors
Secondary
Postsecondary
Experiential Learning
Rigorous Academics
Clear Transitions via Career Guidance, Dual Enrollment, Integrated Instruction, and Work-based Learning
Stackable Credentials 
AA/AAS 
BS/BAS 
Career Readiness Skills
Source: Arizona Pathways to Prosperity

69. Students (HS and College) Industry Standards (NIMS)
Raytheon and Supply Chain
Pima County One Stop
Internships
Dual Credit
Pima CC, JTED, and USDs

70. Source: Produced by the Arizona Office of Economic Opportunity using CES data in cooperation with the U.S. Dept. of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics

71. Source: Produced by the Arizona Office of Economic Opportunity using CES data in cooperation with the U.S. Dept. of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics

72. Source: Produced by the Arizona Office of Economic Opportunity using CES data in cooperation with the U.S. Dept. of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics

73. October 2016 Employment Trends: Aerospace Products and PartsUS
Arizona
Tucson MSA
Phoenix MSA
Over the Month Numeric Change
-3,400 jobs
100 jobs
Over the Month Percentage Change
-0.7%
0.4%
0.9%
0.7%
Over the Year Numeric Change
-7,100 jobs
200 jobs
700 jobs
-400 jobs
Over the Year Percentage Change
-1.5%
0.8%
6.5%
-2.9%
Source: Produced by the Arizona Office of Economic Opportunity using CES data in cooperation with the U.S. Dept. of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics

74. October 2016 Employment Trends: Aerospace Products and PartsUS
Arizona
Tucson MSA
Phoenix MSA
Total Employment
477,400 jobs
25,100 jobs
11,400 jobs
13,600 jobs
Aerospace as share of Manufacturing
3.9%
15.9%
48.3%
11.5%
Source: Produced by the Arizona Office of Economic Opportunity using CES data in cooperation with the U.S. Dept. of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics

75. Arizona Advanced Technology Corridor
Manufacturing is hot in AZ!
Lucid Technologies-2,000 jobs (Case Grande)
Raytheon Expansion- 2,000 jobs (Tucson)
Intel- 7,000 jobs (Chandler)
AZ Manufacturing/Adv. Tech Partners:
Office of Economic Opportunity
Pima CC
Maricopa CCD
Central Arizona College
Align curricula and programs and expand capacity among these colleges

76. Expanding the Workforce Development Capacity of PCC
Centers of excellence

77. Funding the Renewal of the College
Educational Master Plan Priorities
Ensure program quality, relevancy, and sustainability
Create pathways to student success
Establish centers for excellence—workforce development
Emphasize outreach centers and leverage adult education

78. Centers of Excellence Emergency Services Applied Technology
East Campus
Applied Technology
Applied Tech (including Advanced Downtown Campus
Aviation Technology TIA
Nursing & Allied Health
West Campus

79. Aviation Technology Expansion
The Need
Tucson is #1 in AZ for unique postings
Tucson is #2 city in the nation for unique postings, behind only Jacksonville, Florida.
Called upon to double or triple output of technicians
Current output does not even keep pace with attrition
1,534 jobs reported in 2015 for Southern AZ
112 percent above the national average
National Issue (NCAT)

80. Aviation Technology Expansion
The Goal
Double output
Cost of $10-14 million
Jobs and Payroll
New direct jobs supported: 503
New direct payroll: $20,008,586
Economic Impact
Total value economic impact: $ 577,187,018
Total new jobs supported: 709
Total new payroll supported: $131,901,497
Household spending supported: $126,405,655
Source: Sun Corridor, Inc.

81. In Conclusion Policy and funding considerations
Pima has shifted it’s emphasis to include Workforce Development as a primary focus
A comprehensive talent development and supply system requires us all to work together

82. Thank You! Arizona Office of Economic Opportunity
Pima County
Sun Corridor, Inc.
Arizona Technology Council
Pima County JTED and partner USDs
SAMP
Lovitt & Touche, Matt Nelson
PCC Team

83. Thank you for supporting Pima Community College!
Questions?
Thank you for supporting Pima Community College!