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Maypearl Independent School District
Demographic Study Spring 2017
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Economic Conditions – DFW Area (April 2017)
222,149 new jobs National rate 1.4% Job Growth 1.7% 1,283 more starts than 1Q16 Annual Home Starts 30,218 0.2% U.S. 4.1% Texas 4.5% DFW MSA 3.8% Ellis Co. 3.6% Presenter Note: Owens Corning may be adding a few jobs, Walgreens distribution center will be adding 75 jobs by 2020, Nissan will be added to Waxahachie Autoplex, Atwoods opening in late 2017 Unemployment Rate Sources: Texas Workforce Commission & Metrostudy
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Texas Enrollment Trends
2016/17 State Enrollment Total Enrollment 5,359,127 Total Growth ,540
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Region 10 Enrollment Trends
Maypearl ISD has added 65 students in the last 5 years This is a 5-year growth rate of 6.3%
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Maypearl Housing Market
Growth in existing home sales and new home sales. New homes represent about 12% of sales 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 YTD New 6 5 14 13 16 8 Reg Resale 47 64 79 90 104 33 Foreclosure 20 9 7 2 REO 15 18 10 3 Total 82 103 111 110 119 136 46
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2016 Homes Sales by Price The median price for a new home in 2016 was $274,729 The median price for an existing home n 2016 was $182,473
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District Housing Overview
Maypearl ISD has 18 lots available to build on The district 171 planned future lots *100 lots are from Buena Vista that has no plans at this time, no plats submitted, timeline for development unknown at this time (its located in the Northeast portion of the district) Taylor Ridge, Hidden Hills, and Oak Vista Estates are the only three subdivisions with activity The remaining polygons are only displayed to show where other housing is located
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Active Subdivision Taylor Ridge WAXAHACHIE ISD Taylor Ridge
50 total lots 23 future lots 20 occupied 3 U/C 4 VDL Phase 4, 23 lots, expected to begin groundwork by August 2017 Building 6 homes per year $300K - $400K
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Active Subdivisions Hidden Hills Hidden Hills 53 total lots
20 occupied 2 U/C 31 VDL Construction on new homes expected to begin July 2017 Building 1-5 homes per year $450K - $550K
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Active Subdivision Oak Vista Estates Oak Vista Estates 35 total lots
30 future lots 5 occupied Groundwork underway on 30 lots, no timeline on home construction at this time Building 1-3 homes per year
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Future Subdivision Future Subdivision 51 total lots 51 future lots
Still in planning stages, no timeline has been established
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Maypearl ISD Student Distribution
180 students, or 16%, reside within the City of Maypearl Maypearl ISD has 160 out of district students 969 students live within the district
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Maypearl ISD Transfer Students
Year 2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17 Transfers In 49 97 119 115 140 Transfers Out 69 80 63 65 77 Difference -20 17 56 50
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Ten Year Forecast By Grade Level
Year (Oct) EE PK K 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th 12th Total Total Growth % Growth 2012/13 7 19 66 77 62 84 89 61 87 80 75 81 79 1,010 2013/14 4 28 48 60 91 102 65 92 90 74 88 67 78 1,037 27 2.7% 2014/15 22 68 56 82 71 100 94 83 85 1,053 16 1.5% 2015/16 3 21 69 57 97 107 1,063 10 0.9% 2016/17 1 15 76 105 112 93 70 1,099 36 3.4% 2017/18 86 73 110 1,130 31 2.8% 2018/19 109 116 1,158 2.5% 2019/20 64 101 114 1,181 23 2.0% 2020/21 106 108 1,201 20 1.7% 2021/22 104 95 1,211 0.8% 2022/23 1,220 9 0.7% 2023/24 72 98 120 1,250 30 2024/25 103 99 118 1,268 18 1.4% 2025/26 124 1,289 2026/27 115 113 1,309 1.6% *Yellow box = largest grade per year *Green box = second largest grade per year Maypearl ISD will enroll 1,181 students by 2019 5 year growth = 112 students 2021/22 enrollment = 1,211 students 10 year growth = 210 students 2026/27 enrollment = 1,309 students
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ENROLLMENT PROJECTIONS
Ten Year Forecast By Campus Current ENROLLMENT PROJECTIONS Campus 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19 2019/20 2020/21 2021/22 2022/23 2023/24 2024/25 2025/26 2026/27 KIRKPATRICK ELEMENTARY SCHOOL 378 377 391 385 400 420 426 436 446 449 ELEMENTARY TOTAL Elementary Absolute Change -3 -1 14 -6 15 20 6 10 3 Elementary Percent Change -0.79% -0.26% 3.71% 0.00% -1.53% 3.90% 5.00% 1.43% 2.35% 2.29% 0.67% MAYPEARL INTERMEDIATE 174 188 172 181 202 192 171 204 198 INTERMEDIATE SCHOOL TOTAL Intermdiate Absolute Change 2 -16 9 21 -10 -21 Intermediate Percent Change 1.16% 8.05% -8.51% 5.23% 11.60% -4.95% -10.94% 5.85% 0.99% -2.94% MAYPEARL JUNIOR HIGH 217 196 211 195 205 230 218 194 206 229 MIDDLE SCHOOL TOTAL Middle School Absolute Change 30 25 -12 -24 12 23 Middle School Percent Change 16.04% -9.68% 7.65% -7.58% 5.13% 12.20% -5.22% -11.01% 6.19% 11.17% MAYPEARL HIGH SCHOOL 330 369 399 398 419 414 425 433 HIGH SCHOOL TOTAL High School Absolute Change 7 39 -5 -15 26 11 High School Percent Change 2.17% 11.82% 8.13% -0.25% 5.28% -1.19% -3.62% 6.52% 2.59% -0.69% DISTRICT TOTALS 1,099 1,130 1,158 1,181 1,201 1,211 1,220 1,250 1,268 1,289 1,309 District Absolute Change 36 31 28 18 District Percent Change 3.39% 2.82% 2.48% 1.99% 1.69% 0.83% 0.74% 2.46% 1.44% 1.66% 1.55%
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Summary www.tdemographics.com
Ellis County’s unemployment rate is currently below 4.0%. The number of new homes built within the district has steadily increased over the last 5 years. The average price point of a new home in MISD is almost $275,000. By the end of the summer, there will be over 50 new lots under construction for building single family homes. Maypearl ISD can expect an increase of approximately 112 students during the next 5 years. 2021/22 enrollment projection: 1,211 students. MISD is projected to enroll 1,309 students for the 2026/27 school year.
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