1. Notecard Time! 10 minutes!

2. The Need for Psychological Science
Research Methods
The Need for Psychological Science

3. We often think we are smarter than we really are.
We often trust our intuition more than we should.

4. Also known as the “I knew it all along” effect.
Hindsight Bias
Thinking an outcome was obvious or bound to happen after it already happened.
Also known as the “I knew it all along” effect.

5. If you fold a piece of paper in half 50 times, how thick do you think it would be?

6. 50 million miles

7. If we were to take every person in the world a give them each a six foot by six foot box to live in, how much land space would we need?

8. The inside of the Grand Canyon

9. We tend to be more confident than we are correct.
Overconfidence
We tend to be more confident than we are correct.

10. An event that happens 1 in a billion times happens approximately 7 times per day and 2500 times per year.

11. 1 in a million miracles happen 323 times per day and 118,000 times per year in America.

12. We tend to see patterns when none actually exist.
Perceiving Order in
Random Events
We tend to see patterns when none actually exist.

13. If you flip a coin 10 times, you are just as likely to flip heads all 10 times as you are to flip alternating heads and tails.

14. What’s your sign?

15. ARIES=E TAURUS=B GEMINI=C CANCER=A LEO=F VIRGO=D LIBRA=K SCORPIO=H
SAGITTARIUS=I
CAPRICORN=L
AQUARIAS=J
PISCES=G

16. We need solid research methods and procedures so we aren’t deceived by our own intuition.