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RABI REVIEW AND KHARIF PROSPECTS
NATIONAL CONFERENCE ON AGRICULTURE FOR KHARIF CAMPAIGN 2016 RABI REVIEW AND KHARIF PROSPECTS Dr. S K Malhotra Agriculture Commissioner Department of Agriculture, Cooperation & Farmers Welfare, Ministry of Agriculture & Farmers Welfare
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AREA AND PRODUCTION OF RABI CROPS IN 2015-16
Name of Crops Area (Million Ha.) Production (Million Tonnes) change * Wheat 30.47 29.09 -1.38 88.94 93.8 4.86 Rice (Rabi) 4.2 3.94 -0.26 15.15 13.02 -2.13 Sorghum ( Rabi) 3.34 3.66 0.32 3.04 2.98 -0.06 Maize ( Rabi) 1.77 1.33 -0.44 7.29 5.41 -1.88 Barley 0.69 1.6 1.71 0.11 Total Rabi coarse cereals 5.79 5.69 -0.1 12.93 11.12 -1.81 Gram 8.19 8.47 0.28 7.17 8.09 0.92 Total Rabi Pulses 13.24 13.70 0.46 11.57 11.96 0.39 Total food grains 54.31 52.4 -1.91 126.37 128.9 2.53 Groundnut 0.76 0.74 -0.02 1.47 1.45 Rapeseed &Mustard 5.81 0.02 6.28 6.83 0.55 Total Rabi Oilseeds 7.39 7.36 0.03 8.29 8.8 0.51 Total 61.7 59.76 -1.94 134.66 137.7 * IInd advance estimate
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RAINFALL IN RABI SEASON (MM)
METEOROLOGICAL SUBDIVISIONS to to ACTUAL NORMAL % DEP. EAST & NORTH EAST INDIA 71.2 171.4 -58 47.5 62.2 -24 NORTH WEST INDIA 46.1 62.7 -26 57.3 47.2 21 CENTRAL INDIA 29.2 79.6 -63 10.3 9.2 12 SOUTH PENINSULA 317.9 273.3 16 5.7 11.3 -49 COUNTRY AS A WHOLE 97.8 127.2 -23 29.8
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WEATHER SCENERIO DURING RABI 2015-16
Due to moisture stress, less area was covered under wheat, rabi rice and oilseeds while under coarse cereals and pulses it remained same. Temperature during February and March has been very conducive for crop growth. Hailstorm and heavy rains in many places across many states has affected crops on a limited scale
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PLANNING FOR KHARIF 2016 Forecast of India Metrological Department by 3rd week of April 2016 Plan for all the possible scenarios to be kept ready Delayed onset Prolonged dry spells Early withdrawal, Less rainfall Excess rainfall Contingency plans for 600 districts of 27 States except Mizoram & Goa ready
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CURRENT SCENARIO ON MONSOON
The El-Nino condition-main reason for deficient monsoon 2015 El-Nino is showing signs of weakening for last 1-2 months and condition expected to weaken further & may become neutral by May-June 2016 Possibility of development of La-Nina conditions during 2nd half of the monsoon season (August-September) This situation is considered as favorable for good monsoon rainfall, although condition of other parameters is also important
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EXPECTATIONS Timely placement of inputs
Arrangement for seeds, fertilizers, nutrients, Plant Protection chemicals, funds for various schemes Coordination meeting with line departments (credit, power, irrigation) Preparation for timely crop insurance cover Weekly video conferencing for reviewing crop situation , input availability and follow up Mobilizing extension staff for field deployment Pooling contractual staff under ATMA, NFSM and other schemes Active involvement of SAUs/KVKs Technical backstopping cluster demonstration and capacity building Timely implementation of schemes Effective monitoring and feed back
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NEW INITIATIVES FOR PULSES UNDER NFSM
Creation of 150 seed hubs at KVKs and SAUs in three years Enhancement of breeder seed production at ICAR and SAUs. Distribution of seed mini kits of pulses Subsidy for production of quality seed Bio-fertilizer and bio-control agent units at SAUs Technology demonstrations through KVKs at farmer’s field
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WE NEED TO PROMOTE Summer moong
Pulses as intercrop with other crops like Soybean, Cotton, Sugarcane etc. Arhar on rice bunds Transplanted Arhar Hybrid Arhar Ridge Furrow and Broad Bed Furrow Minor pulses (cowpea, mothbean, horse gram, faba bean, lathyrus and rajmash)
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INTEGRATED CROP MANAGEMENT IN PULSES
Seed treatment, inoculation with Rhizobium and PSB culture Application of recommended dose of fertilizers Amelioration of acidic soils with lime/ liming material Micro-nutrients as per requirement Gypsum as source of sulphur Weed management with recommended chemicals Pest surveillance and integrated pest management (bio-pesticides and mechanical devices)
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RICE Mechanical/Line Transplanting Direct seeded Rice (DSR)
Drum seeder for wet bed System of Rice Intensification(SRI) Promoting hybrids Stress tolerant varieties Stress tolerant varieties for submergence, drought/low rainfall areas , saline areas Nutrient and pest management
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KHARIF OILSEEDS Intercrop with pulses/cotton/coarse cereals
Use of Broad Bed Furrow and Ridge Furrow techniques for effective moisture stress / excess water management. Improved varieties of soybean, groundnut, sesame and hybrid of castor and sunflower Seed treatment with rhizobium (soybean/groundnut), Azospirillum /Azotobactor (sesame) and PSB culture (sunflower). Replacement of upland / low yielding paddy area with oilseeds / maize / pulses Introduction of soybean in non-traditional areas – Bihar, Jharkhand and Odisha
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SOYBEAN Last year there was large scale damage to soybean in MP due to white fly, YMV & deficient rainfall, strategies to counter it are: Use of YMV resistant variety of soybean, like JS 20-29, JS 97-52, PS-1225 and PS-1029 Management of white fly Use of BBF and Ridge & Furrow system for management of moisture stress, drainage Crop rotation and intercropping Reduce seed rate to optimum levels
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COTTON Last year there was large scale damage to cotton crop in Punjab and Haryana; strategies to counter it are: Timely sowing (upto 15th May) Monitoring of white fly and other pests Sowing only tolerant varieties/hybrids Application of recommended dose of fertilizer, avoid excessive urea application Use of recommended pesticides with proper application technique
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REQUIREMENT & AVAILABILITY OF SEEDS FOR KHARIF CROPS 2016 (Quintals)
S.N Crops Group Crop Requirement Availability Surplus/Deficit 1 Cereals Paddy Bajra 222437 247709 25272 Jowar 160931 178479 17548 Maize 33915 2 Pulses Arhar 270163 285547 15384 Urd 137150 178905 41755 Moong 201495 233584 32089 Cowpea 16566 23642 7076 Moth 20000 21122 1122 Peas 12 -12 3 Oilseeds Groundnut 36078 Soybean 63121 Sunflower 15267 16048 781 Sesame 20490 31611 11121 4 Commercial Crops Cotton 214370 234464 20094 Jute 43274 38001 -5273
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REQUIREMENT & AVAILABILITY OF FERTILIZERS FOR KHARIF: 2016
(Lakh Tonnes) Fertilizers KHARIF: 2015 KHARIF: 2016 Assessed requirement Total sales Urea 158.93 154.79 151.25 DAP 51.03 50.68 50.82 MOP 18.31 12.60 17.42 NPK 52.93 45.02 53.68 SSP 33.11 21.38 30.60 Use of Bio-fertilizers, Neem Coated urea Use of Micro-nutrients: Source: INM & FMS, DAC, GOI
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THANK YOU With the appropriate strategy we will be able to
address the constraints and achieve the target THANK YOU
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