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Finding Opportunity in a Changing CE Environment
Ben Arnold Executive Director, Industry Analyst Consumer Technology The NPD Group March 13, 2017 Prepared for ECRM
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About The NPD Group Inc. The NPD Group is the leading provider of reliable and comprehensive consumer and retail business intelligence. Tracking sales of over $1 trillion ($USD) worldwide Wide industry sectors: automotive, beauty, commercial technology, consumer technology, entertainment, fashion, food and beverage, foodservice, home, office supplies, software, sports, toys, and wireless.
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What are the growth drivers in CE?
Emerging technology categories (ex. VR, smart home, drones) are beginning to fuel total industry growth NPD forecasts 2% industry growth in 2017 Large tech categories have transitioned into maturity putting a focus on segments of opportunity New features like voice and wireless connectivity are providing growth to existing product categories Retailers continue to look for ways to optimize a shifting product landscape amid a changing shopper demographic More shoppers are looking for brand experiences from manufacturers and retailers
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A slightly improved outlook for large volume categories
12 Month Ending December 2016 Dollar Growth Rates by Category – Total Retail Top Revenue Categories Top Growth Categories Deep Decline Categories Source: The NPD Group / Retail Tracking Service Categories $100M+ in Retail
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Smaller declines in biggest categories continue to push towards growth
The NPD Group, Inc./Retail Tracking Service, Positive = $50m+ and negative = -$100m+
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Emerging Categories
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Sales of Smart Home products grew 50% in 2016
Source: The NPD Group, Inc./Retail Tracking Service, Data doesn’t include Amazon Branded or Google Home, Home Improvement stores or Direct Service Provider sales
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Smart home product purchased 1st
IP Cameras are the primary entry device into the smart home Smart home product purchased 1st Base: Smart Home Owners Source: Connected Intelligence, Connected Home Automation Report, Q2 ‘16
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Despite sales growth, adoption of smart home devices remains slow
% of Internet HHs that own a smart home device Source: Connected Intelligence, Connected Home Automation Report, Q4 ‘16
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360 degree cameras account for just 1% of total headset units
VR/AR Headsets, 360 Degree Cameras Unit Volume, Monthly VR/AR Headsets 360 Degree Cameras Source: The NPD Group/ Retail Tracking Service
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Mobile connected VR continues to scale
Google Daydream Wayfair AR App
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Instant print camera sales grew 129% in 2016
Instant Print Cameras, Film Dollar Volume by Brand; Growth Yearly Highly rated MILC has the potential to build on what was a successful 2014 Holiday. All DSLR makers should be watching out for Sony and other MILC manufacturers Source: The NPD Group / Retail Tracking Service
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Sub $200 drones account for ¾ of total unit volume
Dollar Volume, YOY Change 12ME Dec ‘16 Revenue Revenue Change The NPD Group / Retail Tracking Service Ending Dec 2016
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Top selling drone accessories
Dollar Volume by Type; 12ME Source: The NPD Group/Retail Tracking Service
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New Features = New Product Segments
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Emerging audio form factors are fueling digital assistant use
Doppler Here One Sony MDR 1000x Google Home Amazon Echo Dot Bragi Dash
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Holiday + iPhone 7 accelerated the transition into Bluetooth
Stereo Headphones Dollar Share Bluetooth vs Wired; Monthly Source: The NPD Group / Retail Tracking Service
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Unit Volume by Price Segment
Unit demand is strongest in entry level and premium wireless headphones Bluetooth Headphones Unit Volume by Price Segment Source: The NPD Group, Inc./Retail Tracking Service
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Google sold 660k units in Nov & Dec
Wireless Speakers Dollar Share by Quarter Source: The NPD Group, Inc./Retail Tracking Service
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Though audio remains a top application, the Echo use case is expanding
Source: Connected Intelligence, Connected Home Automation Report, Q4 ‘16
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US $1000+ point & shoot is up 33% YOY
Digital Point and Shoot Dollar Volume by Price Segment, 12ME Highly rated MILC has the potential to build on what was a successful 2014 Holiday. All DSLR makers should be watching out for Sony and other MILC manufacturers Source: The NPD Group / Retail Tracking Service
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Cameras vs Camera Devices
Digital Imaging Dollar Volume by Year Source: The NPD Group/ Retail Tracking Service
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Retail Continues to Shift
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.com Share Continues to Grow
eCommerce Dollar Share of Consumer Technology ($%) Source: The NPD Group / Consumer Tracking Service,
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Retailers performing better online
Source: The NPD Group / Consumer Tracking Service
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Retail Stores=Brand Experiences
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Technology Hardware Sales Dollar Share of Buyers by Age, Yearly
34 and under account for an increasing portion of total technology spending Technology Hardware Sales Dollar Share of Buyers by Age, Yearly Source: The NPD Group / Consumer Tracking Service,, No Consumables
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Demographic + Technology + Brand = Disruption
Spectacles
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Thank You Ben Arnold Industry Analyst- Consumer Technology
@TechBarnold Nim Sharon Director, Business Development Thank You
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