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What Am I In The Market For?

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Presentation on theme: "What Am I In The Market For?"— Presentation transcript:

1 What Am I In The Market For?
Buyers Panel: What Am I In The Market For? aka How low do I go?

2 Brad Salzer Redstone Funding LLC

3 Robert Milam Cam Childs Jeffry Mullins Santosh Govindaraju
Bayside Capital Convergent Management LLC Directed Capital Stabilis Capital Management, LP

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5 Commercial / Multifamily Mortgage Delinquency Rates for Major Investor Groups | Q4 2016

6 Noncurrent CRE Loans as a Total of All Loans

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8 R E Do you know this person? G U L A T I O N

9 Dodd Rollback Bogs Down
BY RYAN TRACY AND RACHEL WITKOWSKI WASHINGTON—After weeks of high expectations for a swift Dodd-Frank rollback with a Republican in the White House, the reality of a hard slog is beginning to set in on Capitol Hill. The Trump administration, which has laid out plans to roll back Obama-era financial regulations, now appears to be more focused on other parts of its agenda, such as tax changes.

10 CFPB Director Vows to Press On With Mission
Wednesday, January 25, 2017 CFPB Director Vows to Press On With Mission BY YUKA HAYASHI Consumer Financial Protection Bureau Director Richard Cordray said the watchdog would continue enforcement of existing consumer-protection rules at a steady and vigorous pace, and the arrival of the Trump administration “shouldn’t change the job at all.”

11 CFPB Strategic Plan, Budget and Performance Plan and Report
FY 2012 FY 2013 FY 2014 FY 2015 FY 2016 FY 2017 Personnel Compensation 99,464,304 154,049,556 203,460,591 192,300,000 219,200,000 238,500,000 Personnel Benefits 34,724,253 55,693,534 72,355,100 73,400,000 80,600,000 85,700,000 Benefits to Former Personnel Not Included TOTAL 134,188,557 209,743,090 275,815,691 265,700,000 299,800,000 324,200,000 Full-time Equivelent Employees 831 1,214 1,545 1,465 1,623 1,757 Compensation/Benefits Per Employee $ ,478 $ ,770 $ ,521 $ ,365 $ ,720 $ ,519

12 “It says something dramatic when commercial banks rank dead last in the Emerging Trends survey on debt capital availability.”

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14 Outlook: Upcoming Maturities
Over the next 6 months through July , roughly $65.6 billion in CMBS debt will come due. 6.35% of that total is delinquent and 10.7% is in special servicing. As the two dominant property types, office and retail loans comprise 31.9% and 24.8% of the volume maturing during this time frame, respectively.

15 SUMMARY OF CMBS ISSUANCE

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17 Thinking about the year ahead for 2017, do you believe:
1. Commercial real estate lending by banks will: 1) increase; 2) decrease; or 3) stay the same as 2016 2. Commercial real estate values will: 1) increase; 2) decrease; or 3) stay the same as 2016 3. Underwriting standards will: 1) lessen; 2) strengthen; or 3) stay the same as 2016 4. As a lender, projected note sales in 2017 vs 2016 will be: 1) greater; 2) less; or 3) similar 5. As a note buyer, projected note acquisitions in 2017 vs 2016 will be: 1) greater; 2) less; or 3) similar


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