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MISUSE OF EARNED VALUE MANAGEMENT RESULTS IN ERRONEOUS CONCLUSIONS

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Presentation on theme: "MISUSE OF EARNED VALUE MANAGEMENT RESULTS IN ERRONEOUS CONCLUSIONS"— Presentation transcript:

1 MISUSE OF EARNED VALUE MANAGEMENT RESULTS IN ERRONEOUS CONCLUSIONS
Charles F. Lappenbusch, Jr. MBA, CCP, EVP, PSP Presentation to Seattle Section, AACE® International March 9, 2017

2 BIOGRAPHY Charles F. Lappenbusch, Jr., MBA, CCP, EVP, PSP
Over 30 years of financial and project management Director of Development for a new town Cost control processes, monitoring and integration with Critical Path Scheduling, Earned Value Management, and Risk Analysis. What you don’t know about me.

3 This is Earned Value!

4 INTRODUCTION PURPOSE: EVM within CONTEXT OF PROJECT CONTROLS
COMPLETION DATE? COMPLETION COST? INFORMATION FROM THE NOISE

5 INTRODUCTION PURPOSE:
EVM IS INTEGRATION SCOPE, RESOURCE (COST), SCHEDULE & RISK COMMON TERMS EXTENSION OF PI START THE CONVERSATION CRITIQUE

6 INTRODUCTION ASSUMPTIONS: SCOPE BUDGET at COMPLETION (BAC)
CRITICAL PATH METHOD (CPM) WORK BREAKDOWN STRUCTURE (WBS)

7 INTRODUCTION FOCUS: EVM KEY PERFORMANCE INDICATORS (KPI)
COST PERFORMANCE INDICATOR (CPI) SCHEDULE PERFORMANCE INDICATOR (SPI) TOTAL FLOAT (TF)

8 INTRODUCTION FOCUS: EVM a PROJECT CONTROL EVM to CALCULATE EAC
EARNED VALUE (EV) vs EARNED PAYMENT (EP)

9 INTRODUCTION TAKE A-WAY: WBS - INTEGRATOR EVM – PROJECT CONTROL
EVM NOT FINANCIAL CONTROL EVM KPIs DEPEND UPON ALIGNMENT OF DD, PV, EV, AC, TF EV vs EP

10 EVM BENEFITS INTEGRATES: SCOPE RESOURCE(COST) SCHEDULE RISK

11 EVM BENEFITS COMPARE UNLIKE ACTIVITIES COMMON NUMBER LOOK AHEAD TOOL
ADDS DEPTH & INSIGHT EAC IN LIEU OF DETAIL ESTIMATE KPI TRENDING ANALYSIS

12 EVM BENEFITS SUMMARY MEASURES PROGRESS OBJECTIVE MEASUREMENT
COMPARES PROGRESS TO THE SCOPE, RESOURCE (COST), SCHEDULE & RISK PLANS

13 PLANNED VALUES (PV) Per DDs
EVM FOUNDATION WBS BAC CPM PMB DATA DATES (DD) PLANNED VALUES (PV) Per DDs

14 EVM EAC EAC = AC + (BAC –EV)/CPI EAC = AC + [(BAC – EV) / (EV/AC)]
EAC = AC + [(BAC – (%C*BAC)/ (%C*BAC)/AC)]

15 EVM EAC EAC = AC + (BAC –EV)/ (SPI*CPI)
EAC = AC + {(BAC – EV) / [(EV/PV) * (EV/AC)]} EAC = AC + {[(BAC – (%C*BAC)/ {[(%C*BAC)/PV)]* [(%C*BAC)/AC)]}}

16 ALIGNMENT DATA DATE (DD) PLANNED VALUE (PV) EARNED VALUE (EV)
ACTUAL COST (AC) TOTAL FLOAT (TF)

17 WBS INTEGRATION KPI ROLLED UP OR DRILLED DOWN
BASIS FOR TRACEABILITY OF KPIs THE USE OF ADDITIONAL FILTERS Organization Breakdown Structure (OBS) Resource/Cost Breakdown Structures (RBD/CBS)

18 DATA DATE (DD) RECURRING RECORDING DATE 1st DAY AFTER RECORDING PERIOD
SEPARATES ACTUAL (HISTORY) FROM SCHEDULED DATA PV, EV, AC, TF MUST ALIGN WITH DD THE BASIS OF KPI TRENDING

19 PLANNED VALUE (PV) PV PER BAC, CPM, PMB PV IS FIXED TO DD
PV IS IN SAME UNITS OF MEASUREMENT AS EV

20 EARNED VALUE (EV) EV IS NOT FIXED TO DD EV IS ACCOMPLISHMENT OF PV
EV IS IN SAME UNITS OF MEASUREMENT AS PV

21 ACTUAL COST (AC) AC IS ACTUAL RESOURCE (COST) AC SAME DD AS EV
INVOICE DELAY A DISTORTION OF AC AC ACCRUAL AC vs. EP

22 TOTAL FLOAT (TF) CRITICAL PATH (CP) SCHEDULE KPI
MEASURES THE CP ACTIVITIES TF MUST BE ALIGNED WITH THE DD TF & SPI ARE NEEDED TO ANALYZE BOTH THE FLOAT AND CP ACTIVES

23 COST PERFORMANCE INDEX (CPI)
EVM KPIs COST PERFORMANCE INDEX (CPI) CPI =EV/AC CPI = <1 – OVER BUDGET CPI = 1 – ON BUDGET CPI = 1< - UNDER BUDGET

24 EVM KPIs SCHEDULE PERFORMANCE INDEX (CPI) SPI = EV/PV
SPI = <1 - BEHIND SCHEDULE SPI = 1 – ON SCHEDULE SPI = 1< AHEAD OF SCHEDULE NOTE: WHEN EV = PV = SPI = 1 SCHEDULE VARIANCE = $0 REGARDLESS OF SCHEDULE

25 27 EVM KPIs CPI, SPI, TF = 27 KPI MATRIX EXAMPLES:
OBSERVATIONS 5 – CPI=0.85, SPI=1.00, TF=+20 6 – CPI=0.85, SPI=0.85, TF=-20

26 EARNED PAYMENT (EP) EP DETERMINISTIC PER T& C OF THE CONTRACT
PV FLOATS WITH EP DD FLOATS WITH EP EV PROBABILISTIC EAC AND KPIs PV FIXED PER PMB DD FIXED PER EV AC IS FIXED TO EV

27 EV vs EP Earned Payment (EP) Earned Value (EV) EVM ELEMENT
EV & EP Functions EV is a measurement of a Project's progress EP is used to determine payment

28 EV vs EP EVM ELEMENT Earned Value (EV) Earned Payment (EP) Progress
EV measures actual progress of a project EP measures progress of payment

29 EV vs EP EVM ELEMENT Earned Value (EV) Earned Payment (EP)
Data Date (DD) EV is measured for all activities prior to the DD EP of several activities will most likely have different DD

30 PV is fixed to a specific time period
EV vs EP EVM ELEMENT Earned Value (EV) Earned Payment (EP) Planned Value (PV) PV is fixed to a specific time period PV moves with the EP

31 EV vs EP EVM ELEMENT Earned Value (EV) Earned Payment (EP)
Actual Cost (AC) The cost (not cash flow) to achieve the EV EP is cash flow and not necessarily AC.

32 EV vs EP EVM ELEMENT Earned Value (EV) Earned Payment (EP) SUMMARY
EV measures project progress. EP measures project payment.

33 SUMMARY ONLY AS GOOD AS FOUNDATION
SCOPE, RESOURCE (COST), SCHEDULE and RISK EVM NEEDS WBS TO INTEGRATE MUST ALIGN DD, PV, EV, AC, TF EP MEASURES PAYMENT EV MEASURES PROGRESS

34 This is Earned Value!

35 QUESTIONS & CRITIQUE


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