1. Beyond Connections: Improving Ways of Tracking Electricity Access
Dana Rysankova
World Bank
Vienna Energy Forum, May 9, 2017 1

2. At the country/global level At the project/agency level
Energy Access Tracking
At the country/global level
Progress towards SDG7 and SE4ALL universal access target
At the project/agency level
Results of individual projects
Aggregation at corporate/donor /government agency level

3. Multi-Tier Framework

4. Multi-Tier Framework

5. Multi-tier matrix for access to household electricity supply

6. Animated (L-R)

7. Emerging MTF Rwanda

8. Rwanda gap analysis

9. MTF use at the project level

10. MTF project design - Kenya
Kenya – designing electrification program for underserved counties

11. Solar Lighting Systems (SLS) Solar Home Systems (SHS)
MTF Kenya Findings: Grid Alternatives (Solar Devices)
33% of HH have at least solar device
Solar Lanterns (SL)
Solar Lighting Systems (SLS)
SL’s used equally in R/U but SLS and SHS ~2x more likely in R than U; 33% of HH have a solar device (35% rural off-grid)
Solar Home Systems (SHS)

12. WB Corporate Results Direct access Inferred access
People provided with direct/inferred access to electricity (millions): Number of people provided with access to electricity under Bank supported operations. This indicator includes the direct and inferred access to electricity supported by Bank operations.
Direct access is measured as the number of people that benefited from new grid or off-grid household connections. Inferred access is measured as the number of people that benefitted from the increased generation capacity, a proportion of whose output is reasonably estimated to
be powering new household connections.
Results achieved by the World Bank clients = Governments
(attribution challenge)

13. Lighting Africa / Lighting Global
Applying MTF methodology for pico-PV products
Counting pico-PV products (below Tier 1) proportionally towards Tier 1 access
Challenge: complicated methodology

14. Challenges in applying MTF methodology on the project level
Grid electrification
Lack of knowledge of what tiers the direct or inferred access will achieve
Baseline data needed but expensive to do by each project
“Short-cut” methodology needed but needs to be based on serious analysis (e.g. global baseline survey data)
Baseline changes over years of the project – accounting for exogenous changes
Off-grid electrification
Simplification of the current methodology
Harmonization of methodologies across development partners
Continue dialogue started at KfW/GIZ/EU workshop in Brussels in September 2016