1. Transformation Colloquium
NATIONAL AND INSTITUTIONAL CHANGE AND SYSTEM AND INSTITUTIONAL PERFORMANCE INDICATORS
Transformation Colloquium
Rolf Stumpf
8 May 2013

2. STRUCTURE OF PRESENTATION
Introduction: Assessing change and role of quantitative data as part of a multifaceted assessment approach
Main sources of quantitative data DHET, CHE, CHET- examples
No data at all on staff and students with ‘disabilities’- serious shortcoming

3. DATA SOURCES: DHET
DHET’s national and institutional enrolment planning data derived from annual HEMIS submissions: Runs from 2000 onwards
Contains 44 tables indicating change over periods of up to 10 years
Covers student enrolments (headcounts and FTEs), student outputs, general staff data, academic staff data and research data
44 tables cover public HE system but for each table individual institutional table also exists

4. DATA SOURCES: DHET
National data can thus be compared to individual institutional data
National set of 44 tables contains only two dimensional tables
Multi-dimensional tables – from original HEMIS source data: Allow analyses by large number of variables simultaneously
Example Table 2.12 represents series of student enrolment tables by mode of delivery, qualification level, CESM category, race, gender

5. DHET DATA: STUDENT ENROLMENTS
Proportional headcount distribution by field of study (Table 9)
2000
2002
2004
2006
2008
2010
2011
SET
29%
27%
26%
28%
Business
25%
31%
32%
30%
Education
13%
16%
15%
18%
Human
33%
24%
23%

6. DHET DATA: STUDENT ENROLMENTS
Proportional headcount distribution by field of study for African males and females for 2010
Source: Table 2.12
SET
Business
Educatio n
Humanities
AFR FEMALES
29%
39%
56%
AFR MALES
35%
27%
21%
26%

7. DHET DATA : STUDENT ENROLMENTS
Proportional distribution of headcount enrolments by race (Table 13)
2000
2002
2004
2006
2008
2010
2011
African
58%
59%
61%
65%
67%
69%
Coloured 5% 6% 7%
Indian
White
30%
28%
25%
22%
20%
19%

8. DHET DATA: STUDENT ENROLMENTS
Proportional distribution of headcount enrolments by gender (Table 17)
2000
2002
2004
2006
2008
2010
2011
Female
52%
54%
55%
56%
57%
58%
Male
48%
46%
45%
44%
43%
42%

9. DHET DATA: STUDENT GRADUATIONS
From Table 2.13 student graduations by mode of delivery, qualification type//level, CESM category, race and gender can be analyzed
From Table 3.3 university staff can be analyzed according to type of staff category and race and gender

10. DATA SOURCES: CHE DATA (VITAL STATS, 2010)
Comprehensive analyses on large number of performance indicators
Data derived from HEMIS submissions but analyzed graphically
Aggregated across institutional data
Contains extensive list of definitions
Covers student enrolment data, student completions data, data according to 3 institutional types, staff data, cohort analysis of student throughputs

11. CHE DATA: STUDENT ENROLMENTS
Proportional HC enrolments and population distribution (Fig 3)
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
White
25% 10%
24% 10%
22% 9%
21% 9%
20% 9%
Indian
7% 3%
6% 3%
Coloured
6% 9%
7% 9%
African
61% 79%
63% 79%
64% 79%
65% 79%
67% 79%

12. CHE DATA: HE PARTICIPATION RATES
Proportional HE participation rates according to race (Fig 5)
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
White
57%
54%
56%
58%
Indian
48%
43%
45%
46%
Coloured
12%
13%
14%
15%
African

13. CHE DATA: STUDENT ENROLMENTS AND COMPLETIONS
Headcount enrolments as proportional comparison to population by gender (Fig 4)
Participation rates by gender (Fig 6)
HC enrolments by mode of delivery and race (Fig 13) and by gender (Fig 14)
HC graduates by mode of delivery and race (Fig 15) and by gender (Fig 16)
Graduation rates by race (Fig 17) and by gender (Fig 18)

14. CHE DATA: STUDENT COMPLETIONS
Graduation rates by qualification level and race (Fig 19)
Graduation rates by qualification level and gender (Fig 20)
UG PG
UG PG
UG PG
UG PG
UG PG
UG PG
African
14% 23%
15% 23%
15% 22%
15% 24%
White
17% 36%
16% 36%
18% 37%
19% 37%

15. CHE DATA: STUDENT COMPLETIONS
Success rates by race (Fig 21)
Success rates by gender (Fig 22)
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
African
67%
68%
70%
71%
White
79%
78%
80%
81%
82%

16. CHE DATA: STUDENT ENROLMENTS AND COMPLETIONS
Success rates by qualification level and race (Fig 24) and by gender (Fig 25)
HC of UG enrolments by type of qualification by race (Fig 28) and by gender (Fig 29)
HC of UG qualifications awarded by race (Fig 30) and by gender (Fig 31)
HC of PG enrolments by type of qualification by race (Fig 32) and by gender (Fig 33)
HC of PG qualifications awarded by race (Fig 34) and by gender (Fig 35)

17. CHE DATA: STUDENT ENROLMENTS AND COMPLETIONS
Success rates by qualification level and race (Fig 24) and by gender (Fig 25)
HC of UG enrolments by type of qualification by race (Fig 28) and by gender (Fig 29)
HC of UG qualifications awarded by race (Fig 30) and by gender (Fig 31)
HC of PG enrolments by type of qualification by race (Fig 32) and by gender (Fig 33)

18. CHE DATA: HE PARTICIPATION RATES
HC of PG qualifications awarded by race (Fig 34)
HC of PG qualifications awarded by race (Fig 34) and by gender (Fig 35)
2005
Below M M D
2010
Below M M D
White
28% % %
26% % %
African
33% % %
38% % %

19. CHE DATA: STUDENT ENROLMENTS AND COMPLETIONS AND STAFF
HC enrolments by field of study and by race (Fig 39) and by gender (Fig 40)
HC graduates by field of study and by race (Fig 41) and by gender (Fig 42)
HC staff members by employment status and race (Fig 55) and by gender (Fig 56)

20. CHE DATA: ALL STAFF Senior management staff by race (Fig 57)
Senior management staff by gender (Fig 58): %, %
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
White
62%
61%
60%
58%
54%
Indian 7% 6%
Coloured 8% 9%
13%
12%
African
23%
25%
24%
26%
27%

21. CHE DATA: ACADEMIC STAFF
Permanent academic staff by race (Fig 61)
Permanent academic staff by gender (Fig 62): %, %
2005
2010
White
63%
56%
Indian 8% 9%
Coloured 5% 6%
African
24%
29%

22. CHE DATA: ‘ADMIN’ AND SERVICE STAFF
Admin staff by employment status and race (Fig 65) and gender (Fig 66)
Service staff by employment status and race (Fig 67) and gender (Fig 68)
HC Academic staff by qualification level by race (Fig 69) and gender (Fig 70)

23. CHE DATA: ACADEMIC STAFF DATA
HC academic staff by qualification level by race (Fig 69) : Doctoral degree
HC academic staff by qualification level by gender (Fig 70): Doctoral in 2005 – 30% ; in % .
2005
2010
African
14%
19%
Indian 6%
Coloured 3% 4%
White
77%
71%

24. CHE DATA: COHORT STUDY (EXCLUDING UNISA)
Throughput rates for 360 credit diplomas by race – first enrolment in 2005 (Fig 75): Dropout in brackets
2007
2008
2009
2010
African
13% (53%)
25%
33%
37%
Indian
23%(43%)
36%
44%
48%
Coloured
24%(46%)
43%
46%
White
36%(39%)
53%
55%

25. CHE DATA: COHORT STUDY (EXCLUDING UNISA)
Throughput rates for 3year degrees by race – first enrolment in 2005 (Fig 78): Dropout in brackets
2007
2008
2009
2010
African
16% (50%)
30%
38%
41%
Indian
24%(45%)
42%
49%
51%
Coloured
22%(44%)
39%
45%
48%
White
44%(31%)
59%
64%
65%

26. CHE DATA: COHORT STUDY (EXCLUDING UNISA)
Throughput rates for 4year professional degrees by race – first enrolment in 2005 (Fig 81): Dropouts in brackets
2008
2009
2010
African
21%(55%)
33%
37%
Indian
29%(48%)
43%
47%
Coloured
30%(46%)
42%
White
47%(33%)
59%
64%

27. DATA SOURCES:CHET CHET’s Performance Indicator Project
Data derived from HEMIS submissions but applied differently
PI project’s aim: Measuring institutional performance – mainly for councils and senior management
20 input and output indicators relating to general institutional performance
PI and institutional differentiation

28. DATA SOURCES:CHET www.chet.org.za Click ‘Data’ on home page
Click ‘South African Higher Education Open Data’
Click ‘ Create graph’
Click ‘ Click here to create a graph’
Select an indicator from list of 20 indicators
Select up to 4 universities
Click ‘ Generate graph’

29. DATA SOURCES:CHET Advantages 20 indicators updated annually
Allows comparisons with up to 4 HEIs
Generates graphs and data for graphs given
Graphs and data can be downloaded
Glossary of terms used for each graph
Disadvantages
Limited number of indicators

30. CHET DATA: STUDENT ENROLMENTS
Enrolments by race for NMMU – Graph 1
Enrolments by race – only White and African- for NMMU and for NMMU and NWU- Graph 2

31. CHET DATA : STUDENT ENROLMENTS – GRAPH 1

32. CHET DATA: STUDENT ENROLMENTS- GRAPH 1
Enrolments by race for NMMU from
Changes in proportional enrolment figures for NMMU influenced by:
Strategic decision by former UPE to downscale teacher education by distance education ( mainly African students) from 2003/4 onwards;
Merger of UPE, PE Technikon and Vista (Missionvale) to form NMMU in 2005.

33. CHET DATA: STUDENT ENROLMENTS – GRAPH 2

34. Conclusion:
Quantitative data and motivation for change
Quantitative data and assessment of change