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A Convergence of Issues
Energy Environment Economy
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RFS2 Mandates by Biofuels Category
U.S. Department of Energy Billion-Ton Report: Advancing Domestic Resources for a Thriving Bioeconomy, Volume 1: Economic Availability of Feedstocks. M. H. Langholtz, B. J. Stokes, and L. M. Eaton (Leads), ORNL/TM-016/160. Oak Ridge National Laboratory, Oak Ridge, TN. 448p.
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Our Region Has the Potential to Sustainably Supply Large Amounts of Biomass
2040 Combined potential supplies at < $60/dt, roadside. Agriculture only: 3% yield increase. Source:
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will produce about 30 million gallons of cellulosic ethanol per year
The DuPont cellulosic ethanol facility in Nevada, Iowa. Source: ENERGY.GOV
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Feedstock Supply and Necessary Farmgate Price
*Under a demand scenario with 325-million-ton national production target by 2040 U.S. Department of Energy Billion-Ton Report: Advancing Domestic Resources for a Thriving Bioeconomy, Volume 1: Economic Availability of Feedstocks. M. H. Langholtz, B. J. Stokes, and L. M. Eaton (Leads), ORNL/TM-016/160. Oak Ridge National Laboratory, Oak Ridge, TN. 448p.
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Potential Supply of all Energy Crops and Residues at $60 per dry ton
U.S. Department of Energy Billion-Ton Report: Advancing Domestic Resources for a Thriving Bioeconomy, Volume 1: Economic Availability of Feedstocks. M. H. Langholtz, B. J. Stokes, and L. M. Eaton (Leads), ORNL/TM-016/160. Oak Ridge National Laboratory, Oak Ridge, TN. 448p.
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cenusa bioenergy Key Lessons
Yield of perennial energy crops can be improved through conventional and molecular breeding approaches. There is room and means for improvement.
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Timeline for Switchgrass Improvement
Efficient DNA marker selection systems Utilization of the entire growing season Long-term sustained breeding and selection Hybrid varieties (heterosis) yes, just like corn breeding Biomass Yield, Relative to 1990 (%) Choosing adapted varieties Year Objective 1 –Casler, Vogel et al.
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‘Liberty’ Switchgrass: Biomass Yield
Cultivar HZ 5a DEK, IL 42oN HZ 4b ARL, WI 43oN HZ 4a MSH, WI 45oN HZ 3b SPN, WI 46oN Mean Mg/ha Summer 8.48 7.24 8.31 9.20 Kanlow 4.57 3.16 2.52 4.87 Liberty 16.38 9.05 11.11 12.45 12.25 P-value (<0.01) % Increase 78% 25% 34% 36% 38% Objective 1 –Casler, Vogel et al.
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cenusa bioenergy Key Lessons
Perennial energy crops can be established and grown on marginal land and they outperform conventional row crops grown on the same land.
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Perennials Outperform Corn on Marginal Sites
Miscanthus and Liberty SG outyield maize in these marginal environments (maize yields x 4 usually less than these perennials)-especially at SEPAC (Landfill). Throckmorton is OK corn land, but perennials still do better (8484 kg/ha x 3 years since 2015 was a complete stand loss-see next slide). NEPAC is sloping, coarse soil where we get bu soybean and <60 bu corn most years. Indiangrass (IG) and Big bluestem (BB) are not fertilized at these sites-Tilman approach to harvesting prairies for biomass. Objective 2 – Volenec, Laird, Mitchell et al.
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cenusa bioenergy Key Lessons
Harvest, transportation and storage logistics are important. They are more difficult than you would think and add significantly to the cost of delivered feedstock.
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Economic Impact of Bale Density
8 – 10 lbs DM/ft3 10 – 13 lbs DM/ft3 Objective 3 – Shinners, Birrell et al.
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cenusa bioenergy Key Lessons
Growing perennial energy crops on marginal land can have outsized impacts on water quality and other ecosystem services. There is no question that perennial energy crops can be used to address environmental issues and particularly water quality.
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Mississippi River Basin - Relative Nutrient Loading from Tributaries (Nitrate)
Source: US Geological Survey.
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cenusa bioenergy Key Lessons
Energy crops have to be as profitable as conventional crops if they are to be adopted by farmers. The decision to produce them is affected by a number of socioeconomic factors. Farmers need: Established markets Long term land leases or ownership Profits
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Switchgrass Production Budgets On-Farm Trials
Perrin This Nebraska budget is based on experiences of 10 farmers who collaborated with on-farm trials. The prices and rates are based on current custom rates and materials prices in Nebraska. Here we assume an average yield of 3.4 tons of DM per acre (about 4 tons of hay. Both establishment year costs and annual production costs later are estimated at about $200 per acre, and if you amortize the establishment costs over the other production year costs, you Arrive at a total annual & establ costs of $231/acre This gives us a break-even cost for producing switchgrass under these conditions. What does break-even mean? Well, it’s the amount the producer would need to receive for switchgrass To make him/her indifferent between producing switchgrass and selling it farmgate or doing nothing; it only covers costs…but as we’ll see, not all costs… Break-even Objective 6 – Perrin, Jacobs, Hayes et al.
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Strong Corn Markets Discourage Adoption
Competition with Corn Strong Corn Markets Discourage Adoption Assuming a 3 t/a switchgrass, dry land marginal for corn, approximately equal annualized production costs Stover is the “free” second crop ($50 - $75/ton); POET & DuPont are markets If “marginal land” is erodible land, then other considerations that preclude or limit row crop production exist, and it’s not just a matter of profitability or even relative profitability. Objective 6 – Perrin, Jacobs, Hayes et al.
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cenusa bioenergy Key Lessons
The cost of delivered biomass is still too high for fuel production and other higher-value uses and products need to be developed to catalyze the industry.
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Value-Added Products Our analysis (Hu 2015, Dang 2016) indicates that bioproducts can enable biofuels by increasing the market resilience of integrated biorefineries. Integrated biorefineres (such as pyrolysis systems) can tailor product portfolios to market conditions in order to reduce risk and maximize revenue. Objective 5 – Brown et al.
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Chemicals Are Worth More than Fuel
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Integrated Biorefinery
Sugars Phenolic Oil Product Recovery Biochar Light Ends Fermentation or Refining to Fuels and Chemicals Carbon Fibers Bio-Cement or Deicer Lignocellulosic Biomass Acetate Pyrolyzer Transportation Fuels Bio-asphalt Boiler Fuels Heavy Ends Pollard et al. (2012) Journal of Analytical and Applied Pyrolysis 93,
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cenusa bioenergy Solving the cost/price dilemma:
Key Lessons Strategies Solving the cost/price dilemma: Lower production, storage and handling costs Develop higher-value end uses than fuel Incorporate perennial energy crops into state and federal conservation programs
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cenusa bioenergy Water quality / ecosystem services
Key Lessons Strategies Water quality / ecosystem services Landscape design approach Tighter integration with exiting crops and biomass resources Decision-support tools for navigating and managing the complexities
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cenusa bioenergy Educational Materials Webinars Videos Fact Sheets
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cenusa bioenergy Educational Materials
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Midwest Sustainable Biofuels Vision
Regional system for producing advanced transportation fuels and other bio-based products Perennial grasses grown on land that is either unsuitable or marginal for row crop production Produce advanced biofuels Improve the sustainability of existing cropping systems
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