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Analysing the Primary RAISE

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1 Analysing the Primary RAISE
Andrew Best For Schools Support Limited Copyright For Schools Support Ltd ©

2 RAISEonline RAISE stands for “Reporting and Analysis for Improvement through school Self- Evaluation” Purpose An overview for schools, governors and inspectors How effectively a school has performed in terms of past progress, attainment, attendance and behaviour. The summary report is made available to schools and governors to help with their self-evaluation and planning to raise standards When evaluating outcomes, inspectors give most weight to progress, particularly from different starting points and of disadvantaged pupils, including the most able disadvantaged. Schools, governors and inspectors also have access to Ofsted Inspection Dashboard, which summarises key information from RAISEonline and lists strengths and weaknesses.

3 KS2 Summary

4 Value Added Calculation
Step 1 – Key Stage 1 start point Step 2 – Calculating the Scaled Score Raw score of 94 becomes scaled score 108

5 Value Added Calculation
Step 3 – Prior attainment group estimated Key Stage 2 Score Step 4 – Prior attainment group estimated Key Stage 2 Score

6 Prior Attainment Group

7 KS2 Summary

8 KS2 Summary

9 Floor Standards A school will be above the floor if:
at least 65% of pupils meet the expected standard in Reading, Writing and mathematics; or the school achieves sufficient progress scores in all three subjects. To be above the floor, the school needs to meet either the attainment or all of the progress elements. Sufficient progress  For a school not to have made sufficient progress its subject score must be below the floor target and its score must be significantly below average (i.e. the upper band of its confidence interval has to be below zero). The Government has now published its Progress Floor Targets for KS2: -5 in Reading -7 in Writing -5 in Maths

10 Coasting Definition In 2016, a primary school will be coasting if:
• it meets the 2014 part of the definition of fewer than 85% of pupils achieving level 4 in English reading, English writing and mathematics and below the national median percentage of pupils making expected progress in all of English reading, English writing and mathematics; and • It meets the 2015 parts of the definition - of fewer than 85% of pupils achieving level 4 in English reading, English writing and mathematics and below the national median percentage of pupils making expected progress in all of English reading, English writing and mathematics; and • it also meets the 2016 part of the definition - if fewer than 85% of children achieve the expected standard at the end of primary and average progress made by pupils is below in English reading or -2.5 in mathematics or -3.5 in English writing A school will have to be below the coasting definition in three consecutive years to be defined as coasting. No school will be identified as coasting until after the 2016 primary performance tables are published in December.

11 KS2 Summary

12 KS2 Groups

13 KS2 Groups

14 KS2 Groups

15 KS2 Groups

16 KS2 Groups

17 KS2 Groups

18 Progress Scatterplots

19 Attainment Scatterplots

20 Pupil Lists

21 KS1 Summary

22 KS1 Summary

23 KS1 Groups

24 KS1 Summary and groups

25 KS1 Transition tables

26 Phonics - Summary

27 Retake comparison Y2 to Y1

28 Phonics Screening Check

29 Phonics Screening Check

30 EYFS Profile 2015

31 EYFS Profile 2015

32 Basic Characteristics Trend

33 Basic Characteristics by year

34 Ethnic Groups

35 Prior Attainment

36 Andrew Best

37 Scaled Scores A pupil’s scaled score on raw scores - the total number of marks a pupil scores in a test. Maximum raw scores were Reading – 50, Maths – 110 and GPS – 70 There was no testing in writing, it was solely teacher assessed. Tests difficulty may vary slightly year to year, hence need to convert the raw scores pupils get in the tests into a scaled score to ensure accurate comparisons over time. The range of scaled scores available for each KS2 test is the same, 80 - lowest scaled score and highest scaled score. 100 will always represent the expected standard and, for 2016, 110 represents the high standard. School and group scaled score calculated by adding together and dividing by the number of pupils included KS2 accountability measures and KS1-2 progress: ry-school-accountability

38 VA – Writing & Below the Tests scores

39 Value Added – Confidence Intervals
Progress results are calculated for a school based on a specific cohort of pupils. A school may have been just as effective, but have performed differently with a different set of pupils. Similarly some pupils may be more likely to achieve high or low results independently of which school they attend. To account for this natural uncertainty 95% confidence intervals around progress scores are provided as a proxy for the range of scores within which each school’s underlying performance can be confidently said to lie. If lower bound is greater than zero the school has achieved greater than average progress compared to pupils with similar starting points nationally. if the upper bound is below zero the school has made less than average progress. Where a confidence interval overlaps zero, this means that the school’s progress score is not significantly different from the national average. Small cohorts tend to have wider confidence intervals.


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