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Our water planet and our water hemisphere
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Role of the ocean in climate
Main roles: Storage and transport of heat Storage and transport of CO2 Production of Cloud Condensation Nuclei Other potentially important roles: Methane hydrate release Production of N2O Ocean/ice sheet interactions
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Temperature N-S Section Atlantic N-S Section Pacific
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Salinity N-S Section Atlantic N-S Section Pacific
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Observed meridional heat transports
Trenberth and Caron (2001) J. Clim.
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Upper ocean circulation
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A snapshot of surface temperature distribution
in the western North Atlantic
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A representation of ocean thermohaline circulation
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Detailed meridional overturning circulation
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Deep current observations at 30 S off Chile
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Meridional flow at 30 S in the Chile Basin
Deep poleward boundary current, 10 Sv Deep equatorward Flow, 3 Sv east of the East Pacific Rise AAIW flow in the western Chile Basin Shaffer et al. (2005), Deep Sea Research
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Atlantic overturning circulation
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THC influence on climate (1): Zonal temperature deviations
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THC influence on climate (2): Surface temperature changes after a THC shutdown
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Global distribution of recent temperature trends
Temperatura Global distribution of recent temperature trends IPCC-2001
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What drives the thermohaline circulation?
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Opening and evolution of Drake Passage over the past 40 million years
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High latitude Southern Hemisphere currents
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Meridional flows and water mass transformations
around Antarctica
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THC sensitivity to mixing and Southern Ocean winds in a GCM
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Model THC changes for future global warming (quadrupling of CO2 in 140 years)
Gregory et al. (2005), GRL
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THC hysteresis in coupled climate models
Rahmstorf et. al. (2005), GRL, 32, L23605
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Ice core and ocean sediment records of 18O
Millennial-scale cycles are also evident in high-resolution, ocean sediment data Intermediate depth, 18O decreases can preliminarily be interpreted as warming during cold conditions in Greenland Heinrich events always start during cold conditions in Greenland and result in significant surface layer freshening. Greenland Antarctic Surface 1020 m heinrich events 3148 m
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Our low order climate model
Ocean: High vertical resolution Frictional model for N-S flow Stability-dependent vertical diffusion ”Horizontal gyre” mixing Southern Ocean shelf water formation and Ekman transport Drake Passage effect Atmosphere: Seasonal and orbital forcing Energy and moisture transports Oxygen isotopic composition of moisture Ice/snow: Variable sea ice/snow cover Prescribed ice cap extents
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Model Holocene and LGM overturning circulations
Holocene (0 kyr BP) LGM (22 kyr BP)
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Model millennial-scale climate oscillations
Key features: Abrupt onset of overturning and convection after gradual intensification. Abrupt shutdown after gradual weakening. Alternating NADW and AABW dominance in the deep ocean with AABW confined below 2000 m.
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Subsurface 18Oc changes reflect mainly temperature changes
Ocean temperature changes over the oscillations Strong warming occurs at intermediate depths during the cold phase of the oscillation This warming is due to lack of cooling from North Atlantic deep convection to oppose diffusive warming at low latitudes Subsurface 18Oc changes reflect mainly temperature changes
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Last glacial period simulation
Time dependent forcing: Insolation Ice cap extent Atmospheric CO2 Wind stress 6 kyr Heinrich event cycle Key features: Oscillations for intermediate glacial conditions. Surface/intermediate depth calcite 18O vary out of phase with Greenland temp. Deep ocean calcite 18O and Antarctic temp vary in phase with symmetric shape. 40o-90oN 40o-90oS Surface 1000 m 3000 m
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Yearly mean solar insolation difference between 40S-40N and 40N-90N
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