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Asset Allocation & Portfolio performance

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Presentation on theme: "Asset Allocation & Portfolio performance"— Presentation transcript:

1 Asset Allocation & Portfolio performance
TEMPLETON GROWTH FUND Asset Allocation & Portfolio performance By: Matthew Moriarty Brian Polcar Nick Thomas

2 Templeton Growth Fund Goal: Investing in World Markets
Long term capital appreciation by investing in global equities Investing in World Markets 3 Principals: Bargain Hunting Worldwide Diversification Long-tern Investors

3 International performance analysis (ipa)
Measure of the return on a portfolio or segment Performance benchmark measure MSCI World Index Risk Analysis Measure of Total Risk SD of its rate of return

4 International Portfolio Management and Performance Evaluation
Optimal Portfolio? Portfolio Composition Evaluation Factors: Risk and Return: MSCI Indexes RVAR Beta Templeton's portfolio is not optimal because it weights the investments such that those countries that have a RVOL < Ci are included in the portfolio.

5 Internationally Diversified Portfolio Construction
Countries to Invest in & Allocation Amounts: Portfolio Statistics: RVAR Beta RVOL Country Weight Denmark Turkey Brazil Switzerland Russia India Sweden Singapore Japan

6 Cap and Floor Restrictions
Try to minimize effects on the asset allocation of measurement error in ex-post returns Cap 6.0% for each foreign market & Floor 45% the U.S. Optimally Constrained Portfolio Optimally Constrained Portfolio Stats: RVAR Beta RVOL Country Denmark (1) Turkey (1) Brazil (1) Switzerland (3) Russia (1) India (1) Sweden (2) Singapore (3) Japan (3) U.S. (30)

7 Performance Comparison
Capped portfolio has a lower RVAR attributed to the increase in standard deviation due to inclusion of the domestic market. Suggesting the return will have a higher probability of deviating from the expected value Systematic risk is different due to the RVOL for the capped portfolio being lower. RVOL deviation due to the change in weighted beta value which increases slightly for capped portfolio Invest where RVOL > Ci Optimal Portfolio Capped Portfolio MSCI World MSCI USA Templeton RVOL RVAR β

8 Out-of-Sample Performance Comparison
Due to poor market performance in 2016, portfolios did not do as well as in the past. RVOL & RVAR of capped portfolio outperformed the optimal portfolio because returns in the optimal portfolio had a larger weight in markets affected. Optimal Portfolio Capped Portfolio RVOL RVAR β


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