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The Role of Pima Community College in Strategic Workforce Development in Southern Arizona
Presented by Dr. Ian R. Roark, Vice President of Workforce Development To the Financial Executives & Affiliates of Tucson 2/15/17
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The Vision and Mission “It is not enough to be busy. So are the ants. The question is: what are we busy about?” -Henry David Thoreau To create opportunity for students’ college and career success where none existed before. Mission: Ensure that Pima Community College’s programs and processes to meet the workforce and economic development needs of the community.
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Pima Community College Overview (2016)
42,787 Credit (Reportable FTSE Headcount) 2,876 Non-credit (Non-Reportable FTSE Headcount) 45,160 Total Headcount 5,437 Adult Basic Education included in Reportable FTSE Headcount 3,365 Associate Degrees 2,835 Certificates 52% women; 43% men; 5% unknown Average age: 26 69% part-time; 31% full-time Minority race/ethnicity: 54% 18% of courses were offered online only A total of 185 transfer and occupational programs.
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Workforce/CTE Programs
Approx. 20,000 students (trainees, part-time and full time) in myriad of workforce program areas Example Program areas: Applied Technology Nursing & Allied Health Computer & Information Sciences Business Emergency Services & Response Workforce training
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Workforce Development circa 2005
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Workforce Development circa 2015
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I can’t find the people I need!
The Talent gap is Real
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Demonstrated competencies
The Talent Gap Employability Skills Critical thinking Integrity Works in teams Dependability Initiative Technical Skills Industry standards Demonstrated competencies Technology Math in context Technical writing Talent Supply Experience Quantity Reliable pool Fit
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Is this a strong labor market?
Where are the jobs?
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Source: Produced by the Arizona Office of Employment and Population Statistics using CES data in cooperation with the U.S. Dept. of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics
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Rate of Job Increase in Key Sectors, Dec. 2015 to Dec. 2016
Manufacturing % Construction % Retail % Health % Hospitality % Nat’l Resource/Mining % Transport, Warehouse and Utilities % Source: Pima County Workforce Investment Board
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Source: Produced by the Arizona Office of Employment and Population Statistics using OES data in cooperation with the U.S. Dept. of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics
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Source: Produced by the Arizona Office of Employment and Population Statistics using OES data in cooperation with the U.S. Dept. of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics
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Rate of Job Increase in Key Sectors, Dec. 2016 to Dec. 2017
Manufacturing % Construction % Retail % Health % Hospitality % Nat’l Resource/Mining % Transport, Warehouse and Utilities % Source: Pima County Workforce Investment Board
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They're Out There… Where is the Talent?
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Source: Produced by the Arizona Office of Economic Opportunity
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Arizona Census 2010 Total Population 6,392,017 Hispanic 1,895,228
29.6% Male 951,818 14.9% Female 943,410 14.8% Non-Hispanic 4,497,621 70.4% 2,224,188 34.8% 2,273,433 35.6% Under 17 1,537,878 24.1% Age 17-24 724,347 11.3% Age 25-34 856,693 13.4% Age 35-44 822,494 12.9% Age 45-54 842,546 13.2% Age 55-64 726,228 11.4% Over 64 881,831 13.8%
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Pima County Census 2010 Total Population 980,263 Hispanic 338,802
34.6% Male 165,575 16.9% Female 173,227 17.7% Non-Hispanic 641,461 65.4% 315,862 32.2% 325,599 33.2% Under 17 211,872 21.6% Age 17-24 121,235 12.4% Age 25-34 126,176 12.9% Age 35-44 115,795 11.8% Age 45-54 131,528 13.4% Age 55-64 122,367 12.5% Over 64 151,293 15.4%
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Pima County Population Projections
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Dec ‘16 Dec ‘15 Unemployed 20,700 23,600 Unemp Rate 4.3% 5.0%
Unemployment and Labor Force in Pima County (preliminary per AZ Research Administration) Dec ‘ Dec ‘15 Unemployed 20, ,600 Unemp Rate 4.3% % Employed , ,500 Labor Force , ,000 Source: Pima County Workforce Investment Board
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The Declining Labor Participation Rate
CRISIS! The Declining Labor Participation Rate Today’s unemployment rate of 4.8% shows the United States near “full employment.” However the labor force participation rate has declined to 62.9% from 67.3% in the 1990s. Source: Pima County Workforce Investment Board
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Labor Force Participation Rate
As Arizona’s LFPR has declined over time, Arizona’s rank among the states has increased Higher rank means a lower rate of participation Source: Produced by the Arizona Office of Economic Opportunity using CES data in cooperation with the U.S. Dept. of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics
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Unemployment decreases with higher levels of education
Source: Produced by the Arizona Office of Employment and Population Statistics using 2014 ACS 5-Year Estimates (B23006) in cooperation with the U.S. Census Bureau
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Source: Produced by the Arizona Office of Employment and Population Statistics using LAUS data in cooperation with the U.S. Dept. of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics
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Source: Produced by the Arizona Office of Economic Opportunity using CES data in cooperation with the U.S. Dept. of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics
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Arizonans 35-to-44 not in the Labor Force
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Migration Patterns of PCC Alumni
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Source: MAP Dashboard Project
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Source: MAP Dashboard Project
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Source: MAP Dashboard Project
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What is Pima Community College Doing About this?
A new role for Pima What is Pima Community College Doing About this?
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Internal challenge: Fragmentation
Six semi-independent campuses Disparity in size, resources Multiple goals No single point of contact Northwest Campus East Campus West Campus Downtown Campus Desert Vista Campus Community Campus
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Realignment for Workforce Development
Engagement Alignment Outcomes Wkfce Dev. Staff SBDC Occupational Deans VP of Workforce Development VP of International VP of Adult Education
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Sector Strategies in Pima County
Arizona Commerce Authority/Office of Economic Opportunity Aerospace & Defense Technology & Innovation Renewable Energy Bioscience and Healthcare Optics/Photonics Advanced Manufacturing Pima County Workforce Investment Board Aerospace & Defense Logistics/Transportation Bioscience & Health Infrastructure Emerging Technologies Tucson Metro Chamber of Commerce Healthcare Construction Automotive Technology Engineering Hospitality Arizona Technology Council Aerospace, Aviation & Defense Optics, Photonics, and Astronomy Bioscience and Healthcare Cybersecurity Energy Sun Corridor, Inc. Aerospace Bioscience Energy Transportation
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Finding the Best Fit Pima Association of Governments’ Economic Vitality Advisory Committee- Aerospace & Defense/Aviation Southern Arizona Manufacturing Partnership Workforce Investment Board Healthcare Sector Committee
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Strategic directions in workforce development
Fulfilling our Mission Strategic directions in workforce development
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Strategic Direction 4.1 Redesign/reinvent occupational programs/curriculum based upon clearly defined industry-recognized credentials in partnership with industry SAMP, Machine Technology, and NIMS Building Construction Technology and NCCER Automotive Tech and the NC3 Chrysler Fiat MOPAR CAP Local program
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Strategic Direction 4.2 Partner with industry to customize educational/training programs (content and format) Workforce & Business Development Unit and customized workforce training Get Into Energy—TEP and SW Gas Part 65 Aviation training
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Strategic Direction 4.3 Utilize multiple delivery formats, including non-traditional, non-term based and accelerated courses instructional modes as needed based on industry input US Air Force Paramedic Program University transportation Center Grant Prior Learning Assessment Training Boot Camps Security +/Networking Applied Technology for Engineers Structures Boot Camp Program for Aviation
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Strategic Direction 4.4 Establish internal processes that enable the College to respond to current and emerging workforce/industry needs in an accelerated manner Workforce response process Noncredit workforce training Industry-driven mindset and behaviors
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Strategic Direction 4.5 Partner with industry leaders to provide the skilled workforce necessary to grow the following emerging sectors: aerospace, defense, biosciences, healthcare and renewable energy Sector partnerships Employer engagement Association, EDO, and Chamber partnerships
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Strategic Direction 4.6 Develop and foster career pathways in collaboration with industry Integrated Basic Education and Skills Training (IBEST) Career & Technical Education (CTE) Dual Credit Academies (high school students earning college credit in technical programs)
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Career & Technical Education Dual Credit Academies
Establishing the Feeder Program Career & Technical Education Dual Credit Academies
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Pima County population
Enrollment Potential Age Pima County population % PCC students 18-24 116,000 58% 25+ 654,000 41% Percentage of students enrolling in CCs one year after HS graduation Pima CC Arizona United States 43% 37% Less than 30% Percentage of students attending online, nights, or weekends Pima CC Arizona 61% 63% Source: Arizona 2020 Vision 2015 reports; U.S. Census Bureau American Community Survey five-year estimates
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The Matriculation Age Gap
Traditional Enrollees’ Age Technical Enrollees’ Age Unskilled Labor Participation
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The Context The Poverty Problem
High-Skill & High-Wage Occupations/Careers WIB Sector Strategy Parent and student interest College, JTED, and School Districts’ funding
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College and Career Paths-The Traditional Gaps
Critical Gap Completion Point High 9-12 Lower Division Upper Division Middle 6-8 (7th–10th Grade Dropout) (High School to College) (First Year) (Transfer from 2-year to 4-year)
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Dual Credit Academies-Narrowing The Gaps
AVID High 9-12 Lower Division Upper Division Middle 6-8 Dual Credit Internships Increased Scholarships Career College and Career Exploration & Goal Setting Bridge Programs Wrap Around Support, Intrusive Advising, Cohort Models
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Academies vs. Courses Coherent sequence of courses
Clearly articulated college equivalency Programmatic vs. elective County-wide program vs. feeder programs
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Program Areas Manufacturing (SAMP) Aviation Technology Welding
Automotive Technology Bio-Science Fire/EMT Culinary Arts
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Prior Learning Assessment
The Next Major Disruption in Higher Education Prior Learning Assessment
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Pima County population
Enrollment Potential Age Pima County population % PCC students 18-24 116,000 58% 25+ 654,000 41% Percentage of students enrolling in CCs one year after HS graduation Pima CC Arizona United States 43% 37% Less than 30% Percentage of students attending online, nights, or weekends Pima CC Arizona 61% 63% Source: Arizona 2020 Vision 2015 reports; U.S. Census Bureau American Community Survey five-year estimates
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Pima County Population Projections
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PLA: The Next Disruption
Traditional Higher Ed. Classroom/Online Seat time/Carnegie Units Instructor-centric qualifications Instructor-determined standards Grades Semesters Debt Prior Learning Assessment Industry certifications Work experience Life experience Student-centered qualifications Competency-based Not time-bound Not location bound
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Prior Learning Assessment at PCC
College credit for: Industry recognized certifications Military experience and training Work experience with demonstrated competencies Pilots Fire/EMS Building Construction Technology and NCCER Full scale by Fall 2018
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Command of Talent Supply and Talent Development Takes Commitment
The Ideal System
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The Ideal System What does a true talent development “pipeline” look like? Commitment: Postsecondary K-12 Public Workforce System State Business & Industry EDOs/Chambers/Industry Associations
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Experiential Learning
The Ideal System System Outcomes: Financially sustainable, aligned and integrated career pathway systems based on employer needs Increased number of skilled young professionals possessing skills with value in the labor market State and regional economies develop talent pipelines in key industry sectors Secondary Postsecondary Experiential Learning Rigorous Academics Clear Transitions via Career Guidance, Dual Enrollment, Integrated Instruction, and Work-based Learning Stackable Credentials AA/AAS BS/BAS Career Readiness Skills Source: Arizona Pathways to Prosperity
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Students (HS and College) Industry Standards (NIMS)
Raytheon and Supply Chain Pima County One Stop Internships Dual Credit Pima CC, JTED, and USDs
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Source: Produced by the Arizona Office of Economic Opportunity using CES data in cooperation with the U.S. Dept. of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics
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Source: Produced by the Arizona Office of Economic Opportunity using CES data in cooperation with the U.S. Dept. of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics
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Source: Produced by the Arizona Office of Economic Opportunity using CES data in cooperation with the U.S. Dept. of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics
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October 2016 Employment Trends: Aerospace Products and Parts
US Arizona Tucson MSA Phoenix MSA Over the Month Numeric Change -3,400 jobs 100 jobs Over the Month Percentage Change -0.7% 0.4% 0.9% 0.7% Over the Year Numeric Change -7,100 jobs 200 jobs 700 jobs -400 jobs Over the Year Percentage Change -1.5% 0.8% 6.5% -2.9% Source: Produced by the Arizona Office of Economic Opportunity using CES data in cooperation with the U.S. Dept. of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics
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October 2016 Employment Trends: Aerospace Products and Parts
US Arizona Tucson MSA Phoenix MSA Total Employment 477,400 jobs 25,100 jobs 11,400 jobs 13,600 jobs Aerospace as share of Manufacturing 3.9% 15.9% 48.3% 11.5% Source: Produced by the Arizona Office of Economic Opportunity using CES data in cooperation with the U.S. Dept. of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics
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Arizona Advanced Technology Corridor
Manufacturing is hot in AZ! Lucid Technologies-2,000 jobs (Case Grande) Raytheon Expansion- 2,000 jobs (Tucson) Intel- 7,000 jobs (Chandler) AZ Manufacturing/Adv. Tech Partners: Office of Economic Opportunity Pima CC Maricopa CCD Central Arizona College Align curricula and programs and expand capacity among these colleges
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Expanding the Workforce Development Capacity of PCC
Centers of excellence
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Funding the Renewal of the College
Educational Master Plan Priorities Ensure program quality, relevancy, and sustainability Create pathways to student success Establish centers for excellence—workforce development Emphasize outreach centers and leverage adult education
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Centers of Excellence Emergency Services Applied Technology
East Campus Applied Technology Applied Tech (including Advanced Downtown Campus Aviation Technology TIA Nursing & Allied Health West Campus
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Aviation Technology Expansion
The Need Tucson is #1 in AZ for unique postings Tucson is #2 city in the nation for unique postings, behind only Jacksonville, Florida. Called upon to double or triple output of technicians Current output does not even keep pace with attrition 1,534 jobs reported in 2015 for Southern AZ 112 percent above the national average National Issue (NCAT)
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Aviation Technology Expansion
The Goal Double output Cost of $10-14 million Jobs and Payroll New direct jobs supported: 503 New direct payroll: $20,008,586 Economic Impact Total value economic impact: $ 577,187,018 Total new jobs supported: 709 Total new payroll supported: $131,901,497 Household spending supported: $126,405,655 Source: Sun Corridor, Inc.
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In Conclusion Policy and funding considerations
Pima has shifted it’s emphasis to include Workforce Development as a primary focus A comprehensive talent development and supply system requires us all to work together
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Thank You! Arizona Office of Economic Opportunity
Pima County Sun Corridor, Inc. Arizona Technology Council Pima County JTED and partner USDs SAMP Lovitt & Touche, Matt Nelson PCC Team
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Thank you for supporting Pima Community College!
Questions? Thank you for supporting Pima Community College!
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