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Kaiser Aluminum Corporation (KALU)

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Presentation on theme: "Kaiser Aluminum Corporation (KALU)"— Presentation transcript:

1 Kaiser Aluminum Corporation (KALU)
Anthony Sorrentino Ryan seong Presented April 27, 2017

2 Real Client Managed Portfolio
Agenda  Introduction  Company and its Business  Macroeconomic Overview and Drivers  Industry Overview and Analysis  Financial Analysis  Competitors   Valuations  Technical Analysis  Recommendation Real Client Managed Portfolio

3 Current Portfolio - % Equity by Sector 5 Year Stock Performance
Introduction Current Portfolio - % Equity by Sector Equity Snapshot P/E x Market Cap $1.51B 52 Week Range $ $96.06 Dividend and Yield (2.58%) Dividend Growth – 5 Year 14.8% 5 Year Stock Performance Source: finance.yahoo.com Real Client Managed Portfolio

4 Company and its Business
Overview Financial Snapshot Kaiser Aluminum, Corporation manufactures and sells semi-fabricated specialty aluminum mill products. The company serves the following end market applications Aerospace and high strength Automotive extrusions General engineering products Other products The company aims to produce highly engineered mill products with differentiated characteristics that present opportunities for premium pricing and long-term profitable growth. Revenue Breakdown Source: 2016 Annual Report Real Client Managed Portfolio

5 Company and its Business
Manufacturing Processes Facilities Flat-Rolling Ingot as starter material processed through rolling operations (hot or cold) Heat treatment, and stretch to desired characteristics Range on tempers (hardness), gauges (thickness), and widths Extrusion/Drawing Cast billet heated and placed into extrusion press for two dimensional cross section Extrusion straightened, cut to length, and aged in ovens Drawing: reduce wall thickness and improve physical properties (multiple steps) Metal Price Risk Management Major Customers Spot Price Pass metal price risk through to customers Higher value add products: Lag in the pass-through price Index-Based Price Incorporates a monthly index-based price for primary aluminum Pass metal price risk through to customers Firm-Price Commitment to volumes and timing creates metal price risk Limit the exposure using third party hedging instruments Source: investors.kaiseraluminum.com/events.cfm Real Client Managed Portfolio

6 Aircraft and Automotive Applications
Source: investors.kaiseraluminum.com/events.cfm Real Client Managed Portfolio

7 Real Client Managed Portfolio
Focus on technically challenging applications - differentiated products - and use core competencies for premium pricing Reduce cost structure and improve long-term competitive position Increase capacity of manufacturing plants and effectively improve quality Hedging programs to remain price neutral in aluminum prices Retain long-standing relationships with customers (50% Manufacturers,50% Service Centers) Strategy Spokane, Washington; London, Ontario; Sherman, Texas Source: 2016 Annual Report Real Client Managed Portfolio

8 Macroeconomic Overview and Drivers
Source: ibisworld.com Real Client Managed Portfolio

9 Macroeconomic Overview
Biggest drivers that we considered when making our forecasts Source: investors.kaiseraluminum.com/events.cfm Finance 418

10 Industry Overview (Porter's 5 Forces)
Entry Barriers Barriers to Entry (High) Capital intensity Specialized workforce Price volatility Industry Rivalry (High) International competition (Canada, China, and Russia) Compete on price, quality, and operating efficiency  Buyer Power (High) Price competition High volume orders and assumed price risk Supplier’s Bargaining Power Industry Rivalry Buyer’s Bargaining Power Supplier Power (High) Concentrated mining industry Dependent on electric or hydro power for aluminum smelting Threat of Substitute (Low) Based on the industry of demand Aerospace Car manufacturing Packaging Threat of Substitute Source: ibisworld.com Real Client Managed Portfolio

11 Real Client Managed Portfolio
Financial Analysis Real Client Managed Portfolio

12 Real Client Managed Portfolio
Financial Analysis Real Client Managed Portfolio

13 Real Client Managed Portfolio
Valuations Excel Real Client Managed Portfolio

14 Technical Analysis – Stock Price
Source: finance.yahoo.com Real Client Managed Portfolio

15 Technical Analysis – Bond Price
Senior Unsecured Semi-Annual Bond Issue Date 8/23/2016 Maturity Date 5/15/2024 Original Offering *$375,000 Coupon Rate % Current Yield 4.64% Moody’s Rating Ba3 S&P Rating BB *$ Thousands Source: finra-markets.morningstar.com Real Client Managed Portfolio

16 Real Client Managed Portfolio
Recommendation Market leader in quality value added aluminum products High gross margin and EBITDA margin  Capital investments to protect core competencies Strengths Aluminum price/hedge risk Reliance on a select number of customers High industry and company risk Weaknesses Recommendation: Watch List DCF Valuation: $78.22 Weight:70%  Comparable Valuation: $89.96 Weight:30%  Implied Price: $81.74 Real Client Managed Portfolio


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